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2016 MLB Draft

SFGRTB

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So three college players so far. Last year the Giants went college with 11 of the first 12.
 

SFGRTB

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5th round (155): Ryan Howard 6'1" 190 lbs. SS Missouri

As excepted, Giants draft a slot value or under-slot value player. Utility-type player. The Giants drafted him last year in the 31st round, and he didn't sign. Quite the climb. It's unusual to see teams draft the same player back-to-back seasons.
 

calsnowskier

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Amazing how the lack of a 1st rounder completely zaps your enthusiasm for a draft. I am just not pumped about the draft this year.

I am usually all over it and totally amped...
 

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6th Round (185): Gio Brusa 6'3" 220 OF University of Pacific

Wrote about him on the first page. Power bat. Injuries. The last line is important: he's a senior and will have pressure to sign. As I said a few posts ago, with the Krook pick, he's going to sign for over-slot money, so the Giants would need some under-slot guys lined up the next few picks. Howard (expected to go 7-10 round) and Brusa (college senior) fit that bill.
 

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Amazing how the lack of a 1st rounder completely zaps your enthusiasm for a draft. I am just not pumped about the draft this year.

I am usually all over it and totally amped...

I definitely didn't do nearly the prep I usually do, but I really like the early returns.
 

calsnowskier

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Interesting draft so far.

Through 5 picks, the Giants have taken...

3 OFers (all edging towards power)
1 HIGH RISK lefty (is he a starter or reliever?)
1 reach mid-infielder

Looks like they are addressing a VERY specific organizational need here (power, OF). If Krook signs, and hits, than great, but I am slightly concerned with the lack of pitchers taken. Everyone screams about how great the Giants are at developing pitchers, but in the last 7 years (including 2010), the Giants have graduated...

Bum
Osich

And kinda graduated...

Hembree (now a AAA journeyman)
Heston (flash in the pan?)
Otero
Surkamp
Law
Wheeler (injury issues, but he should still be AT WORST a #4-type)

That's one superstar and a bunch of fringe. Where is this expertise that everyone brags about?
 

SFGRTB

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Round 7 (215): Garrett Williams 6'3" 200 lbs. Oklahoma State

Another wild, high-upside lefty in the similar mold to Krook. Dominant fastball/breaking ball combo. Piss poor command. Upside as high as a number 2 starter if he develops a changeup, dominant closer if he doesn't.

Between this kid and Krook, the Giants added a lot of "stuff" and upside to the pitching side.
 

SFGRTB

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Interesting draft so far.

Through 5 picks, the Giants have taken...

3 OFers (all edging towards power)
1 HIGH RISK lefty (is he a starter or reliever?)
1 reach mid-infielder

Looks like they are addressing a VERY specific organizational need here (power, OF). If Krook signs, and hits, than great, but I am slightly concerned with the lack of pitchers taken. Everyone screams about how great the Giants are at developing pitchers, but in the last 7 years (including 2010), the Giants have graduated...

Bum
Osich

And kinda graduated...

Hembree (now a AAA journeyman)
Heston (flash in the pan?)
Otero
Surkamp
Law
Wheeler (injury issues, but he should still be AT WORST a #4-type)

That's one superstar and a bunch of fringe. Where is this expertise that everyone brags about?

You'll really like the kid they just drafted then. Garrett and Krook are projects, ripe for Tidrow and co.

I don't think they targeted specific needs so far with their picks, I think the first 3 guys fell to them and they couldn't pass up on them. Howard and Bursa were picks made to balance the pool. If anything to me, this is saying the Giants are in a "win-now" type draft, with all these college players.
 

SFGRTB

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To finish up day 2...


Round 8 (245): Stephen Woods RHP University of Albany

Round 9 (275): Caleb Baragar LHP Indiana

Round 10 (305): Alex Bostic LHP Clemson

Who needs High School players anyway? Last year, Giants went 10 of 11 in College. This year, 10 for 10.

Krook, Williams, and Bostic are all of the same mold, nasty FB/BB combos, command problems. Bostic looks like he's headed straight for a relief role.

I've heard Baragar could make an appearance in the bigs as soon as this year or next. LOOGY ceiling.

Woods is a flyer. I could see him not signing, returning to school, and becoming a 2nd round pick next year. Hopefully the Giants can snatch him up now.
 

calsnowskier

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In review...

9 picks
9 college kids
3 OFers w/ power (2 S, 1 R)
1 mid-infielder, likely a reach to free up money for other picks
5 pitchers (4 LHP, 1 RHP)
 
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Rounds 11-30

Round 11 (335)

Delay, Jason

Vanderbilt

C

R/R

JR

5'11" 185lbs DOB: 03/07/95

A catcher out of Vanderbilt hit .263/.299/.364 with a simple swing and power when he squares up a pitch -- usually a fastball. He’s got plus arm strength behind the plate.

Round 12 (365)

Kirby, Ryan

University of San Diego

1B

1B

L/R

JR

6'2" 180lbs DOB: 01/25/95

Round 13 (395)

Layer, Jose

Colegio Angel David HS

CF

R/R

HS

6'1" 160lbs DOB: 05/28/97

Round 14 (425)

Menez, Conner

The Masters College

LHP

L/L

JR

6'3" 195lbs DOB: 05/29/95

Round 15 (455)

Myers, D.J.

U Nevada Las Vegas

RHP

L/R

JR

6'5" 255lbs DOB: 12/24/94

Round 16 (485)

Falwell, Chris

Texas A&M - Corpus Christi

LHP

L/L

JR

6'7" 210lbs DOB: 04/14/95

Round 17 (515)

Bazar, Reagan

University of Louisiana - Lafayette

RHP

R/R

JR

6'7" 255lbs DOB: 06/27/95

Round 18 (545)

Heyward, Jacob

Miami

CF

R/R

JR

6'2" 205lbs DOB: 08/01/95

Round 19 (575)

Van Horn, Brandon

The Masters Col

SS

R/R

5S

6'2" 175lbs DOB: 12/18/93

Round 20 (605)

Alleman, Justin

Lee U

RHP

R/R

SR

6'1" 220lbs DOB: 12/20/93

Round 21 (635)

Albertson, Will

Catawba College

C

R/R

SR

5'11" 190lbs DOB: 06/26/94

Round 22 (665)

Ziegler, Malique

North Iowa Area CC

CF

R/R

J2

6'2" 170lbs DOB: 09/08/96

Round 23 (695)

Greenwalt, Jacob

Windsor HS

RHP

R/R

HS

6'1" 170lbs DOB: 04/30/98

Round 24 (725)

Parra, Jeffery

Ramapo HS

C

R/R

HS

6'0" 195lbs DOB: 01/24/98

Round 25 (755)

Rescigno, Mike

U Maryland College Park

RHP

R/R

JR

6'1" 215lbs DOB: 10/06/94

Round 26 (785)

Hill, Nick

Eckerd Col

CF

R/R

SR

6'4" 190lbs DOB: 08/02/94

Round 27 (815)

Ruotolo, Patrick

Connecticut

RHP

R/R

JR

5'10" 218lbs DOB: 01/15/95

Round 28 (845)

O'Dell, Jayden

Angelo St U

RHP

R/R

SR

6'2" 235lbs DOB: 05/27/93

Round 29 (875)

Bernal, Mike

U Arkansas Fayetteville

SS

R/R

5S

5'11" 190lbs DOB: 09/06/92

Round 30 (905)

Deeg, Nick

Central Michigan

LHP

L/L

JR

6'5" 215lbs DOB: 06/26/95
 
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Rounding up the Giants’ 2016 Draft

I don’t know nothin’ ‘bout nothin’ when it comes to amateur baseball players, which means I’m a lousy source for instant draft analysis. However, I know the basics of draftology, and here’s what I can glean: For a team that didn't have a first-round pick, the Giants came away with a player who was widely expected to be a first-round pick. As in, if the Giants still had a first-round pick and came away with Bryan Reynolds, the draftniks would have said something like, “This is a normal draft pick. Everything is normal.”

I’m not going to suggest this is better than when the Giants have a first-round pick and come away with a player that people seem to think is more of a second-round talent (Joe Panik, Christian Arroyo). It’s complementary, really. Feels like they’ve earned this unreserved praise for their first pick of a draft. They deserve the plaudits as an organization, dang it.

The draft is over, and here's the final tally with some notes and tidbits underneath:

Round Pick Player School Position Bats/Throws
2 59 Bryan Reynolds Vanderbilt OF S/R
3 95 Heath Quinn Samford University OF R/R
4 125 Matt Krook Oregon LHP L/L
5 155 Ryan Howard Missouri SS R/R
6 185 Gio Brusa University of the Pacific LF S/R
7 215 Garrett Williams Oklahoma State LHP L/L
8 245 Stephen Woods University at Albany RHP R/R
9 275 Caleb Baragar Indiana U LHP R/L
10 305 Alex Bostic Clemson LHP L/L
11 335 Jason Delay Vanderbilt C R/R
12 365 Ryan Kirby University of San Diego 1B L/R
13 395 Jose Layer Colegio Angel David HS CF R/R
14 425 Conner Menez The Masters College LHP L/L
15 455 D.J. Myers U Nevada Las Vegas RHP L/R
16 485 Chris Falwell Texas A&M - Corpus Christi LHP L/L
17 515 Reagan Bazar University of Louisiana - Lafayette RHP R/R
18 545 Jacob Heyward Miami CF R/R
19 575 Brandon Van Horn The Masters Col SS R/R
20 605 Justin Alleman Lee U RHP R/R
21 635 Will Albertson Catawba College C R/R
22 665 Malique Ziegler North Iowa Area CC CF R/R
23 695 Jacob Greenwalt Windsor HS RHP R/R
24 725 Jeffery Parra Ramapo HS C R/R
25 755 Mike Rescigno U Maryland College Park RHP R/R
26 785 Nick Hill Eckerd Col CF R/R
27 815 Patrick Ruotolo Connecticut RHP R/R
28 845 Jayden O'Dell Angelo St U RHP R/R
29 875 Mike Bernal U Arkansas Fayetteville SS R/R
30 905 Nick Deeg Central Michigan LHP L/L
31 935 Adam Laskey Haddon Heights HS LHP R/L
32 965 John Timmins Bellevue U RHP R/R
33 995 J.J. Montgomery Northwest Florida State RHP R/R
34 1025 C.J. Getman Central Washington RHP L/R
35 1055 Sidney Duprey Kaskaskia CC LHP L/L
36 1085 Ryan Matranga U San Francisco C R/R
37 1115 Chris Bono UC Los Angeles CF L/R
38 1145 David Lee Santa Fe CC RHP R/R
39 1175 Andrew DiPiazza Mercer County CC RHP R/R
40 1205 Nick Bennett Moeller HS LHP L/L
Pick that has the experts excited
Bryan Reynolds, of course, who Andrew Baggarly reported was on the Giants’ board as a first-round pick. Keith Law’s headline read:

Giants struck gold with lone Day 1 pick

Law had Reynolds ranked 15th overall, which means that he would have been impressed if the Giants nabbed him with the pick they gave up for Jeff Samardzija. Here’s a snippet of his scouting report:

I am as hard on hitters who swing and miss as anyone, but Reynolds does literally everything else you'd want a hitting prospect to do -- including considerable damage when he does make contact -- and I think his propensity to strike out is a function of working deep counts, not pure hacking.

It might seem like it’s damning with faint praise to call him a switch-hitting Jarrett Parker (my own words), but do you know what Jarrett Parker would be if he could make just a little more contact? A starting outfielder. Here’s hoping that Reynolds breaks the homegrown outfielder drought, and soon.

Toughest sign
Adam Laskey was a consensus top-100 prospect — Baseball America had him 81st overall, Keith Law had him 67th — and the Giants got him in the 31st round. A coup, right? That’s not quite how it works in the MLB draft, though. Here’s MLB.com’s scouting report:

His breaking ball, a slider, is below-average, but given his overall feel for pitching, he should be able to develop a consistent breaking ball down the road. The biggest question mark surrounding Laskey might be his signability. He has a strong commitment to Duke and he might have to go fairly early to keep him from heading to North Carolina for school.

If he wants to attend Duke on purpose instead of joining the Giants, that’s a character thing, imo.

Jokes aside, this is a pick where the Giants are just taking a flier on a player in the event that something unexpected changes his mind about attending college. If there’s a one-percent chance of that happening, well, guess what the odds are of a 31st-rounder making Triple-A?

I was hoping he was related to Bill Laskey, and that would change things, but nope.

David Lee, the 38th-rounder, is committed to Florida, too, so don’t expect him to sign for 38th-round money.

Name potential
Ugh, what a weak draft for names. There are no Van Fixicos in this draft. If I had to do a ranking, it would go something like ...

  1. Ryan Howard
  2. Jose Layer
  3. Caleb Baragar
  4. Jason Delay
  5. Bono
I had to take the “Chris” away from the last player, just to get to five. One of the worst name drafts in franchise history.

Interesting relative division
That would be Jacob Heyward, younger brother of Jason. He (obviously) wasn't the same kind of prospect that his brother was, but that doesn’t mean he’s not an intriguing talent. Chris Haft had a nice profile of him here.

"You still have to be able to play," Giants scouting director John Barr said. "He was judged on who he is and his abilities, not on his brother's. It's him that we took. It's him that we think can be a big leaguer. It's him that we think can contribute. He stands alone on that.

"Sure, does the name stand out? Yeah. But that only goes so far. That may get someone to take another look at him. But it doesn't get you selected and it doesn't carry you."

College/high school breakdown
That would be 35 college players and five high school players.

The Giants have a type, it seems.

Scouting reports of note
From Baseball America’s report on 11th-round pick Jason Delay, a catcher out of Vanderbilt:

Delay has handled several first-round picks at Vanderbilt, and has long prove that he can catch premium velocity. His bat is extremely light, and will have to improve for him to carve out a role as Major Leaguer, but scouts are satisfied with his defense and character.

On 13th-round pick, Jose Layer:

Layer is a speedy, athletic outfielder. He is a plus runner and does a good job of using his speed both in the field and in the batter's box .... His speed is a big asset in the outfield and he should be able to become a solid defensive center fielder.

On 18th-round pick, Jacob Heyward (ranked as the 291st-best prospect, drafted 545th):

He has been inconsistent this spring, but his tools remain intriguing to scouts. Heyward has good bat speed that translates into above-average raw power thanks to his strong 6-foot-3, 210-pound frame

On 30th-round pick, Nick Deeg (a lefty from Central Michigan and immediate Pat Misch All-Star):

A team who liked what the saw from Deeg last summer may still pay him top 10 round money, but with his reduced velocity, he has a good chance to end up back at Central Michigan.

33rd-rounder J.J. Montgomery:

He can run his fastball up to 94 mph, and typically sits in the low 90s. He pairs it with a slider, which at its best is a sharp offering capable of generating swings and misses.
 

calsnowskier

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Signings so far...

Stephen Woods RHP (8-245)
 

SFGRTB

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Here's the slot value by round for the Giants: (should we make a new thread for this? Draft pick signings?)

1st: N/A
2nd: $1,090,00
3rd: $625,900
4th: $468,700
5th: $350,900
6th: $262,700
7th: $197,100
8th: $177,400
9th: $165,600
10th: $156,600

Total: $3,494,900


If any bonus exceeds $100,000 in rounds 11-40, the excess amount will count towards the bonus pool (of $3,494,900 in the Giants' case). So, 31st rounder Adam Laskey, who already sounded like a tough sign, is made tougher because you can't go over $100K without using the pool on money allocated for 9 players. If a player doesn't sign, the team loses the allotted slot value.

To sign 4th rounder Krook is likely going require an over-slotted deal, which is why players like 5th-rounder Howard, 6th-rounder Brusa and 9th rounder Baragar are key picks and must-signs. They need to sign for under-slot deals to allow more money to go to Krook, and they need to sign so the Giants can sustain their allotted bonus pool. These guys are college seniors and under more pressure to sign, so that's why they'll sign under-slot deals generally.

With the Giants' top 3 picks all considered guys who "feel" in the draft, it's probably going to take over-slot deals to sign all three, which is probably why the Giants went after all college players after the 3rd round because they are generally cheaper and less risky to sign than high-school players, who may decide to stay in their college commitment and/or command more money.
 
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SFGRTB

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Did you see for how much?

9th Rounder Caleb Baragar signs for $20K. Giants save $145.6K according to the slot value.

3rd Rounder Heath Quinn signs for $625,900 deal (exact slot value). He'll be in Salem soon.

5th Rounder Ryan Howard signs for $250,000. Giants save $100K.

From what I've seen:

14th rounder Conner Menez has signed
17th rounder Reagan Bazar has signed
22nd rounder Malique Ziegler has signed
32nd rounder John Timmins has signed
 

calsnowskier

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Baragar signs for 20K, 120K under slot.
 
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