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Series Thread: ECF: 2) Boston Celtics vs 8) Miami Heat

fightinfunbags

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Espn got the heat at 35% to win the series.

Was 3% entering the series
17% after game 1

ESPN is a clown show tho. Impossible to take them seriously.
Many of those same computers looked at the teams and assessed it as Celtics in 5. There’s the possibility for 5 more games. The ass end of the numbers is you get locked into the numbers. 2 data points aren’t going to move the numbers much.
 

Wamu

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The Lakers are 6-0 at home this postseason.

I thought they were undefeated at home. Will Jack be at the game again? My guess is yes.
 
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thunderc

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Many of those same computers looked at the teams and assessed it as Celtics in 5. There’s the possibility for 5 more games. The ass end of the numbers is you get locked into the numbers. 2 data points aren’t going to move the numbers much.
7.4 percent of teams down 0-2 have come back and I doubt anyone has come back that lost the first 2 at home. Those are the only numbers that really matter.
 

fightinfunbags

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You’re right about Duncan not getting minutes with Dipo playing. But Dipo to me is like P.J. Tucker for y’all. I don’t expect much from him offensively, but defensively he’s a dawg! He was a nightmare for Tatum and Brown in the ECF last year.
How about the way Strus has worked on his defense? Jealous respect for Heat culture. I believe that shit is real.
 

fightinfunbags

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7.4 percent of teams down 0-2 have come back and I doubt anyone has come back that lost the first 2 at home. Those are the only numbers that really matter.
Ironically, they doesn’t go into their FPI model. This is the stats stuff I’ve been crying about (@msgkings322 i own my shit). You see it with college football every year. Season is 3 games old and they are still married to their preseason stuff. So you see a 1-2 team ranked 11 in their FPI nonsense. When ESPN gives you those percentage chance things it’s also worked up in their FPI metrics.
 

DJ

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7.4 percent of teams down 0-2 have come back and I doubt anyone has come back that lost the first 2 at home. Those are the only numbers that really matter.
Denver did what they need to....won 2 games at home.

We do what we need to and it's a best of 3 series heading back to Denver.
 

thunderc

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Denver did what they need to....won 2 games at home.

We do what we need to and it's a best of 3 series heading back to Denver.
Like I said, 7.4 percent
 

The Q

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Was boston not old enough last year when they beat Miami in the conference finals? It is a simple yes or no question

This is an NBA talking head. Not a random twitter person

Apparently not since they blew it
 

The Q

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The grant Williams thing is overblown

Celtics still had a big lead

Run clock and put the ball in the basket and it doesn’t matter

Not that hard
 

bksballer89

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Win today is all that matters for right now. Old adage is one game at a time. So they definitely have to employ that attitude...

Yep you have the right mindset. Can't worry about 2 before you even get 1. Mans out here talking about a best of 3 when the Lakers didn't win one lol

Lakers are in better position than Boston obviously but yeah 1 game at a time
 

bksballer89

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The grant Williams thing is overblown

Celtics still had a big lead

Run clock and put the ball in the basket and it doesn’t matter

Not that hard
i don't think so. Jimmy doesn't go out of his way to get Grant who is a solid defender on him. He is the last person to do that to

Once saw Jimmy get that and 1 on Grant after Grant decided to run his mouth, I knew the game was over. He had the same look in his eyes that he had game 5 in Milwaukee when him and Jrue was going at it
 

bksballer89

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Before this series Boston was 3-3 at home (first 2 rounds) before playing Miami.

This changes nothing I just said. Just because you are playing at home doesn't guarantee a damn thing.
 

The Q

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i don't think so. Jimmy doesn't go out of his way to get Grant who is a solid defender on him. He is the last person to do that to

Once saw Jimmy get that and 1 on Grant after Grant decided to run his mouth, I knew the game was over. He had the same look in his eyes that he had game 5 in Milwaukee when him and Jrue was going at it

Grant is maybe the 4th best defender on the floor at a given time
 

DJ

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This changes nothing I just said. Just because you are playing at home doesn't guarantee a damn thing.
We play a lot better than Boston at home.

And didn't guarantee anything. I simply said if they do what they need to it's a best of 3 series and you got all triggered.
 
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