Series Thread: ECF: 2) Boston Celtics vs 8) Miami Heat

[thunderc]

I am saying that the percentage of teams who win after trailing 0-2 at home is greater than the percentage of teams who win after trailing 0-2 on the road.

And I just proved it.

Not conceding that is true but wouldn’t you admit that would defy logic?

 

[thunderc]

I am ready.

Would love for @thunderc to acknowledge that he might have messed up, but not holding my breath.

I most certainly didn’t mess up, you are trying to make a case that the Celtics are better off having less home games left lol.

 

[fightinfunbags]

I most certainly didn’t mess up, you are trying to make a case that the Celtics are better off having less home games left lol.

No he’s not. He’s pointing out that you’re trying to compare apples and oranges because you haven’t aggregated the data the right way before attempting to do the percentage problem.

 

[thunderc]

As Celtics fall in 0-2 hole, here's what NBA history says about their chances of coming back

History isn't on the Celtics' side after losing the first two games at home in the Eastern Conference finals. Read more on Boston.com.

www.boston.com

 

[tlance]

I most certainly didn’t mess up, you are trying to make a case that the Celtics are better off having less home games left lol.

I do not think they are better off because they have less home games left. It is terrible to lose the first 2 games at home.

Not at all.

But this all started because some sites like ESPN were still picking Boston as the winner.

The reason that the percentage of teams to come back from 0-2 after losing 2 at home is higher than the overall percentage is actually common sense.

Many if not of the 0-2 series where the home team wins both were lopsided affairs where the favorite simply overmatched their opponent.

In this case, Boston is in a terrible spot.

But, if the public still believes that Boston is the better team, it would follow logically that Boston would have a better chance of winning 4/5 remaining games even though 3 are in Miami than the league average which includes many series that were essentially over before they even started.

 

[tlance]

As Celtics fall in 0-2 hole, here's what NBA history says about their chances of coming back

History isn't on the Celtics' side after losing the first two games at home in the Eastern Conference finals. Read more on Boston.com.

www.boston.com

Yeah, I read that article.

Where I got the numbers from.

 

[tlance]

Not conceding that is true but wouldn’t you admit that would defy logic?

Honestly no.

It seems to defy logic until you look at examples like this one.

Who is more likely to come back?

Boston against Miami?

Or the overmatched Brooklyn Nets against the 6ers from round 1?

Way more 2-0 series in NBA history that looked like that Brooklyn Philly series than what we are seeing now with Boston/Miami.

 

[fightinfunbags]

Hey guys, I thought I would further the conversation.

 

[Think McFly Think]

Hey guys, I thought I would further the conversation.

View attachment 329121

 

[trojanfan12]

Hey guys, I thought I would further the conversation.

View attachment 329121

 

[Wamu]

Can't say I have alotta faith in the Celtics right now.

Not sure what to expect tonight. Hopefully they don't get swept.

Miami's playing great in this series.

Damn you Jimmy Buckets!

Oh yeah. Grant Williams better keep his big mouth shut.

 

[thunderc]

Hey guys, I thought I would further the conversation.

View attachment 329121

Believe it or not there are people that could do all of those in their head and tell you the answer. I happen to know one.

 

[bksballer89]

Believe it or not there are people that could do all of those in their head and tell you the answer. I happen to know one.

Are you talking about yourself?

 

[thunderc]

Are you talking about yourself?

What do you think? Those are pretty easy lol.

 

[tlance]

What do you think? Those are pretty easy lol.

I was going to say.

Not that hard.

 

[thunderc]

I was going to say.

Not that hard.

Ummm no

 

[bksballer89]

Who won?

 

[tlance]

Who won?

I did

 

[bksballer89]

I did

 

[thunderc]

I did

No, you didn’t but we both were right in a way. I’ll have a summary later. In the meantime if you are bored I think your number is off on the number of teams to have lost the first 2 at home and go ahead and lose. I say that because I quickly found over 20 that lost the first 2 at home and went ahead and got swept. It’s a bit more difficult to find the number that lost the first 2 at home, won a game or two but went ahead and lost. I suspect it’s quite a bit higher than what you thought you found.