jags predictions

[CrashDavisSports]

last time we won in Jax??????

Is Andy inconsistent???? on the road 12th ranked pass defense again Andy??? I think we lose.....

If im wrong.....I WILL EAT MY PLATE OF CROW LIKE A MAN!

Kramer runs like a lil girl or continues to provide excuses...I man up...BIG DIFFERENCE. LOL

They have the 12th ranked pass defense, but they said get rid of the monsoon game where it was hard as hell to throw a football, and they would have a 21st+ ranked pass D.

Jax passing D is not that great. There is still no one there that can cover Green or Gresham.

You see Gabbert's throwing motion against the Saints? On one of my links..AFC Playbook I think...the dude literally looks like he should be in the Special Olympics because he shot put the ball rather than threw it. Gabbert completed what last week against the Saints?

16 of 42 for a 38% completion percent

We should not lose, but if we do, we beat ourselves.

We hadn't beat Buffalo since January 1989 either, and we fixed that last week, let's take care of this string against the Jags now!!

 

[saratogasharksuit]

10-3 Bengals

 

[BigBlueNation111]

nfl yahoo odds:

5dimes.com jags -1
bodog.eu jags -3
SBGGLOBAL.com jags -1
OddsMaker.com jags -2

from walterfootball.com:
under-rated teams:
Cincinnati Bengals - That loss to the 49ers is looking like a fluke. The Bengals have a really good defense and running game, and Andy Dalton has been steady thus far.

Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3)
Line: Jaguars by 2.5. Total: 37.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4): Jaguars -3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4): Jaguars -3.
Sunday, Oct. 9, 1:00 ET
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The Game. Edge: Bengals.

Video of the Week: I don't have any random college football notes, but this awesome video should suffice. Take a look at this as proof of how much college football and the BCS suck. Thanks to e-mailer Ashraf Z. for sending this over.

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: As you can probably tell by the tone of my writing this week, I'm pretty pissed off. One of the many reasons I'm angry has to do with the Bengals-Bills game. Andy Dalton was great in the second half and was able to lead his team to an upset victory, but where the hell was this against the 49ers when I made Cincinnati one of my two September NFL Picks of the Month? Ugh.

Dalton was great though, and I don't expect him to regress against the Jaguars. Jacksonville is 12th versus the pass, but if you take out that monsoon game against Carolina, it would rank 22nd (7.8 YPA). The team just doesn't put much pressure on the quarterback (6 sacks), and Dalton has taken only five sacks in the past three weeks.

It doesn't look like Cedric Benson will be suspended - way to take your time, NFL - but he'll only have mild success against a Jacksonville rush defense that ranks 10th (3.8 YPC). Even if Benson is suspended, Bernard Scott should be able to do a solid job. Cincinnati's stout ground attack is more of the blocking than the mediocre Benson himself.

JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: Blaine Gabbert hasn't had a strong showing thus far. I'll excuse the monsoon game (though he displayed poor pocket awareness in that contest), but he was downright awful against the Saints. He constantly missed his receivers, especially in the second half, completing just 16 of his 42 pass attempts.

The Bengals have a really good defense that ranks third against the pass. They limited a red-hot Ryan Fitzpatrick to only 199 yards on 34 attempts last week, so they shouldn't have any issues with Gabbert.

Maurice Jones-Drew is the reason the Jaguars aren't getting blown out every week. Despite coming off a knee injury, he's been spectacular this year, averaging 5.1 yards per carry. The Bengals give up 3.1 YPC, however, and they were able to restrict Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller to 78 yards on 20 totes.

RECAP: This spread says that the Bengals are just a half point better than Jacksonville. That's complete crap.

The Jaguars could be the worst team in the NFL. Their Week 1 victory was a fluke; with a new head coach, the Titans were simply unprepared to play that game after a shortened offseason. The struggling Jets slaughtered them in Week 2. The Panthers, as discussed earlier, should have won by 13 in a monsoon. And the sloppy Saints let Jacksonville hang around last Sunday.

To make matters worse for the Jaguars, they're going to be flat following an emotional loss to the Saints. I don't see them getting up for the Bengals, who have been a covering machine as underdogs (15-6 ATS since 2009).


The Psychology. Edge: Bengals.
The Jaguars threw everything at the Saints and came up short. They won't be up for the Bengals.


The Vegas. Edge: Jaguars.
No surprise that the public is backing the Bengals.
Percentage of money on Cincinnati: 77% (6,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Bengals.
Bengals are 15-6 ATS as underdogs since 2009.
Jaguars are 10-23 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.
Jaguars are 4-11 ATS as home favorites since 2008.
Opening Line: Jaguars -2.5.
Opening Total: 36.
Weather: .


Week 5 NFL Pick: Bengals 23, Jaguars 10
Bengals +2.5 (3 Units)
Under 37 (0 Units)
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All sounds about right!