Current Odds To Win Super Bowl XLVIII

[CaptainStubing]

Which ones pop out as 'good' odds? Which ones are sucker bets?

Seattle Seahawks 11/5
Denver Broncos 13/5
San Francisco 49ers 8/1
Carolina Panthers 8/1
New England Patriots 12/1 -- No thanks. This is on reputation alone.
Cincinnati Bengals 15/1 -- No thanks. I need better odds than that.
New Orleans Saints 25/1 -- i'm a little surprised they are this low
Philadelphia Eagles 30/1
Kansas City Chiefs 30/1
Indianapolis Colts 35/1 -- I'd take a flyer on this one. Pretty good payback.
Green Bay Packers 50/1 -- What if Rodgers comes back? This is a value then.
Chicago Bears 70/1
Dallas Cowboys 75/1
Arizona Cardinals 100/1
Miami Dolphins 100/1
San Diego Chargers 100/1
Baltimore Ravens 125/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 200/1

 

[rmilia1]

Which ones pop out as 'good' odds? Which ones are sucker bets?

Seattle Seahawks 11/5
Denver Broncos 13/5
San Francisco 49ers 8/1
Carolina Panthers 8/1
New England Patriots 12/1 -- No thanks. This is on reputation alone.
Cincinnati Bengals 15/1 -- No thanks. I need better odds than that.
New Orleans Saints 25/1 -- i'm a little surprised they are this low
Philadelphia Eagles 30/1
Kansas City Chiefs 30/1
Indianapolis Colts 35/1 -- I'd take a flyer on this one. Pretty good payback.
Green Bay Packers 50/1 -- What if Rodgers comes back? This is a value then.
Chicago Bears 70/1
Dallas Cowboys 75/1
Arizona Cardinals 100/1
Miami Dolphins 100/1
San Diego Chargers 100/1
Baltimore Ravens 125/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 200/1

Anything less than 25 to 1 isnt worth betting IMO. I like the Chiefs, Eagle, Cardinals in that order out of those teams. Id have AZ number 1 IF they were going to make the playoffs but they wont.

 

[CaptainStubing]

Anything less than 25 to 1 isnt worth betting IMO. I like the Chiefs, Eagle, Cardinals in that order out of those teams. Id have AZ number 1 IF they were going to make the playoffs but they wont.

yep, the cardinals odds just to MAKE the playoffs at this point are slim so 100 to 1 doesn't seem like a smart bet.

 

[PackMaster]

I'd go with the pack and hope rodgers is back by the 1st playoff game. If not maybe they steal the first game at home against a warm weather team in the playoffs and then rodgers comes.

 

[WhiteMamba]

I agree with all of your assessments in the op.

 

[CaptainStubing]

Damnit! Should have bought the 50/1 packers.

 

[SonnyCID]

NE at 12-1 is great value. The AFC is à two team race imo.

 

[Dude]

NE at 12-1 is great value. The AFC is à two team race imo.

Not sure about 2-team race. I was talking about this with a buddy while playing golf today, he's a 49ers fan. Broncos are top dog in AFC because of that powerful O led by a rejuvenated Peyton, but D is suspect; Pats are inspired with a bunch of rookies filling in everywhere, only a miracle could get them far; Colts have beat top teams in the league, but have lost games to dogs; Bengals have great defensive games, but for some reason continue to bungle up things. Those are the teams that have a shot in AFC. Of course a wild-card team could sprint out of the shadows and pull off a run, but it doesn't seem likely. AFC is a crap shoot, I think, with the Bronkies being a favorite because of the scoring power they have.

Having said all that BS, 12-1 is a good bet for the Pats but don't bet the farm.

 

[cdumler7]

I think about the only team in the AFC I would maybe be willing to bet on and this kills me to say would be the Chiefs. The odds are pretty darn good, the Chiefs have actually been a better road team than home team this year, and the offense at times has shown some life. They have a good running game and a defense that can force turnovers so I could see them catching a couple of lucky breaks and making it.


Otherwise yes the AFC is a crap shoot right now. I can't see the 6th seed doing anything in the playoffs as none of them really seem to want it right now. KC I mentioned above. The Colts I have a hard time seeing them put 3 straight good games together. Cincinnati is just downright horrible on the road and unless they get the two seed they are at least going to have to go on the road once if not twice. New England I just don't know what to think. One week they lay an egg and look like a pretty banged up team then the next week when everybody is doubting them they destroy a playoff caliber team. Denver with the loss of Von who knows what is going to happen with the defense although they just got Champ back and might actually have the starting secondary play a game together for the first time all year in the divisional round of the playoffs. So yeah it is somewhat a toss up but I do think New England or Denver look like the most complete teams right now with the Chiefs a possible 3rd.

 

[JDM]

NE at 12-1 is great value. The AFC is à two team race imo.

I don't think anyone with lower odds has anything resembling a shot.

I kind of agree on the two team race, and it is fairly likely to play out that way, but I just find it hard to put faith in New England putting a long enough string of games together with the absurd number of key injuries they have suffered.

Don't get me wrong; I think they are capable, I trust Tom and Bill, and anything short is a disappointment, but that's a long string to put together with the losses they've taken this year, especially in their run defense. Add in that the NFC favorites can pound the ball, and even though I feel comfortable leaving a lot of guys on islands against those QBs on a consistent basis, I'm not convinced they can stop the run consistently even with a loaded up box. If someone can pull that off it's Bill, but it's not exactly easy.