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Gambling this weekend

cincygrad

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Here are the lines I'm working with

Bengals +4
Skins +3
Colts +6.5
Minny +7.5

So far, I like all the underdogs. Give me your thoughts and make me some money.
 

CrashDavisSports

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Here are the lines I'm working with

Bengals +4
Skins +3
Colts +6.5
Minny +7.5

So far, I like all the underdogs. Give me your thoughts and make me some money.

I would take the Vikings and Colts. I would never gamble on the Bengals in the playoffs, and I think Seattle is a better team than the Skins. Both offenses good, but only Seattle has a dominate defense.
 

DanBengalfan

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Ravens are hinging everything on "Ray Lewis emotion"

These are pro athletes, no one should need to give them a damned pep talk.
I like the Colts.

Also, Seattle is on a mission, people don't want to face how good they are since they aren't used to it yet. Stay away from the Skins, they beat the crap-boys and now everyone thinks they can win the superbowl with a hobbled rg3.
 

ckhokie

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Ravens are hinging everything on "Ray Lewis emotion"

These are pro athletes, no one should need to give them a damned pep talk.
I like the Colts.

Also, Seattle is on a mission, people don't want to face how good they are since they aren't used to it yet. Stay away from the Skins, they beat the crap-boys and now everyone thinks they can win the superbowl with a hobbled rg3.

To be fair, they've won 7 in a row, and over that span have beaten the Cowboys, Ravens, Browns and Giants. All teams we've lost to, or would call 'good wins'
 

DanBengalfan

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Seattle will cover. The dark side of the force has clouded the judgement of the senate.
 

CrashDavisSports

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To be fair, they've won 7 in a row, and over that span have beaten the Cowboys, Ravens, Browns and Giants. All teams we've lost to, or would call 'good wins'

Actually, we beat the Giants 34-13.

We have also beat the Browns and Ravens once this year while losing to Dallas by 1 point on a last second FG after being up by 9 with 7 minutes to go in the game.

Not overly convinced the Redskins are much better than the Bengals overall. They offense is a bit better, but our defense is much better.

I think Seattle is still going to win by more than 10 points.
 

ckhokie

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To be fair, they've won 7 in a row, and over that span have beaten the Cowboys, Ravens, Browns and Giants. All teams we've lost to, or would call 'good wins'

Actually, we beat the Giants 34-13.

We have also beat the Browns and Ravens once this year while losing to Dallas by 1 point on a last second FG after being up by 9 with 7 minutes to go in the game.

1. You obviously didn't really read my post.
2. You don't need to rehash our season with me. I do watch our team.
 

kramer1

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Here are the lines I'm working with

Bengals +4
Skins +3
Colts +6.5
Minny +7.5

So far, I like all the underdogs. Give me your thoughts and make me some money.

Haha...I like all the favorites.
 

JBUCK66

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i like the colts and bengs with the pts.

+ GB and Sea.
 

cincygrad

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Seattle has 3 wins on the road -- Carolina, Chicago, and Buffalo (played in Canada). They lost road games to Arizona, Detroit, St. Louis and Miami. I think everyone is reading too much into that whipping they gave to SF -- SF was a tired team with a lot of injuries at that point.

I think Baltimore wins, but 6.5 is a big cover for an offense that only plays sometimes.
 

bengaldoug

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According to my statistical projections, these lines are very tight.

Houston 24 Cincinnati 21 (1 pt of value for the Bengals)
Baltimore 28 Indy 20 (1.5 pts of value for the Ravens)
Green Bay 28 Minny 21 (0.5 pts value to Minny)
Seattle 24 Skins 18 (3 pts of value to Seahawks)

Yep, pretty tight. Lean to Seattle. The rest are complete crapshoots. Ray Lewis' announced retirement might help the ratbirds this weekend.
 

bengaldoug

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I absolutely believe teams hot going in have an advantage over teams cold going in.

Houston has lost 3 of the last 4, including a bad loss at home to Minnesota where they didn't show up at all. They also were a no-show at Indy with homefield advantage on the line. They are very vulnerable to a Bengals team that went 7-1 the second half of the season and is playing great defense over that stretch.

Colts have won 5 of last 6 while Ravens lost 4 of last five. I was loving the Colts until Ray Lewis announced his pending retirement. Now I'm not so sure.

Vikes won the last four to get in, including at Houston and over a Green Bay team playing for a bye. Packers were looking hot, winning last four before the loss to Minny. I think home field may be the deciding factor in this one. Also the Rodgers vs Ponder matchup looks lopsided at Green Bay.

Seattle at Skins matches two very hot teams. Seattle had struggles on the road earlier in the season, but to me the defense is the difference. Leaning to the Seahawks as the better overall team with the healthier quarterback. Still, much respect to the Skins and RGIII.
 

bengaldoug

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While talking gambling this weekend, let's look at the national championship game. There is tons of value on Notre Dame. The final score projects to 14-13 'bama, and there are places you can get the Irish at +10.5. The game looks tight to the end, and in the end anyone's game to win. Alabama (and I'm a fan) is completely overrated this year.
 

kramer1

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While talking gambling this weekend, let's look at the national championship game. There is tons of value on Notre Dame. The final score projects to 14-13 'bama, and there are places you can get the Irish at +10.5. The game looks tight to the end, and in the end anyone's game to win. Alabama (and I'm a fan) is completely overrated this year.

I'm an Irish boy, but I hate Notre Dame. I think Alabama wins this game, but I wouldn't dare bet it. I think Alabama wins by between 7-21 points.
 

cincygrad

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I think Alabama is going to blow them out of the water.
 

bengaldoug

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I think Alabama is going to blow them out of the water.

That's my hope, but I just don't see it. If this was last year's Alabama then sure. This 'bama team is just a shell of last year's team, and ND is better than you guys think. Two very good defenses, low scoring game, and 10.5 points. Way too many.
 

kramer1

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That's my hope, but I just don't see it. If this was last year's Alabama then sure. This 'bama team is just a shell of last year's team, and ND is better than you guys think. Two very good defenses, low scoring game, and 10.5 points. Way too many.

That's what they want you to think!

I'd take Bama if a gun was to my head.
 

bengaldoug

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That's what they want you to think!

I'd take Bama if a gun was to my head.

What they want me to think doesn't matter. Statistical analysis is what I use to form leans or opinions. I'm telling you 'bama has not been the dominate team they were last year. Notre Dame has played a tougher sched than 'bama. The earlier bowl games are proving the SEC was down a bit this year. LSU loses to Clemson? South Carolina barely gets by a mediocre Michigan? Overrated Florida totally whipped by Louisville? This will be a close game. Wouldn't surprise me a bit if Notre Dame pulled off the upset.
 

ckhokie

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Hate ND, but I fully expect them to cover. Don't let the SEC nutswingers at ESPN fool you. Their offense isn't anywhere near as good as it was last year, and it wasn't even great then.
 
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