AL East Thread

[steveringo]

Casas & Dalbec at 1st.
Rafaela & Durran in CF.
Bello starts opening day...

All aboard the youth train leaving Boston...

 

[bksballer89]

 

[bksballer89]

 

[nynasty]

BRef has them finishing dead last

2024 Major League Baseball Playoff Odds | Baseball-Reference.com

2024 Likelihood of teams reaching the postseason this year.

www.baseball-reference.com

 

[navamind]

BRef has them finishing dead last

2024 Major League Baseball Playoff Odds | Baseball-Reference.com

2024 Likelihood of teams reaching the postseason this year.

www.baseball-reference.com

Some rather baffling projections. Brewers winning 90+? Mariners 5 games better than Houston? Padres winning 88??

What does BB-Ref even use as a basis for these?

 

[YourFriendGannon]

Some rather baffling projections. Brewers winning 90+? Mariners 5 games better than Houston? Padres winning 88??

What does BB-Ref even use as a basis for these?

This has been an issue in years past and I guess it hasn't changed. Their projections are primitive compared to other options, to be taken with a grain of salt. Part of it from what I recall is they heavily weigh how well a team has recently done i.e. team record in the past year or two into their algorithm, so a team losing Corbin Burnes or Juan Soto for less proven players in the offseason is liable to appear overestimated.

 

[navamind]

This has been an issue in years past and I guess it hasn't changed. Their projections are primitive compared to other options, to be taken with a grain of salt. Part of it from what I recall is they heavily weigh how well a team has recently done i.e. team record in the past year or two into their algorithm, so a team losing Corbin Burnes or Juan Soto for less proven players in the offseason is liable to appear overestimated.

Honestly, it never even crossed my mind that they had their own projected standings. And they use Marcel projections, which I forgot even existed. It uses the last 3 years of MLB data and regresses it to the mean.

I've always preferred Steamer/ZiPS/ATC projections.

 

[nynasty]

Honestly, it never even crossed my mind that they had their own projected standings. And they use Marcel projections, which I forgot even existed. It uses the last 3 years of MLB data and regresses it to the mean.

I've always preferred Steamer/ZiPS projections.

Fangraphs pegs the Yanks at 91 wins, BRef has them at 71

Your mileage may vary indeed.

 

[nynasty]

Free MLB.TV offer is available today if you have T-Mobile, FYI

 

[navamind]

Free MLB.TV offer is available today if you have T-Mobile, FYI

Got mine this morning.

 

[bksballer89]

 

[bksballer89]

Got mine this morning.

Same. 3rd straight year

 

[navamind]

Same. 3rd straight year

I started in 2012

 

[bksballer89]

I started in 2012

Damn lol I didn’t know they been doing it for that long

 

[navamind]

Damn lol I didn’t know they been doing it for that long

It's been around since the early 2000's

 

[steveringo]

Free MLB.TV offer is available today if you have T-Mobile, FYI

Only free for T-Mobile??

What is this nonsense??

 

[nynasty]

Only free for T-Mobile??

What is this nonsense??

Only month of the year I'm happy to pay my bill

 

[nynasty]

Literally no clue what to expect this year, aside from bad managing.

They could win 90 , they could win 70

 

[nynasty]

Gleyber Torres, 2B
Juan Soto, RF
Aaron Judge, CF
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Anthony Volpe, SS
Alex Verdugo, LF
Jose Trevino, C
Oswaldo Cabrera, 3B

Nestor Cortes, LHP

 

[Pure Steel]

Gleyber Torres, 2B
Juan Soto, RF
Aaron Judge, CF
Giancarlo Stanton, DH
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Anthony Volpe, SS
Alex Verdugo, LF
Jose Trevino, C
Oswaldo Cabrera, 3B

Nestor Cortes, LHP

That’s a lot of K’s