Utah @ Oregon. Who wins?

[The Authority]

I'll say Utah just to be different.

Upsets happen people.

 

[TheDayMan]

I'll say Utah just to be different.

Upsets happen people.

Safly, they haven't happened to oregon much over the past few years. They're saving it for Oct. 17 this year.

 

[mrwallace2ku]

Autzen Stadium is a fucking hellhole to play in, worth at least 17 points for crowd noise and hostile environment. One of the PAC12 Network boys (Conway, I believe...ex-USC Trojan, ex-NFL) said the three loudest stadiums in the country he has been too are...

-Arrowhead Stadium, KC Chiefs home
-Huskie Stadium, home of Washington
-Autzen Stadium, home of the Ducks

Score?

Oregon 38 Utes 13

 

[The Authority]

Safly, they haven't happened to oregon much over the past few years. They're saving it for Oct. 17 this year.

But they have happened. twice last year, twice the year before.

 

[TheDayMan]

But they have happened. twice last year, twice the year before.

I don't remember them being the favorite in the NC, I could be remembering incorrectly though...

 

[WhiteMamba]

I don't remember them being the favorite in the NC, I could be remembering incorrectly though...

They were favored for 50 straight games until MSU game

 

[Duckfan22]

I don't remember them being the favorite in the NC, I could be remembering incorrectly though...

I think they were the betting favorite, which means absolutely nothing IMO.

 

[TheDayMan]

They were favored for 50 straight games until MSU game

I think they were the betting favorite, which means absolutely nothing IMO.

Still, I don't know if I'd call a team losing the NC game an upset. Even if it technically is...

 

[The Authority]

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Still, I don't know if I'd call a team losing the NC game an upset. Even if it technically is...

How do you define an upset? I think they may have been 7 point favorites. They were the 2 seed, OSU was the 4.

 

[TheDayMan]

How do you define an upset? I think they may have been 7 point favorites. They were the 2 seed, OSU was the 4.

I acknowledged that it was Un upset. I just don't think it makes much sense to look back and use a game like that of an example of them being upset. It was the biggest game of the year between the two supposed best teams. It's not like they were being picted to win by multiple touchdowns against an Arizona or Utah. The final betting line had them favored by a touchdown to against a team that just beat Alabama. Was anyone really shocked by the outcome?

 

[The Authority]

I acknowledged that it was Un upset. I just don't think it makes much sense to look back and use a game like that of an example of them being upset. It was the biggest game of the year between the two supposed best teams. It's not like they were being picted to win by multiple touchdowns against an Arizona or Utah. The final betting line had them favored by a touchdown to against a team that just beat Alabama. Was anyone really shocked by the outcome?

So using a game that you admitted was an upset doesn't make sense to use as an example of an upset.

Okay. Makes sense.

 

[Tin Man]

Being a blindfolded dart thrower having been spun around & around by giggling Quenceanera girls, I've no credence as a predictor.

Irrelevant data?

• Utah has scored 24 points vs Michigan and Utah State. They scored 45 against Fresno St. Oregon has yielded 42 to Eastern Washington, 31 to MSU, and 28 to GSU. I'm thinking that Utah scores between 24 and 42 against the Ducks.
  
• Oregon scored 61 on EWash, 28 vs MSU, and 61 vs GSU. Utah has yielded 17 to Michigan, 14 to USU, and 24 to Fresno St. Utah may have a stingier D than EW or GSU, but I'm thinking that they won't hold Oregon to 4 TDs. To me, it seems likely the Ducks score 40+...

I'm going with the Water Fowl.

 

[TheDayMan]

So using a game that you admitted was an upset doesn't make sense to use as an example of an upset.

Okay. Makes sense.

Yeah, it makes more sense if you factor in the reason I gave...

 

[Wamu]

Being a blindfolded dart thrower having been spun around & around by giggling Quenceanera girls, I've no credence as a predictor.

Irrelevant data?

• Utah has scored 24 points vs Michigan and Utah State. They scored 45 against Fresno St. Oregon has yielded 42 to Eastern Washington, 31 to MSU, and 28 to GSU. I'm thinking that Utah scores between 24 and 42 against the Ducks.
  
• Oregon scored 61 on EWash, 28 vs MSU, and 61 vs GSU. Utah has yielded 17 to Michigan, 14 to USU, and 24 to Fresno St. Utah may have a stingier D than EW or GSU, but I'm thinking that they won't hold Oregon to 4 TDs. To me, it seems likely the Ducks score 40+...

I'm going with the Water Fowl.

 

[DJ]

Oregon in a closer game than expected.

 

[BoiseStateFan27]

I'll say Utah just to be different.

Upsets happen people.

In a situation like this the team trying to pull the upset has to be aggressive and not afraid to take risks

Utah is none of those things

 

[Rebel]

Oregon in a blowout.

 

[UtahUte]

 

[4down20]

Oregon in a blowout.

Think so? I'm not so sure.

You look at last years score and you might think Oregon manhandled them. But that's not actually the case. Utah should have been winning the game late in the 4th and I would say Oregon had a legitimate 7-10 pt victory that the score didn't reflect.

Early in the game Utah was up 7-0 and then gave up a 14 pts swing on 1 really stupid play by a receiver. He is running in for an easy TD to go up 14-0, but drops the ball on the 1 yard line like an idiot. Then Oregon picks up the fumble and runs it back 99 yards for a TD to tie it up 7-7, rather than it being 14-0. That's football and shit happens(awesome happened in that case), but when I evaluate the overall performance I don't generally count it the same way the score did.

Even with that play, Oregon was only up 30-27 with about 10 minutes left in the 4th quarter. So figure it could have been 34-23 at that point, Utah's favor. Then Oregon scored 3 more TD's to get the final score. Utah missed a FG, threw and INT and punted on their last drives, so Oregon handled business in the end.

But Oregon doesn't appear to be as good of a team this year and Utah seems to be a little better. So I'm having a hard time putting much confidence in Oregon right now. I think Utah would really really like to win this game and make some noise in the Pac12. Oregon might not be at the top today, but teams have still been aiming at that bulleyes as if they were.

I'm not sure who I'm going to pick, right now I have Utah. But heard maybe their QB is hurt and out. But I'm having a hard time putting much confidence on it in my pick ems.

 

[TheDayMan]

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What's that? The four mormons of the apocalypse?