BOTSLAYER
You can be anything
Do you not think it is an advantage to wake up in your own bed and go through your normal routine?
Do you not think it is an advantage to wake up in your own bed and go through your normal routine?
Nobody is saying that the geographic location (aside from Denver) has a ton to do with the outcome or that basketball courts are different in every stadium (although the scientist in me is certain that several minor differences in each basketball court could be found).
Your stats:
Home teams in the NBA win 60%.
In the playoffs home teams win 65% of the time.
If HCA didn't matter that number would be 50% 50%.
If HCA didn't matter Vegas wouldn't move the line 3 points because of who's court it is.
HCA may be overstated but it is important, other wise nobody would play for playoff seeds.
I can just list off the things that help the home team from sleeping in their own bed and having their routines and personal chefs.
Or the plus of playing in front of your own fans. Some players may like to be booed but I bet they like to be cheered so much more.
That 60% doesn't mean it is because of home court advantage - that just means the referees are calling the game in favor of the home teams more than they do the road games. If called fairly - that number would not be so high
WORD
Let's suppose your theory is correct, that the margin is due to referee calls for the home team.
How does that mean "home court advantage" doesn't exist? It just means that referee calls IS the HCA. You're winning 10% more often at home than you otherwise would, which is huge, and makes home court very valuable. If being at home makes referees call games in your favor, then that just makes being at home all the more valuable.
Personally I think the proof is in the existing data -Houston lost the first two games at home and now is winning in Portland. Where was Homecourt advantage there and how did that turn out for them?
Clippers lost the first game and then took the next two - one of them at the Warriors - How did homecourt work for them.
The referee calls is the only thing that goes in favor of the home court besides familarity and your fans and so far this year - none of that has helped the home teams - which means that homecourt is way over-rated. A good team wins on the road and advances. Now keep your eyes on the teams, and come back and let me know which teams advanced without winning on the road and won because of homecourt advantage. I think it might help some, but not that much
HOU is winning late in the 3rd in POR...I guess your theory has been proven.
Personally I think the proof is in the existing data -Houston lost the first two games at home and now is winning in Portland. Where was Homecourt advantage there and how did that turn out for them?
Okay, here you go: Home teams are 714-516 this season. That's a winning gap/difference of 198 games and a winning percentage of 58% at home.
The proof is indeed in the existing data.
But of course, your tiny dataset of 3 (heck, not even 3, since only 2 of those games are completed) Houston-Portland games proves HCA doesn't exist and is better than a dataset of 1230 games, right?