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"So you're saying there's a chance", what would be your playoff odds right now?

OregonDucks

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Worse case scenario for Oregon/Utah is one. LSU and Georgia meet in the SEC champ game with LSU no loses and Georgia with 1 and Georgia beats LSU.

Then I could see the playoffs being

Ohio State
Georgia
Clemson
LSU
 

michaeljordan_fan

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Your percentage is ridiculous and it's very simple.

LSU wins out (100% in)
Clemson wins out (100% in...no idea why you'd post 99%, adds to my confusion to your percentages)
Georgia wins out (100% in..obviously that mean they beat LSU)
LSU wins out but loses to Georgia (95% of getting in)
Ohio state wins out (100% getting in)
Minnesota wins out (100% getting in)
Oregon wins out (98% of getting in)
Utah wins out (98% of getting in)
Alabama wins out (80% of getting in)
Oklahoma wins out (85% getting in)
Baylor wins out (95% of getting in)

Your percentages are even dumber than the OP.
 

963BUSC

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Your percentage is ridiculous and it's very simple.

LSU wins out (100% in)
Clemson wins out (100% in...no idea why you'd post 99%, adds to my confusion to your percentages)
Georgia wins out (100% in..obviously that mean they beat LSU)
LSU wins out but loses to Georgia (95% of getting in)
Ohio state wins out (100% getting in)
Minnesota wins out (100% getting in)
Oregon wins out (98% of getting in)
Utah wins out (98% of getting in)
Alabama wins out (80% of getting in)
Oklahoma wins out (85% getting in)
Baylor wins out (95% of getting in)

How is Oklahoma so low? I don't see it being that fur behind P12 Champ or Baylor?
 

belcherboy

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Your percentage is ridiculous and it's very simple.

LSU wins out (100% in)
Clemson wins out (100% in...no idea why you'd post 99%, adds to my confusion to your percentages)
Georgia wins out (100% in..obviously that mean they beat LSU)
LSU wins out but loses to Georgia (95% of getting in)
Ohio state wins out (100% getting in)
Minnesota wins out (100% getting in)
Oregon wins out (98% of getting in)
Utah wins out (98% of getting in)
Alabama wins out (80% of getting in)
Oklahoma wins out (85% getting in)
Baylor wins out (95% of getting in)

Did you not read the title of the thread??? I’m predicting what I think the likelihood of it happening would be, especially with differing scenarios (I.e LSU losing to UGA, 99% chance that Clemson wins out, etc) Was this post that confusing??
 

Deep Creek

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:scratch:

Isn't this whole thread created as a prediction/opinion thread? I guess I'll probably be wrong. I'm good with that. Wouldn't be the first time! :nod:
Any guy that is married is ALWAYS wrong. Fact of life.
 

belcherboy

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Any guy that is married is ALWAYS wrong. Fact of life.

I often hear that from my single guy friends. I’m glad to be out of that game.
 

michaeljordan_fan

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Did you not read the title of the thread??? I’m predicting what I think the likelihood of it happening would be, especially with differing scenarios (I.e LSU losing to UGA, 99% chance that Clemson wins out, etc) Was this post that confusing??

TBH, OD is a moron. He's the AlaskaGuy of our fanbase. We'd disown him if we could.
 

dtgold88

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Your percentage is ridiculous and it's very simple.

LSU wins out (100% in)
Clemson wins out (100% in...no idea why you'd post 99%, adds to my confusion to your percentages)
Georgia wins out (100% in..obviously that mean they beat LSU)
LSU wins out but loses to Georgia (95% of getting in)
Ohio state wins out (100% getting in)
Minnesota wins out (100% getting in)
Oregon wins out (98% of getting in)
Utah wins out (98% of getting in)
Alabama wins out (80% of getting in)
Oklahoma wins out (85% getting in)
Baylor wins out (95% of getting in)
If I'm reading this right you have too many teams with 95-100% chance to win out and get in.
 

Deep Creek

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I'm indifferent. I just don't believe Minnesota would give us the best playoff team right now. I felt the same way about Notre Dame last year, but they were undefeated so what could they do?

I wouldn't care if Minnesota made it over Bama. I'd like to see a change of scenery.
FSU 2014
 

navamind

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we just need about a dozen or so team buses to crash and we should make it
 

belcherboy

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Well, we’ve probably lost Minnesota from the discussion. We may see either Oklahoma or Baylor gone tonight as well.
 

Blackshirts BLVD

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Can we just have LSU and Ohio St play for the title now and call it a season, I'm done with this year.

All in favor?



giphy.gif
 

belcherboy

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The picture is getting clearer, and I like my picks right now. Hopefully Michigan can knock OSU out of it this weekend. I would love to see them out again.
 

ElTexan

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How can Baylor only have a 25% chance of winning out and OU only a 30% chance to win out?
What accounts for the other 45%???
The winner of the B12CCG losing to KU or OKIEST?

EDIT: didn’t realize this post was made on NOV14
 

theboardref

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You know how I know this is wrong? You gave Michigan more than a 0% chance.
 

dtgold88

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The picture is getting clearer, and I like my picks right now. Hopefully Michigan can knock OSU out of it this weekend. I would love to see them out again.
You get if OSU loses to UM they still probably get in with a CCG win?
 

Gatorchip

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If Florida wins the SEC, they are in. 0% chance.

Did I do this correctly?
 
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