Game Thread: Game 14: Lions at Jets

[Old Lion]

Sum 1PM ET on CBS

• Against the spread (ATS): Lions +1 (-111) | Jets -1 (-109)
• Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

This suggest 23-22 Jets.

Going to be a tough one.

 

[Gulf of Brazil]

Sum 1PM ET on CBS

• Against the spread (ATS): Lions +1 (-111) | Jets -1 (-109)
• Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

This suggest 23-22 Jets.

Going to be a tough one.

Jets' defense is one of the better ones when looking at it from a statistical perspective.

From POD

Stats:

• 22nd in points scored (20.3 PPG), 6th in points allowed (18.7 PPG)
• 9th in overall DVOA
• 19th in offensive DVOA (23rd in pass DVOA, 12th in run DVOA)
• 6th in defensive DVOA (6th in pass DVOA, 9th in run DVOA)

To give you a sense of just how good this defense is, they rank in the top 10 in the following categories: points allowed (sixth), yards allowed (third), yards per play (t-first), pressure percentage (eighth), sacks (t-fifth), passer rating allowed (second), interceptions (t-seventh), passes defended (t-10th), and yards per carry allowed (fifth).

The Jets defense has shut down opposing passing attacks (5.4 net yards gained per passing attempt; fourth in NFL) because of their ability to get after the passer without blitzing: New York blitzes 15.1 percent of time—dead last in the NFL—but is 10th in the league in quarterback pressures (239) according to Pro Football Focus. When you have the power and technique of Quinnen Williams in the middle at your disposal (45 pressures, 11.0 sacks), veteran EDGE defender Carl Lawson playing at a high level (36 pressures, 6.0 sacks), and the emergence of John Franklin-Myers (36 pressures, 4.0 sacks) on the other side of Lawson, you don’t need more than four players to get after the quarterback.

Gardner is PFF’s No. 1 ranked cornerback in coverage (89.1 grade), first in forced incompletion per target (27 percent), total forced incompletions (16), and reception percentage against (44.1 percent) while toting the third-best passer rating against (48.8). On the other side, D.J. Reed is proving to be stifling in coverage as well with a 55.1 percent completion percentage against (14th among qualifying cornerbacks) and 9.7 yards per reception allowed (tied 7th).

 

[Gulf of Brazil]

This is the type of game we'd expect to see from the 1970's black and blue division.

Hopefully DC has these players ready for the dogfight they're about to endure and not riding too high emotionally from their win against the Vikings.

 

[Gulf of Brazil]

I wonder if either team is capable of scoring 23 points in this game.

 

[Gulf of Brazil]

The Jets rank sixth in pass defense (as measured by drop back EPA), but the Lions have faced five teams ranked in the top 10 already this season, to wildly varying results. Take a look at Goff’s stats against those teams:

• Patriots (No. 1 pass defense): 19-of-35, 229 yards, 0 TDs, 1 INT, 62.7 passer rating
• Eagles (No. 2): 21-of-37, 215 yards, 2 TDs 1 INT, 80.4 passer rating
• Cowboys (No. 3): 21-of-26, 228 yards, 0 TDs, 2 INTs, 71.2 passer rating
• Commanders (No. 8): 20-of-34, 256 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INTs, 121.7 passer rating
• Bills (No. 10): 23-of-37, 240 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, 98.9 passer rating

 

[Gulf of Brazil]

DC and Ben Johnson should be hopeful that Quinnen Williams is out for this game and that the Lions O-Line actually run blocks well to set up what looks like on paper will become a short to intermediate passing game by Goff.

Jamaal Williams, Justin Jackson and Swift all will be needed to step up their run game and Swift needs to not be so damn hesitant when running inside. He's still an outside zone runner and last week once again proved that. He grows pitter patter feet inside the tackles all too often.

Expect Swift to be lined up outside more often this week too.

 

[Old Lion]

DC and Ben Johnson should be hopeful that Quinnen Williams is out for this game and that the Lions O-Line actually run blocks well to set up what looks like on paper will become a short to intermediate passing game by Goff.

Jamaal Williams, Justin Jackson and Swift all will be needed to step up their run game and Swift needs to not be so damn hesitant when running inside. He's still an outside zone runner and last week once again proved that. He grows pitter patter feet inside the tackles all too often.

Expect Swift to be lined up outside more often this week too.

Could be a lot of running this weekend. On the bright side, Seattle already lost.

 

[VulturesRule]

Looks like Zach Wilson is back as the Jets starting quarterback. Will be interesting to see if the Detroit D can adjust. This should cement the Jets into a ground game. It also bodes well for a low scoring encounter. On balance, a change this late in the opposing quarterback this late in the week, especially to one that seems to be polarizing, should favor the Lions.

 

[Old Lion]

Looks like Zach Wilson is back as the Jets starting quarterback. Will be interesting to see if the Detroit D can adjust. This should cement the Jets into a ground game. It also bodes well for a low scoring encounter. On balance, a change this late in the opposing quarterback this late in the week, especially to one that seems to be polarizing, should favor the Lions.

It should but it usually never does.

 

[Old Lion]

Ugh. Colts blow a 33 point lead against the Vikings. Now the Rams pick just slipped back out of the top 5.

 

[Wazmankg]

No problem with that call with only a half yard to go. Good drive.

 

[VulturesRule]

Oh, boy! Special teams being special. Way to go!

 

[Mebert]

Lions better cleanup the penalties

 

[Edonidd]

I dont care how good Hutchinsen has been or how high you drafted him or Pascal or the other guy or whatever whoever. Get James Houston all the snaps.

 

[Mebert]

Time to start considering Houston is the real deal

 

[Mebert]

I dont care how good Hutchinsen has been or how high you drafted him or Pascal or the other guy or whatever whoever. Get James Houston all the snaps.

He is still a liability in the run game

 

[Edonidd]

He is still a liability in the run game

5 sacks in like 40 snaps. I don't care if he's not great in run defense.

 

[VulturesRule]

5 sacks in like 40 snaps. I don't care if he's not great in run defense.

We tend to see individual stats and project them onto all situations. It's a team sport. Sure, Huston needs to be out there more - especially in passing situations. Right now, he's on the ascension.

 

[Wazmankg]

They need to keep Wilson in the pocket somehow. They just can't cover that long.

 

[Mebert]

5 sacks in like 40 snaps. I don't care if he's not great in run defense.

That is situational pass rushing. Put him in on running downs and not only will that efficiency drop, but there will be less opportunity overall as they will run right at him.