Random FF Thoughts

[SmokingMonkey]

Hope you all remembered to put some deflated footballs and other team's practice tapes out for Santa Belichick last night, I know I did!

Merry Christmas yall

 

[leftypower]

Anyone gutsy enough to play the LV DST again KC is probably a very happy man - so far that is.

 

[SmokingMonkey]

Anyone gutsy enough to play the LV DST again KC is probably a very happy man - so far that is.

They're still happy!

 

[leftypower]

They're still happy!

Yea no shit - KC is floundering like a beached whale. ... as are my fantasy chances

 

[SmokingMonkey]

Yea no shit - KC is floundering like a beached whale. ... as are my fantasy chances

Been a tough one to watch for Mahomes fans

 

[Schmoopy1000]

Well I Submarined my own season
1st Cook shits the bed with Pickens scoring over 40 on my bench.
but I can feel not so bad about that because I was never considering switching those two.
However I did think to myself. Do you have the balls to bench Mahomes for Mayfield this week in the playoffs.
I did not.
Even though Mayfield consistently has been outscoring or scoring very similar points to Mahomes for some time now.
Sure enough Mayfield outscored Mahomes this week. Looks like the #1 team in my league misses playing in the Championship game again.
Sitting at 38% to win.

He still has Hurts & Deebo. & Eagles kicker

I have Aiyuk & 3 defensive players left. Unless Hurts shits the bed I am toast!

 

[leftypower]

One thing I've noted this week is that a number of the 'favored' teams seem to have forgotten that there is another team on the field with nothing to lose - but pride to gain. ...

 

[TREFF]

One thing I've noted this week is that a number of the 'favored' teams seem to have forgotten that there is another team on the field with nothing to lose - but pride to gain. ...

Definitely.

Vegas has no business beating the Cheifs, but they did.

No Javobs, 4 yards from Adams, zero reason they should've lost. Cheifs have some serious soul searching to do, and some massive holes to fill on offense

 

[SmokingMonkey]

Well I Submarined my own season
1st Cook shits the bed with Pickens scoring over 40 on my bench.
but I can feel not so bad about that because I was never considering switching those two.
However I did think to myself. Do you have the balls to bench Mahomes for Mayfield this week in the playoffs.
I did not.
Even though Mayfield consistently has been outscoring or scoring very similar points to Mahomes for some time now.
Sure enough Mayfield outscored Mahomes this week. Looks like the #1 team in my league misses playing in the Championship game again.
Sitting at 38% to win.

He still has Hurts & Deebo. & Eagles kicker

I have Aiyuk & 3 defensive players left. Unless Hurts shits the bed I am toast!

I put Odell in my 2nd flex spot, any other of my bench options would've given me the W

Hate this game sometimes

 

[Schmoopy1000]

I put Odell in my 2nd flex spot, any other of my bench options would've given me the W

Hate this game sometimes

Yeah.
Its official.
If I had the balls to play Mayfield over Mahomes I would have won also LOL

 

[leftypower]

Definitely.

Vegas has no business beating the Cheifs, but they did.

No Javobs, 4 yards from Adams, zero reason they should've lost. Cheifs have some serious soul searching to do, and some massive holes to fill on offense

They just have not looked like the same team this yr. Sometimes they just seem to be sleep-walking like everyone should just bow down to their pedigree - also seems they also have gotten too 'cute' with the some play-calling where they should just lineup with their best and beatdown the other team. Haven't really watched but when teams like LV keep getting pressure on Mahomes, there obviously OL issues. ....

 

[MilkSpiller22]

Hope you all remembered to put some deflated footballs and other team's practice tapes out for Santa Belichick last night, I know I did!

Merry Christmas yall

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nice wins!!! im not brave enough yet to place bets for larger than 10 dollars... but i am also not smart enough yet to do parlays of less than 6 legs...

so not sure if you are brave to bet so much... or if you are just smart enough NOT to take any significant chances... such that you win more than 20% of your bets...


Im doing well in my gambling... but again, i spend 3-10 dollars per bet... and rely on the big win to get my payouts...

My problem though now... is that i am on 4 sites... Underdog, Prizepicks, Fanduel, and Draftkings...

I like Draftkings more than fanduel... so i bet more on it... but i have also not had my big wins on it... So i am runniing out of money on it(down ro my last 3 dollars), while i have over 500 dollars in the other 3...

 

[SmokingMonkey]

nice wins!!! im not brave enough yet to place bets for larger than 10 dollars... but i am also not smart enough yet to do parlays of less than 6 legs...

so not sure if you are brave to bet so much... or if you are just smart enough NOT to take any significant chances... such that you win more than 20% of your bets...


Im doing well in my gambling... but again, i spend 3-10 dollars per bet... and rely on the big win to get my payouts...

My problem though now... is that i am on 4 sites... Underdog, Prizepicks, Fanduel, and Draftkings...

I like Draftkings more than fanduel... so i bet more on it... but i have also not had my big wins on it... So i am runniing out of money on it(down ro my last 3 dollars), while i have over 500 dollars in the other 3...

I start out the season with $100 into each book, place mostly $5-10 bets, mix some $20s in there, then once I build up the bankroll I try to do mostly $15-20 wagers, using similar research and strategies that got me to that point.

The Zappe wagers were just me being bored over the holidays. I texted those plays to a buddy and told him I have zero research put into it, just felt like Zappe was going to have a night, and he did. Being lucky is still better than being good in this game.

 

[MilkSpiller22]

I start out the season with $100 into each book, place mostly $5-10 bets, mix some $20s in there, then once I build up the bankroll I try to do mostly $15-20 wagers, using similar research and strategies that got me to that point.

The Zappe wagers were just me being bored over the holidays. I texted those plays to a buddy and told him I have zero research put into it, just felt like Zappe was going to have a night, and he did. Being lucky is still better than being good in this game.

do you normally do parlays with less than 4 legs?? If so good job being smart!!!! i am too focused on getting the big wins, that i dont play smart...

I did put in a "Smart" parlay on fanduel this morning since i am down to my last 3 dollars... but it was NBA... and i know nothing about NBA... Still expect to win... as i just went moneyline on the three largest spreads... maybe ill do that until i lose it all...

 

[SmokingMonkey]

do you normally do parlays with less than 4 legs?? If so good job being smart!!!! i am too focused on getting the big wins, that i dont play smart...

I do a mix, if I build one with a lot of legs, I tease down the lines to really easily achievable thresholds ( better on FD than DK) then loop 6-12 of them into a parlay and typically put a smaller aamt on the line.

Typically I'll wager more if I pick fewer lines but that's not a given, confidence level plays a bigger part in me deciding my amounts

 

[TREFF]

I do a mix, if I build one with a lot of legs, I tease down the lines to really easily achievable thresholds ( better on FD than DK) then loop 6-12 of them into a parlay and typically put a smaller aamt on the line.

Typically I'll wager more if I pick fewer lines but that's not a given, confidence level plays a bigger part in me deciding my amounts

 

[TREFF]

They just have not looked like the same team this yr. Sometimes they just seem to be sleep-walking like everyone should just bow down to their pedigree - also seems they also have gotten too 'cute' with the some play-calling where they should just lineup with their best and beatdown the other team. Haven't really watched but when teams like LV keep getting pressure on Mahomes, there obviously OL issues. ....

well the Raiders do have one of the best in the league at rushing the passer, and if you overcommit to stopping him, the other guy is no slouch either. But yes, there is issues on that line. Losing Orlando Brown was bigger than they thought.

But, that even further highlights the issues elsewhere.
With most teams, if the line can't stop pressure, the TE is often left in to assist blocking, or at least assist and then leak out into the patterns. But with the Chiefs, they only have one dude who they know will beat whatever coverage is being put out there, and you can't leave him in to block when no one is beating single coverage, it's still a net loss.
Take it a step further, there is no RB worth a darn at pass pro on that team either, so that's not helping the situation. McKinnon, CEH, and Pacheco, all willing participants, but all are undersized and better suited for a "chip and leak' role more so than a 'pick up the free blitzer' role, they get plowed over virtually every time, and that's not counting when they whiff completely.

They need a WR1, they need an offensive tackle - or two -, and they need a run game, preferably with a guy that isn't best suited for a satellite role so that he actually could pickup a blitzer, as well as get 4 yards between the tackles on a regular basis. And while they're at it, they'd better find a suitable replacement for their damned near 35 year old TE (will be come next season anyways).

 

[MilkSpiller22]

I do a mix, if I build one with a lot of legs, I tease down the lines to really easily achievable thresholds ( better on FD than DK) then loop 6-12 of them into a parlay and typically put a smaller aamt on the line.

Typically I'll wager more if I pick fewer lines but that's not a given, confidence level plays a bigger part in me deciding my amounts

Yea. I don’t mean this in a bragadocious way. But for game play it is very difficult when you get early success based on lucky big payments. I keep saying that when I start losing I will start playing smarter. But I haven’t gotten to that point. So I continue betting stupid. And I’ll win one and it’s all good.

No I don’t want to ever lose money. But it’s hard to really learn what to do when you continue going for gold all the time and hitting once in a while.

 

[SmokingMonkey]

Yea. I don’t mean this in a bragadocious way. But for game play it is very difficult when you get early success based on lucky big payments. I keep saying that when I start losing I will start playing smarter. But I haven’t gotten to that point. So I continue betting stupid. And I’ll win one and it’s all good.

No I don’t want to ever lose money. But it’s hard to really learn what to do when you continue going for gold all the time and hitting once in a while.

That was my strategy the last couple years, has been very nice having Xmas covered by gambling winnings the last 2yrs, I need to withdraw some profits soon this year

 

[TREFF]

big shout out to BB...
one final huge middle finger to fantasy owners on his way out the door.

why wait until Wednesday of week 17 to put Stevenson on IR?? should've been done two weeks ago, assclown!!