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When I go through the game unit by unit, I get:
QB: Advantage Wisconsin. Nothing overly controversial here. Martinez is a great runner and an average passer. Russell Wilson is a very good runner, a great scrambler, and a very good passer, not to mention a better leader than Martinez.
RB: Advantage Wisconsin. Rex Burkhead is a good player for Nebraska, but he can't match the White-Ball combo. Both ran for at least 996 yards last year, and they are much receiving backs.
Receivers: Advantage Wisconsin. Neither unit is spectacular, but Nick Toon and Jared Abbredaris have had great starts to the season. Nebraska's wide receivers, not so much. Wisconsin has the clear edge at TE as well.
O-Line: Advantage Wisconsin. The team is averaging 5.7 YPC despite every opponent stacking 8-9 guys in the box. Russell Wilson has a ton of time to throw the football. These guys have a ton of experience. Nebraska is a solid young line, but they aren't to Wisconsin's level yet.
D-Line: Advantage Nebraska. Nebraska's D-Line has been very overrated, but they still get the slight edge here. The DTs for Wisconsin got pushed around a bit in the UNLV game, and while they seemed to have improved, they may get exposed against Nebraska's solid O-Line. Jared Crick is a phenomenal player. Assuming he's fairly healthy, Nebraska gets this category.
Linebackers: Advantage Wisconsin. Sure, Lavonte David gets a lot of tackles, but that is partially because the rest of the linebackers are slow. The combo of Mike Taylor and Chris Borland has been incredible the last three games, and is more than enough to give us the edge at linebacker.
Secondary: Advantage Wisconsin. Nebraska's secondary has gotten shredded this year. Wisconsin's secondary has had injuries. so depth is a concern. The group out there now, though, is extremely solid, which Nebraska can only dream to be.
Special Teams: Advantage Nebraska. This is one area where they have the heavy edge. Brett Maher is a great kicker. Wisconsin's four year starter at kicker, Philip Welch, is a great kicker as well, but he hasn't kicked yet this year due to injuries. His replacement hasn't looked very good. Alec Lerner, whose sole job is to do kickoffs, has been kicking it out of bounds recently. When it comes to the return game, Nebraska and Ameer Abdullah have the heavy edge.
Coaching: Even. Bielema has had his moments where he and his coordinators have gotten outcoached (see: The Rose Bowl). At the same time, he is a much better motivator than Pelini's staff. Their team always seems to come out flat, and they won't get away with that at Camp Randall.
Atmosphere: Advantage Wisconsin. Camp Randall will be absolutely rocking, and our team loves to feed off of that energy. The Nebraska fans who make the journey will be drowned out.
If I have to make a prediction, it would be 45-27 Wisconsin. As my positional analysis clearly shows, I think we are the better team. Nebraska can win this game, but they're going to need some big plays, particularly a special teams touchdown or a turnover. I just don't see enough of those big plays to get the win.
QB: Advantage Wisconsin. Nothing overly controversial here. Martinez is a great runner and an average passer. Russell Wilson is a very good runner, a great scrambler, and a very good passer, not to mention a better leader than Martinez.
RB: Advantage Wisconsin. Rex Burkhead is a good player for Nebraska, but he can't match the White-Ball combo. Both ran for at least 996 yards last year, and they are much receiving backs.
Receivers: Advantage Wisconsin. Neither unit is spectacular, but Nick Toon and Jared Abbredaris have had great starts to the season. Nebraska's wide receivers, not so much. Wisconsin has the clear edge at TE as well.
O-Line: Advantage Wisconsin. The team is averaging 5.7 YPC despite every opponent stacking 8-9 guys in the box. Russell Wilson has a ton of time to throw the football. These guys have a ton of experience. Nebraska is a solid young line, but they aren't to Wisconsin's level yet.
D-Line: Advantage Nebraska. Nebraska's D-Line has been very overrated, but they still get the slight edge here. The DTs for Wisconsin got pushed around a bit in the UNLV game, and while they seemed to have improved, they may get exposed against Nebraska's solid O-Line. Jared Crick is a phenomenal player. Assuming he's fairly healthy, Nebraska gets this category.
Linebackers: Advantage Wisconsin. Sure, Lavonte David gets a lot of tackles, but that is partially because the rest of the linebackers are slow. The combo of Mike Taylor and Chris Borland has been incredible the last three games, and is more than enough to give us the edge at linebacker.
Secondary: Advantage Wisconsin. Nebraska's secondary has gotten shredded this year. Wisconsin's secondary has had injuries. so depth is a concern. The group out there now, though, is extremely solid, which Nebraska can only dream to be.
Special Teams: Advantage Nebraska. This is one area where they have the heavy edge. Brett Maher is a great kicker. Wisconsin's four year starter at kicker, Philip Welch, is a great kicker as well, but he hasn't kicked yet this year due to injuries. His replacement hasn't looked very good. Alec Lerner, whose sole job is to do kickoffs, has been kicking it out of bounds recently. When it comes to the return game, Nebraska and Ameer Abdullah have the heavy edge.
Coaching: Even. Bielema has had his moments where he and his coordinators have gotten outcoached (see: The Rose Bowl). At the same time, he is a much better motivator than Pelini's staff. Their team always seems to come out flat, and they won't get away with that at Camp Randall.
Atmosphere: Advantage Wisconsin. Camp Randall will be absolutely rocking, and our team loves to feed off of that energy. The Nebraska fans who make the journey will be drowned out.
If I have to make a prediction, it would be 45-27 Wisconsin. As my positional analysis clearly shows, I think we are the better team. Nebraska can win this game, but they're going to need some big plays, particularly a special teams touchdown or a turnover. I just don't see enough of those big plays to get the win.