Got any bold second half predictions?

[Omar 382]

Word. You might remember that on September 1, 2011, the Red Sox had a 9-game lead on the Rays for the Wild Card and missed the playoffs.

That was funny.

Just to cite a few recent examples:

2015 Jays were 8 games back on July 28 and won the division by 6 games
2012 A's were 13 games back on June 30 and won the division in Game 163
2014 Angels were 6 games back on June 20 and won the division by 10 games (the division was tied on August 25 and they were leading by 11 on September 12)
2012 Orioles were also down by 10 games back on July 18 and tied the division on September 4 (though they finished 2 games back)
2017 Cubs went from 5.5 games back on July 15 to being 0.5 up on July 26 (they won the division)
2011 Braves

Phillies were famously 7.5 games out with 17 to play, and won the division in '07

 

[Used 2 B Hu]

Phillies were famously 7.5 games out with 17 to play, and won the division in '07

Bitch! They said RECENT history, which we all know only means the last 10 seasons

 

[Chewbaccer]

Bech, check the OP

 

[msgkings322]

Eddie Diaz will develop arm fatigue from overwork and blow several saves in September.

Blake Snell will have the best overall stats for an AL starting pitcher but will get ripped off for the Cy Young by one of the usual suspects.

The Astros, who still have not even hit their stride offensively, will be back-to-back World Champs.

Harper will head West to get closer to his Mormon roots signing with the Dodgers, Angels or Giants.

Meanwhile, Manny will end up on the Nationals who will move Rendon to first base.

Late in the 2023 season, at age 39, Nick Markakis will join the 3000 hit club

Nice call on Markakis. Very good shot at 3000 and it he gets it he'll be the first 3000 hit guy (except Pete Rose...) to not make the HOF.

 

[msgkings322]

White sox bullpen will have the worst era in baseball

Not unexpected, why spend on a pen in a year you are still tanking and trusting the process? You buy pen arms when you're ready to compete. 2020 probably...

 

[StanMarsh51]

Nice call on Markakis. Very good shot at 3000 and it he gets it he'll be the first 3000 hit guy (except Pete Rose...) to not make the HOF.

The likely issue with Markakis is that there's a good chance he won't be good enough to be playing everyday in his late 30s to get 3,000.

If he gets 200 hits this season, he'll be at 2,252 to start next year at age 35. He'd need 4 more seasons of 187 hits or 5 seasons of 150 hits to get 3,000. But the odds of him being good enough to play everyday when he's 37+ aren't in his favor.

 

[navamind]

yeah, and Markakis had a 100 OPS+ from 2013-17. He was an average player at best.

 

[Inimical]

The giants win the NL west @moxie

 

[molsaniceman]

yeah, and Markakis had a 100 OPS+ from 2013-17. He was an average player at best.

this^^^^^^^^^^
He will go back to being average since no more contract seasons left

 

[SlinkyRedfoot]

I know math isn't your best friend,

But the M's play .500 the rest of the way the have the wild card....

6-11 since this post. Coughed up the 2nd Wild Card spot last night.

Guess that prediction wasn't so bold, @Chewbaccer.

 

[Chewbaccer]

6-11 since this post. Coughed up the 2nd Wild Card spot last night.

Guess that prediction wasn't so bold, @Chewbaccer.

It was bold at the time. I figured it would be sometime mid September before Oakland passed them, but it didn't take long at all after I started the thread.

But what Oakland is doing is pretty impressive considering they were selling off pieces just last year.

 

[SeattleCoug]

Even when Oakland inevitably cools down, it does appear they are a better squad then the M's at the end of the day. Probably a better question is can Oakland catch either the Yanks or Houston rather then can they stay ahead of Seattle.

 

[Scooby-Doo]

Dodgers miss the playoffs

 

[skinzfan]

I think I'll pass on making any more predictions in the second half of the season.

 

[SlinkyRedfoot]

I've got the A's catching and passing the Mariners to take a wild card spot in the AL.

I know math isn't your best friend,

But the M's play .500 the rest of the way the have the wild card....

Bump.

M's record before mcnabb's post: 57-34 (.626)

M's record after mcnabb's post: 29-38 (.433)

 

[navamind]

Not if the A's play 7 games over .500 the rest of the way.

How about 20?

 

[Chewbaccer]

How about 20?

That'll work too.

 

[Chewbaccer]

When I made this thread the Mariners had a 6 game lead for the second WC spot. Seemed like 2 weeks later and the A's already passed them.

 

[bksballer89]

I know math isn't your best friend,

But the M's play .500 the rest of the way the have the wild card....

Bump.

M's record before mcnabb's post: 57-34 (.626)

M's record after mcnabb's post: 29-38 (.433)

Should be noted that if the M's did play .500 since Mcnabb's post, they would be 6 games behind Oaklanda of the 2nd WC spot at the moment

 

[Chewbaccer]

Should be noted that if the M's did play .500 since Mcnabb's post, they would be 6 games behind Oaklanda of the 2nd WC spot at the moment

I think me and you made the only correct predictions in the thread.