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TDs3nOut
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I figure that without Williams and Brown playing, somewhere around 24 points is likely enough to win the game. Can Peyton write a chapter in what could be a story book ending? I really hope so.
My guess is the team plays a pretty conservative game plan with the run game being the focus. They are going to lean heavily on the defense in this one and decide that playing a clean game on the offensive side of the ball will be enough. I think we see something like 20/30 for 240 yards and 1 touchdown for Manning. As for the offense as a whole I would say they score 24 points with both Hillman and Anderson both getting a touchdown in this game.
Steelers defense has been better against the run than it's been against the pass. We also struggled to run the ball on them several weeks ago. I do agree that we will probably try to establish the run and play pretty conservatively, but I think Manning will probably end up having to make some throws downfield in order to win.
If the defense can hold Pittsburgh under 20 points, then I think we most likely win. Obviously need the offense to not give up points, too!
Not sure I agree that we struggled to completely run the ball last time against them. We had 25 carries for 104 yards. That is over 4 yards per carry which isn't too bad in the NFL. It wasn't our best game by far but I think we can find success on the ground.
To me the problem in the last game against them had to do with very untimely mistakes. 1st drive of the game we fumble after Hillman has picked up 9 yards leading to them scoring a touchdown. After that we find a lot of success the rest of the 1st half. 2nd half our first drive we are actually moving the ball after picking a 1st down to then have a holding call set us up for a very long 1st and 20 to which we end up having to punt. The next drive we have a dropped pass on the 1st play. The next drive we hit a deep pass to then miss DT streaking down the sideline for a touchdown. By this point our offense was completely out of sync.
The combination of turnovers/penalties/dropped passes really destroyed any chance of us getting anything going especially in that 2nd half. That to me will be the big thing in this game is not killing ourselves with the stupid mistakes. When we have lost this year it has been a combination of those 3 things. I pointed out somewhere else that in the games we lost there was only one of those that we didn't lose the turnover battle and that one it was 2-2. All the others we lost by 2 or more turnovers.
Sanders broke a long run that makes the rushing stats look better than I think really were. We didn't run the ball particularly well against them, though. I hope that we have better success running the ball in two days, and we might. Still think it's likely that the passing offense is going to need to make a few plays, though.
I think we stand a chance for the run game to be better. We go from having a huge chunk of our team on the injured list and about 15 players listed as questionable or worse for the last meeting to most likely 0 players being in that spot for this upcoming one. The OL is about as healthy as it has been all season so I do think the run game stand a very good chance. They are a decent to good run defense though which is why I think Manning has to start out playing well in this one to really back that defense off.
One thing that worries me the most.....If Denver struggles early in run game especially for 2 tars, they tend to give up to early and get one dimensional and with the uncertainty with Manning,that could be very problematic. I hope game plan is to go deep early and connect on a couple and that will help open up run game and the short passes. I think they need to open it up for them to keep Pitt off balance and win this game. The run game is there,but they need to out game plan Tomlin and Steelers. Steelers D knows this and want to see if Manning can beat them with his arm. Go CJ ,Hilman and O line !!
The only number that will decide the fate of the Broncos offense and season is turnovers. It's pretty simple. Don't turn the ball over and the Broncos will score enough. If the Broncos don't turn the ball over versus the Chargers in the last week of the year they would have won that game easily and would have been over before halftime. Don't put the defense in bad situations and this team can win it all. Manning will see pressure in his face and he just can't make the big mistake or else it will cost the Broncos. Broncos beat Steelers 24-13 is my prediction.