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Series Thread: ECF: 2) Boston Celtics vs 8) Miami Heat

thunderc

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No, I am doing the opposite.

I am trying to throw out the teams who went down 0-2 on the road.

Because we are also throwing out the 22 teams who went won their series after losing the first 2 games on the road
You are trying to throw out the most probably subset, teams that lost after losing the first 2 at home. I invite you to show your work and give a percentage.
 

thunderc

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Well, you are wrong this time.

It isn’t your math, it is your logic failing you.
Oh no, you simply have no logic on this. You are trying to act like it’s easier if you lost the first 2 at home. No.
 

fightinfunbags

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Can’t wait to come back after the game tonight to see what the new math is
 

tlance

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You are trying to throw out the most probably subset, teams that lost after losing the first 2 at home. I invite you to show your work and give a percentage.

That is not what I am doing.

We don’t have all the data available.

The correct % is

Teams who came back from 0-2 while losing first 2 at home (5)

Divided by

Total number of Teams who lost their first 2 games of a playoff series AT HOME-

NOT the total number of teams to go down 0-2, which includes all the teams to lose their first 2 games on the road.

We do not know what this number is yet, so I can’t make the calculation.

What I do know for sure, is that it is far lower than 312.
 

thunderc

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Can’t wait to come back after the game tonight to see what the new math is
0.3 percent is the correct answer for teams that came back to win a series after losing the first 2 at home. Now that is of the total teams that were down 0-2. What he is trying to say is that 5 of the 27 that overcame the odds of 27/312 did so after losing the first 2 at home. He would be correct if he were saying that about 25 percent of teams that overcame 0-2 did so after losing the first 2 at home. He’s not seeing it though.
 

fightinfunbags

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0.3 percent is the correct answer for teams that came back to win a series after losing the first 2 at home. Now that is of the total teams that were down 0-2. What he is trying to say is that 5 of the 27 that overcame the odds of 27/312 did so after losing the first 2 at home. He would be correct if he were saying that about 25 percent of teams that o we came 0-2 sis so after losing the first 2 at home. He’s not seeing it though.
Yeah I was being sarcastic and I don’t really give a fuck.
 

tlance

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0.3 percent is the correct answer for teams that came back to win a series after losing the first 2 at home. Now that is of the total teams that were down 0-2. What he is trying to say is that 5 of the 27 that overcame the odds of 27/312 did so after losing the first 2 at home. He would be correct if he were saying that about 25 percent of teams that overcame 0-2 did so after losing the first 2 at home. He’s not seeing it though.

Not what I am saying at all.
 

thunderc

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Yeah I was being sarcastic and I don’t really give a fuck.
Nor do I but I’m not wrong about this. I expect in his head he thinks he is right but he is doing a poor job of explaining. I will bet it all, I’m right.
 

tlance

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Yeah I was being sarcastic and I don’t really give a fuck.

Alright, I get you don’t care.

But you are an SAT prep guy.

Please look a couple posts above and confirm to this dude that he is not right.

Because I know you can follow what I am saying.
 

thunderc

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Pretty smug for someone who is wrong
You can’t disprove what I’m saying. 27/312 (your numbers) is the percentage that overcame 0-2. 5/27 is the number that successfully did it after losing first 2 at home. 5/27 times 27/312 is the mathematically correct nimber.
 

The Q

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This is the best version of a Tatum/Brown-led Celtics team that has been put together... but it still has all the same problems that have plagued this version of the Celtics. Even with Tatum and Brown being smack in the middle of their prime years... (they're not kids anymore)... even with a bevy of veterans surrounding them...
  • Boston can't consistently beat a zone defense
  • Boston can't consistently execute in the clutch
:noidea:

I have to say, though... Jimmy Butler is a marvel. I can't help but admire him even as he's killing my team. The combination of confidence, competitiveness, leadership and joy that he brings to the basketball court is amazing.

Anywho... unless the Celtics are winning by 20+ points with any less than 5 minutes to go in a game, I wouldn't bet money on them earning the W.

Same stuff over and over for the last 5 years

You would think when 1-5 (when it’s al and grant or white on the floor) can space and shoot the 3 that you’d figure out the zone

But it’s like watching the bubble all over again, except jaylen hasn’t ended someone’s career yet
 

The Q

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Can’t wait to come back after the game tonight to see what the new math is

That is not what I am doing.

We don’t have all the data available.

The correct % is

Teams who came back from 0-2 while losing first 2 at home (5)

Divided by

Total number of Teams who lost their first 2 games of a playoff series AT HOME-

NOT the total number of teams to go down 0-2, which includes all the teams to lose their first 2 games on the road.

We do not know what this number is yet, so I can’t make the calculation.

What I do know for sure, is that it is far lower than 312.

You can’t disprove what I’m saying. 27/312 (your numbers) is the percentage that overcame 0-2. 5/27 is the number that successfully did it after losing first 2 at home. 5/27 times 27/312 is the mathematically correct nimber.

I think everyone can agree….


…it’s way too early (on a Sunday no less!!) for math…
 

tlance

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You can’t disprove what I’m saying. 27/312 (your numbers) is the percentage that overcame 0-2. 5/27 is the number that successfully did it after losing first 2 at home. 5/27 times 27/312 is the mathematically correct nimber.

I can though if you just read my posts.

Not going to rehash again. It is all there.
 

fightinfunbags

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Nor do I but I’m not wrong about this. I expect in his head he thinks he is right but he is doing a poor job of explaining. I will bet it all, I’m right.

Alright, I get you don’t care.

But you are an SAT prep guy.

Please look a couple posts above and confirm to this dude that he is not right.

Because I know you can follow what I am saying.
I don’t give a fuck. I’m the third party now who is just telling everybody that I don’t give a fuck. I would like for both of you to continue to lobby me so I can continue to play my role as the zero fucks to give guy.
 

thunderc

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I can though if you just read my posts.

Not going to rehash again. It is all there.
Oh it most certainly is. The only way you are right is if you are talking about something different entirely, and if you are you are doing a poor job of explaining it.
 

fightinfunbags

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Same stuff over and over for the last 5 years

You would think when 1-5 (when it’s al and grant or white on the floor) can space and shoot the 3 that you’d figure out the zone

But it’s like watching the bubble all over again, except jaylen hasn’t ended someone’s career yet
Personally, I thought in game 2 that Time Lord looked better in his minutes vs the zone than Horford did.
 

thunderc

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I don’t give a fuck. I’m the third party now who is just telling everybody that I don’t give a fuck. I would like for both of you to continue to lobby me so I can continue to play my role as the zero fucks to give guy.
No believe me I never had you pegged as a math guy in any way.
 

fightinfunbags

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No believe me I never had you pegged as a math guy in any way.
This isn’t differential calculus. It’s simple percentage math. Let’s not pretend that you guys are out here building bridges.
 
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