AL East Thread

[chappee11]

I heard he lost a lot of excess weight and that he's feeling lighter.


Sox have installed an anchor device on the mound when he pitches on windy days.

Pace yourself, Cereal! Spring Training has only just begun!

 

[cerealboi]

Pace yourself, Cereal! Spring Training has only just begun!

Low expectations this year. If that stick can give them 100 innings I'll call it a win.

 

[chappee11]

Low expectations this year. If that stick can give them 100 innings I'll call it a win.

VERY low expectations. They’ve mostly been in a dark place since the Betts trade. It doesn’t figure to get any better without Xander, Erovaldi & Wacha. They finished in last place in 2022 and seem to have gotten worse over the Winter. The only thing that might bail them out is the expanded playoff field and less games against the AL East. They were brutalized within the division last year.

 

[chappee11]

Stephen Strasburg is going to quickly be in the running for worst contract ever. He has pitched 31 innings in the first 3 years of his deal(7yr/$245m), he probably won’t pitch this year and he still has 3 years left after this season.

He makes Chris Sale look like a bargain.

 

[navamind]

FWIW, here's the current Depth Chart projected standings from FanGraphs:
Yankees: 91-71, 4.44 R/G, 3.86 RA/G
Rays: 88-74, 4.29 R/G, 3.88 RA/G
Blue Jays: 88-74, 4.69 R/G, 4.25 RA/G
Red Sox: 83-79, 4.55 R/G, 4.44 RA/G
Orioles: 78-84, 4.32 R/G, 4.51 RA/G

Depth Charts - Projected Standings | FanGraphs Baseball

2024 projected standings for major league baseball teams

www.fangraphs.com

Pretty tight. Orioles project as the best last place team by a mile (only last place team projected for less than 90 losses).

 

[chappee11]

FWIW, here's the current Depth Chart projected standings from FanGraphs:
Yankees: 91-71, 4.44 R/G, 3.86 RA/G
Rays: 88-74, 4.29 R/G, 3.88 RA/G
Blue Jays: 88-74, 4.69 R/G, 4.25 RA/G
Red Sox: 83-79, 4.55 R/G, 4.44 RA/G
Orioles: 78-84, 4.32 R/G, 4.51 RA/G

Depth Charts - Projected Standings | FanGraphs Baseball

2024 projected standings for major league baseball teams

www.fangraphs.com

Pretty tight. Orioles project as the best last place team by a mile (only last place team projected for less than 90 losses).

Did Chaim Bloom author these projections? On what planet are the Sox within 5 games of the Blue Jays and 8 games of the Yankees? The Sox finished 14 and 21 games behind those teams last year.

 

[navamind]

Did Chaim Bloom author these projections? On what planet are the Sox within 5 games of the Blue Jays and 8 games of the Yankees? The Sox finished 14 and 21 games behind those teams last year.

Keep in mind these projections tend to be conservative. I would expect the Jays to win more than 88. These projections also expect considerable improvement from the rotation, which is probably the most volatile part of the team. I could see the rotation being anywhere from average/decent to an injury riddled mess.

 

[navamind]

I do agree 83 wins is optimistic, but it's also easy to forget they won 78 even with a rough schedule and their pitching woes.

 

[bksballer89]

 

[chappee11]

I do agree 83 wins is optimistic, but it's also easy to forget they won 78 even with a rough schedule and their pitching woes.

It’s not the 83 wins for the Sox that I see as far-fetched. That could happen if things break right. It’s the 91 wins for the Yankees and 88 for the Blue Jays that I have an issue with. Those both seem at least 5 wins too low.

 

[navamind]

It’s not the 83 wins for the Sox that I see as far-fetched. That could happen if things break right. It’s the 91 wins for the Yankees and 88 for the Blue Jays that I have an issue with. Those both seem at least 5 wins too low.

Again, it probably is. A lot of projection systems are typically going to be more conservative with W-L totals. It's uncommon to see teams projected for 100 wins or losses. There's a lot of teams I'd expect to overperform or underperform their projected records. The Depth Chart projections are a hybrid of their Steamer and ZiPS projection systems.

Introducing FanGraphs Depth Charts and Standings Pages

Here at FanGraphs, we enjoy rolling out cool new things. It’s fun to be able to add stuff that we can all use on a daily basis, and David Appelman has done a great job of building some incredible…

blogs.fangraphs.com

 

[Pure Steel]

Did Chaim Bloom author these projections? On what planet are the Sox within 5 games of the Blue Jays and 8 games of the Yankees? The Sox finished 14 and 21 games behind those teams last year.

I'd go with Mr Valentine's prediction of 64......

 

[chappee11]

I'd go with Mr Valentine's prediction of 64......

Definitely one of my 3 favorite movies growing up. What a classic!

 

[bksballer89]

 

[nynasty]

Looks like he's going to be playing a lot of 3b

 

[Pure Steel]

Looks like he's going to be playing a lot of 3b

Whatever keeps former mullet boy on the bench works for me......

 

[bksballer89]

Looks like he's going to be playing a lot of 3b

Whatever keeps former mullet boy on the bench works for me......

 

[Pure Steel]

It's time to ignore everything that comes out of Boone's mouth......I think we've seen enough of Donaldson.....he'll probably come out of the gate strong for a week and then be exposed as the season goes on giving false hopes......

 

[nynasty]

It's time to ignore everything that comes out of Boone's mouth......I think we've seen enough of Donaldson.....he'll probably come out of the gate strong for a week and then be exposed as the season goes on giving false hopes......

He looks like shit so far in camp

 

[bksballer89]

He looks like shit so far in camp

So mid-season form?