Magic Number

[LHG]

Cal, I hope I haven't stolen your thunder.

SF 60-93
WS 60-91 1
Phil 61-91 1.5
Det 62-90 2.5
Mets 65-87 5.5
Reds 66-86 6.5
SD 68-84 8.5
Atl 67-83 8.5
Pit 69-84 9
Oak 69-83 9.5

 

[calsnowskier]

Cal, I hope I haven't stolen your thunder.

SF 60-93
WS 60-91 1
Phil 61-91 1.5
Det 62-90 2.5
Mets 65-87 5.5
Reds 66-86 6.5
SD 68-84 8.5
Atl 67-83 8.5
Pit 69-84 9
Oak 69-83 9.5

Not at all. I didn’t want to post for 11 since it was retired so early for one of the greatest players ever (Hubbel). As for tonight, I was at the Pad/DB game, so I couldn’t post.

Speaking of which, OMG. The ball was LAUNCHING tonight. I don’t think I have ever been to a 3-HR game, let alone a 3-HR game in a losing effort...

 

[calsnowskier]

 

[LHG]

Not at all. I didn’t want to post for 11 since it was retired so early for one of the greatest players ever (Hubbel). As for tonight, I was at the Pad/DB game, so I couldn’t post.

Speaking of which, OMG. The ball was LAUNCHING tonight. I don’t think I have ever been to a 3-HR game, let alone a 3-HR game in a losing effort...

3-HR games are exciting to watch. A few years ago, I got a chance to see in seats behind home plate in Anaheim, provided by the Boras Corporation, and watch Torii Hunter launch 3 in one game. I think the Angels won that one but I cannot remember for certain.

 

[LHG]

SF 60-93
Phil 61-92 1
WS 61-91 1.5
Det 62-91 2
Mets 65-87 5.5
Reds 66-87 6
Oak 69-83 8.5
SD 69-84 9
Pit 69-84 9
Atl 68-83 9

 

[calsnowskier]

 

[calsnowskier]

 

[calsnowskier]

 

[Stokes1931]

In the last 23 games, the Giants have have not had a two-out RBI in 14 of those games, losing 11 and winning 3.

On the season, they have 70 games with no two-out RBI, winning 16 and losing 54 (a .229 winning percentage)

Timely hitting has got to be a priority for next season.

Also, the Giants are 8-33 with 1 walk or less, and 24-60 with two walks or less. So plate patience may also be a thing.

 

[calsnowskier]

In the last 23 games, the Giants have have not had a two-out RBI in 14 of those games, losing 11 and winning 3.

On the season, they have 70 games with no two-out RBI, winning 16 and losing 54 (a .229 winning percentage)

Timely hitting has got to be a priority for next season.

Also, the Giants are 8-33 with 1 walk or less, and 24-60 with two walks or less. So plate patience may also be a thing.

The hitting strategy is part of the DNA of the org. We have known that since AT LEAST ‘08 or so. Remember how Carney Lansford’s ran for the hills screaming.

 

[calsnowskier]

 

[LHG]

The good news: Atlanta, San Diego, Oakland and Pittsburgh were all mathatically eliminated from the race yesterday. The bad news: Philadelphia, Detroit and Chicago are all hanging tight. It might take a 100 loss season to get the 1st pick.
Giants 60-94
Phillies 61-93 1
Tigers 62-92 2
White Sox 62-91 2.5
Reds 66-86 6
Mets 66-87 6.5

 

[calsnowskier]

In case of a tie, the 2016 record will be used as a tie-breaker...

Reds 68-94
Phillies 71-91
White Sox 78-84
Tigers 86-75
Giants 87-75 (84-78)
Mets 87-75 (90-72)

The Giants lose the tie-breaker against everyone except the Mets, so their magic number is actually one more than reported. I will reflect this moving forward.

 

[calsnowskier]

Elimination numbers for the top pick...

Mets - 3
Reds - 4
White Sox - 8
Tigers - 8
Phillies - 9
Giants - 10

 

[calsnowskier]

Magic numbers...

Giants - 9
Phillies - 10
Tigers - 11
White Sox - 12
Reds - 17
Mets - 17

 

[LHG]

Ugh! Bad night for the Giants as all 5 "contenders" gain ground and the Phillies are now tied for worst record!

SF 61-94
Phil 61-94
Tigers 62-93 1
White Sox 62-92 1.5
Reds 66-89 5
Mets 66-88 5.5

 

[calsnowskier]

Team W-L GB Tie breaker order Magic Elimination

Phillies 61-94 0 2 8 8
Giants 61-94 0 6 8 8
Tigers 62-93 1 4 9 7
White Sox 62-92 1.5 3 10 7
Reds 66-89 5 1 13 3
Mets 66-88 5.5 5 14 3

(I decided not to factor the tie breaker into the M# or E#. Too many variables)

 

[Stokes1931]

Going to be a close battle for worst.

SF 61-94
Phil 62-94 0.5 (Won 2-0)
Tigers 62-94 0.5 (Lost 10-4)
White Sox 62-92 1.5 (Winning 8-1)
Reds 66-90 4.5 (Lost 5-4)
Mets 66-89 5.0 (Lost 3-2)

 

[calsnowskier]

Team W-L GB Tie breaker order Magic Elimination

Giants 61-95 0 5 6 8
Phillies 62-94 1 2 8 6
Tigers 62-94 1 4 8 6
White Sox 63-92 2.5 3 10 5
Reds 66-90 5 1 12 2
Mets 66-89 5.5 6 13 2

 

[Stokes1931]

Team W-L GB Tie breaker order Magic Elimination

Giants 61-95 0 5 6 8
Phillies 62-94 1 2 8 6
Tigers 62-94 1 4 8 6
White Sox 63-92 2.5 3 10 5
Reds 66-90 5 1 12 2
Mets 66-89 5.5 6 13 2

I must admit, this is a rather perverse way of looking at the standings.