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navamind

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I think Adrian Beltre sealed his spot getting to 3000 this year. Maybe Kershaw at some point if he keeps dominating but most of the pitchers out there seem to be in the "very good" category, imo.

he has a lifetime ERA of 2.36 and the only pitcher with a better ERA+ is a relief pitcher (Mo). He also has three CYAs under his belt. He's pitched 10 seasons, he's pretty much a lock.
 

dougplayer

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Miggy. 1st ballot. 4shore
 

black francis

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Besides Ichiro, Pujols, and Miggy

Other LOCKS

Thome - 600 HR
Beltre - assuming he gets to 3,000 Hits next spring,

Young SP on pace, , but ways to go -

MadBum
Kershaw
Felix, still young, barely age 30

Pujols did roids, so he should be blackballed like Bonds
 

Dr. Strangelove

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he has a lifetime ERA of 2.36 and the only pitcher with a better ERA+ is a relief pitcher (Mo). He also has three CYAs under his belt. He's pitched 10 seasons, he's pretty much a lock.
I agree but if he were to fall off drastically like King Felix, it would become questionable, especially if his post season woes were to continue.
Kershaw leads the Dodgers to a championship, then he becomes close to a lock.
 

navamind

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StanMarsh51

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I agree but if he were to fall off drastically like King Felix, it would become questionable, especially if his post season woes were to continue.
Kershaw leads the Dodgers to a championship, then he becomes close to a lock.


But they're not similar cases, because Kershaw's been much better than Felix...Kershaw's career to date has been historically dominant (right now he's got the best ERA+ of any starter in history with 1,000 innings).
 

navamind

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Any thoughts on Altuve?

He does have 1250 hits under his belt. As long as he stays healthy, he has a decent shot at 2500+. His first few years were meh, but he really broke out in 2014 and got even better as he developed power. His last two seasons are some of the best offensive seasons by a 2B. His 160 wRC+ this year ranks 31st among all-time seasons by 2B, last year's 151 wRC+ ranks 53rd. Most of the seasons ahead of him come from Hornsby/Eddie Collins/Lajoie/Morgan.

Major League Leaderboards » 2017 » Second Basemen » Dashboard | FanGraphs Baseball

It's early, but he does have 26.2 WAR through age 27. A few more years like the last four and his chances could look pretty good.
 

MilkSpiller22

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He does have 1250 hits under his belt. As long as he stays healthy, he has a decent shot at 2500+. His first few years were meh, but he really broke out in 2014 and got even better as he developed power. His last two seasons are some of the best offensive seasons by a 2B. His 160 wRC+ this year ranks 31st among all-time seasons by 2B, last year's 151 wRC+ ranks 53rd. Most of the seasons ahead of him come from Hornsby/Eddie Collins/Lajoie/Morgan.

Major League Leaderboards » 2017 » Second Basemen » Dashboard | FanGraphs Baseball

It's early, but he does have 26.2 WAR through age 27. A few more years like the last four and his chances could look pretty good.

I am so impressed by this kid... every year in fantasy, I avoid him saying he is only 5'6 not even 180 pounds... No way he can repeat his power numbers... 2 years in a row with 24 HRs... Just insane... and he isn't even good because of his power numbers...

IMO, he is already on the short list of SHOULD become HOFer...
 

navamind

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Lester still needs a few All-Star seasons before he really has a good case IMO, but he's had a very good career.

177-98, 3.50 ERA, 122 ERA+, 2366 IP, 380 starts, 1.25 WHIP, 8.3 K/9, 2.85 K/BB, 3.61 FIP, 44.6 WAR

Very solid postseason resume:

9-7, 2.55 ERA, 148 IP, 25 games (21 starts), 1.03 WHIP, 6.9 H/9, 3.18 K/BB; career 1.77 ERA in 35.2 innings in World Series, pitched for 3 WS winning teams
 

navamind

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If Pedroia can stay productive for another 5-6 years, he could have a decent case. Either WAR you look at, he's got 46+ to his credit (HOF borderline is about 60). He's a career .302/.367/.446 (117 wRC+) hitter at a position that isn't known for offense historically. Not to mention Pedroia rates as an excellent 2B, whether you go by Gold Gloves (4x), defensive metrics (UZR/DRS), or the eye test. Pedroia's having an excellent year right now (5+ WAR and hitting .332/.392/.466), but he is 33 years old at a position that isn't known for guys aging well.

HOF or not though, he could go down as the best Sox 2B of all-time.

RIP
 

navamind

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How about Joe Mauer? Seemed a shoe-in a few years ago.

I would add Utley and Beltran to the list of guys who would be in right now.

Mauer's a weird case. He's pretty similar to Ernie Banks in that he was a fantastic player at a premium position and then moved to another position and was a pretty middling player there. Mauer's catcher seasons are fantastic and he's one of the greatest hitting catchers of all-time, but he only played 921 games behind the plate and he only had two seasons where he played 120+ games behind the plate. I think he should be in but I can see the arguments against him.

Hopefully Posey will fare better in that regard.
 

calsnowskier

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Mauer's a weird case. He's pretty similar to Ernie Banks in that he was a fantastic player at a premium position and then moved to another position and was a pretty middling player there. Mauer's catcher seasons are fantastic and he's one of the greatest hitting catchers of all-time, but he only played 921 games behind the plate and he only had two seasons where he played 120+ games behind the plate. I think he should be in but I can see the arguments against him.

Hopefully Posey will fare better in that regard.
The similarities between Posey and Mauer are pretty thick. When Posey moves from behind the plate, it will be interesting to see how his bat translates. And with Bart breathing down his back, he won’t stay behind the dish much longer (maybe 1 or 1.5 more years).
 

soxfan1468927

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4 years later, looks like Verlander's a lock, CC's likely and Felix is a no.
I mentioned 4 years ago that Utley and Beltran should be mentioned. I still maintain they should be in.

We can obviously add Trout to this list

I didn't check if Greinke was mentioned in here. It was in the middle of rough season in Arizona so probably not. But now he's approaching 3000 IP with an ERA+ of 126. Good chance he retires with 250+ wins and 3000+ strikeouts. He hits those and I think he's in.
 

calsnowskier

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I mentioned 4 years ago that Utley and Beltran should be mentioned. I still maintain they should be in.

We can obviously add Trout to this list

I didn't check if Greinke was mentioned in here. It was in the middle of rough season in Arizona so probably not. But now he's approaching 3000 IP with an ERA+ of 126. Good chance he retires with 250+ wins and 3000+ strikeouts. He hits those and I think he's in.
I think Greinke is a near lock. Dude had been a stud for a LONG time.
 
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