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Brees#1
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So Seattle lost to Baltimore, a key game, LAR beat Atlanta, a key game, and also beat NO, a key game that Seattle lost. Seattle hasn't beaten anyone LA hasn't. LA is sure to beat the Bengals, Steelers, Cardinals (twice). SF also has only beaten one team LA didn't...Tampa Bay. However, SF additionally beat the Bengals, Browns, Steelers, all teams that LA has already beaten or will beat.
LAR is currently in third place, one game out of second, and two and a half games out of first.
SF splitting against Baltimore and NO will hurt them in a strength of victory scenario against LAR. They can't afford to lose to the Cardinals or Panthers as division record and common games will kill them.
LAR probably won't lose again until week 11, and then probably wins out if they don't get swept by Seattle or SF. Dallas is a possible loss, but the NFC East is a weak division.
Challenges coming up for LAR
Chicago, Baltimore, Dallas...possibility of two losses
Challenges coming up for Seattle
Atlanta, Tampa Bay, Philadelphia, Minnesota...possibility of three losses plus two division losses to SF and LA.
Challenges coming up for SF
Carolina, Arizona twice, Green Bay, Baltimore, New Orleans....possibility of four losses plus two division losses to Seattle and LA.
I think SF needs to be careful against Carolina who's embroiled in a race with the Saints.
LAR could go 11-5 at worst, 12-4 at best
Seattle could go 9-7 at worst, 12-4 at best
SF could go 10-6 at worst, 13-3 at best.
I fix certain aspects such as LA's back to back home games against Chicago and Baltimore, SF's back to back road games against Baltimore and NO. Some back to backs are not an impact. LAR can beat both Dallas and SF on the road because they've already won back to back road games for two years. Also, I fix worst-case scenarios such as Seattle against Atlanta and Tampa Bay because I don't think they lose both.
So this division is far from over, and LAR is quite possibly still the frontrunner.
LAR is currently in third place, one game out of second, and two and a half games out of first.
SF splitting against Baltimore and NO will hurt them in a strength of victory scenario against LAR. They can't afford to lose to the Cardinals or Panthers as division record and common games will kill them.
LAR probably won't lose again until week 11, and then probably wins out if they don't get swept by Seattle or SF. Dallas is a possible loss, but the NFC East is a weak division.
Challenges coming up for LAR
Chicago, Baltimore, Dallas...possibility of two losses
Challenges coming up for Seattle
Atlanta, Tampa Bay, Philadelphia, Minnesota...possibility of three losses plus two division losses to SF and LA.
Challenges coming up for SF
Carolina, Arizona twice, Green Bay, Baltimore, New Orleans....possibility of four losses plus two division losses to Seattle and LA.
I think SF needs to be careful against Carolina who's embroiled in a race with the Saints.
LAR could go 11-5 at worst, 12-4 at best
Seattle could go 9-7 at worst, 12-4 at best
SF could go 10-6 at worst, 13-3 at best.
I fix certain aspects such as LA's back to back home games against Chicago and Baltimore, SF's back to back road games against Baltimore and NO. Some back to backs are not an impact. LAR can beat both Dallas and SF on the road because they've already won back to back road games for two years. Also, I fix worst-case scenarios such as Seattle against Atlanta and Tampa Bay because I don't think they lose both.
So this division is far from over, and LAR is quite possibly still the frontrunner.