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Hello to all....funny thing, I was sitting at work yesterday and was curious as to how our 2016 cap would look, as well as what it would look like if we acquired AP.
To Start with we would know that AP would want a new deal as well as Dallas would. Reason for both would be different. For AP he would want guaranteed dollars, and for Dallas they would want a lower cap number. Both sides would have to be willing to give in some to make that work. For AP he wouldn't see 14M per, and for Dallas they would see 8M per; so lets meet somewhere in the middle and take in consideration his age and his current status and go with 10M per with 20M in guarantees. A contract could easily be structured as such:
2015 1M base 6M guaranteed cap # 7M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 9M)
2016 2M base 6M guaranteed cap # 8M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 10M)
2017 3M base 6M guaranteed cap # 9M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 11M)
2018 12M base 0 guaranteed cap# 12M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 14M)
2019 14M base 0 guaranteed cap# 14M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 16M)
First 2 years fully guaranteed! Total of 5 years 50M with 21M guaranteed (total contract could be 5 years 60M), very fair contract for both sides!
Second we must look at who are the core FA's next season that are not RFA's:
1.) Dez- 8M
2.) Hardy- 8M
3.) Crawford- 4M
4.) McClain- 4M
5.) Mo Clay- 4M
Out of these 5 FA's Dez could be extended and Mo could have his option picked up, but we will act as if none of this will happen. The Number I have assigned to each player is the estimated 2016 cap hit with a new contract, and understand first year hits are usually low on core players.
Third we must look at the cap number of all players versus the projected cap of 2016 which for fun lets put it at 150M which is an increase of 7M from 2015. Our total active players are at 44 for 2016 without the addition of rookies from this years class which will make it 51 probably come 2016, which we would need to add an estimated 3M for their salaries to 2016 cap total for Active players so the total of all 51 projected active players would be 121M in 2016. If we add in another 8M for AP we would be at 129M with 52 players in 2016, this would exclude Dez and co from above. Projecting our Dez and co FA's first year cap hits into this and we go to 157M for 2016 which would be 7M over our projected cap number for 2016 with 57 total players.
We must now look at contracts that will most likely not be on the books in full or at all come 2016:
1.) Carr- cap number 13.8M savings if cut 6.5M
2.) Brinckley- cap number 4.9M savings if cut 4.25M
3.) Gachklar- cap number 3.6M savings if cut 3M
By cutting these three we open up 13.75M in cap space which would bring the projected cap to 143.5M with 54 playes on active roster with lets say an open list of 7 rookies from the 2016 class which we will add an additional 3.5M for rookies which then would bring us to about 147M with 61 total players on active roster, with no need to restructure any contracts or cut any additional players.
In other words our cap situation is very good, and the window needs to be taken advantage of now, as long as we do not cap our cap in the future which by using the above mentioned logic we would not do so, and this would allow us to move on from both AP and Romo come 2018 to add an additional 23M to the 2018 cap at that time, plenty enough to sign a top FA QB or whatever we would need.
In other words getting AP doesn't hurt us now or in the future. I am fine with it as long as we aren't giving up anymore than a 2nd this year and a 3rd or 4th next year. Imagine adding a to D rookie in the first, having a back like AP, and then being able to add a player like the ASU safety Dallas likes so much in the 3rd......the cap isn't the concern here it is how much will it cost us in draft picks to add AP, that is my only concern.
To Start with we would know that AP would want a new deal as well as Dallas would. Reason for both would be different. For AP he would want guaranteed dollars, and for Dallas they would want a lower cap number. Both sides would have to be willing to give in some to make that work. For AP he wouldn't see 14M per, and for Dallas they would see 8M per; so lets meet somewhere in the middle and take in consideration his age and his current status and go with 10M per with 20M in guarantees. A contract could easily be structured as such:
2015 1M base 6M guaranteed cap # 7M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 9M)
2016 2M base 6M guaranteed cap # 8M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 10M)
2017 3M base 6M guaranteed cap # 9M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 11M)
2018 12M base 0 guaranteed cap# 12M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 14M)
2019 14M base 0 guaranteed cap# 14M (extra 2M if rushes over 2k)(cap total with extra 16M)
First 2 years fully guaranteed! Total of 5 years 50M with 21M guaranteed (total contract could be 5 years 60M), very fair contract for both sides!
Second we must look at who are the core FA's next season that are not RFA's:
1.) Dez- 8M
2.) Hardy- 8M
3.) Crawford- 4M
4.) McClain- 4M
5.) Mo Clay- 4M
Out of these 5 FA's Dez could be extended and Mo could have his option picked up, but we will act as if none of this will happen. The Number I have assigned to each player is the estimated 2016 cap hit with a new contract, and understand first year hits are usually low on core players.
Third we must look at the cap number of all players versus the projected cap of 2016 which for fun lets put it at 150M which is an increase of 7M from 2015. Our total active players are at 44 for 2016 without the addition of rookies from this years class which will make it 51 probably come 2016, which we would need to add an estimated 3M for their salaries to 2016 cap total for Active players so the total of all 51 projected active players would be 121M in 2016. If we add in another 8M for AP we would be at 129M with 52 players in 2016, this would exclude Dez and co from above. Projecting our Dez and co FA's first year cap hits into this and we go to 157M for 2016 which would be 7M over our projected cap number for 2016 with 57 total players.
We must now look at contracts that will most likely not be on the books in full or at all come 2016:
1.) Carr- cap number 13.8M savings if cut 6.5M
2.) Brinckley- cap number 4.9M savings if cut 4.25M
3.) Gachklar- cap number 3.6M savings if cut 3M
By cutting these three we open up 13.75M in cap space which would bring the projected cap to 143.5M with 54 playes on active roster with lets say an open list of 7 rookies from the 2016 class which we will add an additional 3.5M for rookies which then would bring us to about 147M with 61 total players on active roster, with no need to restructure any contracts or cut any additional players.
In other words our cap situation is very good, and the window needs to be taken advantage of now, as long as we do not cap our cap in the future which by using the above mentioned logic we would not do so, and this would allow us to move on from both AP and Romo come 2018 to add an additional 23M to the 2018 cap at that time, plenty enough to sign a top FA QB or whatever we would need.
In other words getting AP doesn't hurt us now or in the future. I am fine with it as long as we aren't giving up anymore than a 2nd this year and a 3rd or 4th next year. Imagine adding a to D rookie in the first, having a back like AP, and then being able to add a player like the ASU safety Dallas likes so much in the 3rd......the cap isn't the concern here it is how much will it cost us in draft picks to add AP, that is my only concern.
