what do you EXPECT from a draft pick ?

[skinsdad62]

1st round , top ten guys should be perennial PB candidates and start from day one

10-25 should be guys who start from day one and push a pro bowl selection every year

25-32 should be 1st year starters or push very hard for one on superbowl teams

2nd rounders could be end of year starter but most likely should be a starter by year 2 . should be a solid player

3rd rounders special teams guy year one solid back up . year 2 he should compete for a starters job, year 3 he should be a starter

4th rounder special teams stalwart year one . spot starter by year 2-3 . career BU maybe lasts 5 seasons until newer picks come in

5th rounder . special teams guy most likely for his career might last a few seasons until newer picks come in

6th rounder , this starts the round where you take fliers on guys be it for character , size and speed injuries . most likely lasts a season or 2 until new picks come in

7th rounder , where you draft specialists . late round fliers on the above things most likely training camp fodder or PS material .

this is my general guideline . it isnt perfect but this is close to how i value picks . if a pick goes past my expectations in the later rounds or in the other rounds and slots then an excellent pick was made

 

[Sleepy T]

Good rundown SD, those are reasonable expectations. Still need to draft guys (right now) 3-6 who we feel might be starters sooner than later, but I know it's easier said than done. I still love taking huge character risks on 5-7 picks. Could be a diamond in the rough if they get their shit together. If they crash and burn...oh well.. No big loss.

 

[skinsdad62]

Good rundown SD, those are reasonable expectations. Still need to draft guys (right now) 3-6 who we feel might be starters sooner than later, but I know it's easier said than done. I still love taking huge character risks on 5-7 picks. Could be a diamond in the rough if they get their shit together. If they crash and burn...oh well.. No big loss.

i posted this so people can see where i come from when it comes to drafts etc

so if you look at it

hankerson and ribeye j jenkins havent met expectations

riley , morris a robinson doughty nield , reed have exceeded expectations as has golston .

rambo . thomas robinson are on target as is helu

gettis and compton are at the expectation level

jenkins b , thompson are incomplete and jamison is what you think he would have been

 

[Sportster 72]

It would be nice if you could be so exact. What really has effected the draft over the years is the cap. How many Monte Coleman's or Don Warren's do you see in the league now who stayed with one team for an entire career? Reed Doughty was the closest we have seen to a player like that.

Teams are forced to keep draft picks now no matter how they perform because of their cost against the cap. Should Aldrick Robinson still be a Redskin? I don't believe so but he has been retained to this point because he is easy on the cap. You can find other players like him. Meanwhile guys like Lorenzo Alexander is gone because the team can't afford him any longer.

Todays NFL requires teams to keep a number of draft picks for 3 to 5 years while they are affordable then cut them lose.

Low round picks cost a lot more from the start so they have a 3 -4 year window to prove their worth but are let go if they don't prove to have a financial value. It's all about cost against the cap vs. production.