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puckhead
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Resident Nerd Darkstone (main board)has done a statistical analysis on every NHL forward, and regressed their points-per-game against their cap hit, and came up with an equation on what players should be paid given their offensive output (assumes average player in all the intangibles)
here's the equation and its explanation
http://www.sportshoopla.com/forums/...cussion/11212-salary-evaluation-equation.html
and of course, i couldn't resist running the Canuck forwards through the equation:
Canucks only have three overpaid players, and even then they are by minimal amounts
Kesler $5.0 million - overpaid by $125k. as a 2x Selke nominee, that's just fine.
Hordichuck $0.625m - overpaid by $430k (technically $125 k, as he can only be a league min player)
Malhotra $2.5 m - overpaid by a mere $23k
Sedins $6.1m - are each underpaid by about a million bucks each (hometown discount!)
Burrows $2.0m - underpaid by $2.35 mill
Samuellson $2.5m - underpaid by $1.3mill
J Tambellini $0.5m - underpaid by $1.6 mill (?!?) - didn't get in many games, but was productive.
also rather interesting, the equation suggests the following RFA contract levels:
M Raymond - $3.4 million. I would guess it should be between $2.5 - $3.0
J Hansen - $1.7 million. Again, that's about $7-800k too much.
I'm sure the formatting will be all messed up, but here's the data points anyways
================================================== ============
.. . . . . .. . . . actual calculated
games points p / g cap hit cap hit differential
H Sedin 82 112 1.3659 6.1 7.2790 1.1790
D Sedin 63 85 1.3492 6.1 7.1903 1.0903
R Kesler 82 75 0.9146 5 4.8744 -0.1256
A Burrows 82 67 0.8171 2 4.3544 2.3544
M Samuelsson 74 53 0.7162 2.5 3.8169 1.3169
M Raymond 82 53 0.6463 3.4445
J Hansen 47 15 0.3191 1.7008
T Glass 67 11 0.1642 0.625 0.8750 0.2500
R Rypien 69 8 0.1159 0.55 0.6179 0.0679
D Hordichuk 56 2 0.0357 0.625 0.1903 -0.4347
M Malholtra 71 33 0.4648 2.5 2.4770 -0.0230
V Oreskovich 50 6 0.1200 0.575 0.6395 0.0645
J Tambellini 36 14 0.3889 0.5 2.0725 1.5725
here's the equation and its explanation
http://www.sportshoopla.com/forums/...cussion/11212-salary-evaluation-equation.html
and of course, i couldn't resist running the Canuck forwards through the equation:
Canucks only have three overpaid players, and even then they are by minimal amounts
Kesler $5.0 million - overpaid by $125k. as a 2x Selke nominee, that's just fine.
Hordichuck $0.625m - overpaid by $430k (technically $125 k, as he can only be a league min player)
Malhotra $2.5 m - overpaid by a mere $23k
Sedins $6.1m - are each underpaid by about a million bucks each (hometown discount!)
Burrows $2.0m - underpaid by $2.35 mill
Samuellson $2.5m - underpaid by $1.3mill
J Tambellini $0.5m - underpaid by $1.6 mill (?!?) - didn't get in many games, but was productive.
also rather interesting, the equation suggests the following RFA contract levels:
M Raymond - $3.4 million. I would guess it should be between $2.5 - $3.0
J Hansen - $1.7 million. Again, that's about $7-800k too much.
I'm sure the formatting will be all messed up, but here's the data points anyways
================================================== ============
.. . . . . .. . . . actual calculated
games points p / g cap hit cap hit differential
H Sedin 82 112 1.3659 6.1 7.2790 1.1790
D Sedin 63 85 1.3492 6.1 7.1903 1.0903
R Kesler 82 75 0.9146 5 4.8744 -0.1256
A Burrows 82 67 0.8171 2 4.3544 2.3544
M Samuelsson 74 53 0.7162 2.5 3.8169 1.3169
M Raymond 82 53 0.6463 3.4445
J Hansen 47 15 0.3191 1.7008
T Glass 67 11 0.1642 0.625 0.8750 0.2500
R Rypien 69 8 0.1159 0.55 0.6179 0.0679
D Hordichuk 56 2 0.0357 0.625 0.1903 -0.4347
M Malholtra 71 33 0.4648 2.5 2.4770 -0.0230
V Oreskovich 50 6 0.1200 0.575 0.6395 0.0645
J Tambellini 36 14 0.3889 0.5 2.0725 1.5725
