2018 statistical predictions

[jedburks]

We need a compilation of responses before the first game. Then revisit them in January to see how Kool-aided up we all were.

Already tracking

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

I love all of the responses. I will admit, there are a few of those numbers that I waffled on but ultimately went with a higher number to see how much kool-aid was being drank around here.

My cup runneth over

 

[Red_Alert]

1. Will any RB carry the ball 20+ times in any single game? The last time Frost had a player rush 20+ times in a game was Royce Freeman in 2015. The closest a UCF player got to 20 carries was Milton with 19 carries in 2016.

Yes

2. Will a TE break the single season reception record for TEs at Nebraska? Mike McNeill holds the record at 32. UCF's leading TE caught 32 passes last year.

No

3. Will a WR break the single season reception record at Nebraska? Westerkamp has the record at 65. Morgan had 61 last year. Frost had 1 guy have more than 65 catches at Oregon in 2014.

No

4. Over/under: Nebraska points per game 31.9

Over

5. Over/Under: Sacks by Nebraska - 24.5

Under

6. Over/under: Nebraska turnover margin - +5.5
Nebraska has only had a positive TO margin 3 times in last 14 years and none of them have been over +5.

Under

7. Over/under: Nebraska INTs thrown - 11.5
Frost has not had a team throw more than 9 INTs in a season

Over

8. Who will lead the team in tackles?

Mo Barry

9. Over/under: Nebraska kickoff/punt returns for TDs - 2.5

Over

10. Over/under: Players with 20+ receptions - 6.5
Nebraska has only had 7 or more guys catch 20+ balls in a season once ever, that was in 2008. Last year UCF had 6 guys at 20+ and 2014 Oregon had 7.

Under

11. Which RB will have the most receptions? Only counting the players listed as "RB"
Greg Bell
Jaylin Bradley
Tre Bryant
Miles Jones
Devine Ozigbo
Maurice Washington
Mikale Wilbon

#8

I lost a few tackles with Mo Barry getting ejected today.

 

[Red_Alert]

Mid season stats?

 

[jedburks]

Half way through the season

1. Will any RB carry the ball 20+ times in any single game? The last time Frost had a player rush 20+ times in a game was Royce Freeman in 2015. The closest a UCF player got to 20 carries was Milton with 19 carries in 2016.
Ozigbo just had 22 carries vs Northwestern. He is the only one so far.

2. Will a TE break the single season reception record for TEs at Nebraska? Mike McNeill holds the record at 32. UCF's leading TE caught 32 passes last year.
Jack Stoll is the leader with only 10 catches. Certainly not on pace to get to 32 and the use of the TE has been a disappointment.

3. Will a WR break the single season reception record at Nebraska? Westerkamp has the record at 65. Morgan had 61 last year. Frost had 1 guy have more than 65 catches at Oregon in 2014.
Stanley Morgan is on pace for 54 catches but JD Speilman is on pace for 80 catches.

4. Over/under: Nebraska points per game 31.9
23.3 PPG so far

5. Over/Under: Sacks by Nebraska - 24.5
On pace for 30 sacks

6. Over/under: Nebraska turnover margin - +5.5
Nebraska has only had a positive TO margin 3 times in last 14 years and none of them have been over +5.
-7 so far, YUCK

7. Over/under: Nebraska INTs thrown - 11.5
Frost has not had a team throw more than 9 INTs in a season
On pace for 14 INTs

8. Who will lead the team in tackles?
Mo Barry has 53 tackles which is 10 more than the #2 guy

9. Over/under: Nebraska kickoff/punt returns for TDs - 2.5
BIG FAT ZERO and nothing even close

10. Over/under: Players with 20+ receptions - 6.5
Nebraska has only had 7 or more guys catch 20+ balls in a season once ever, that was in 2008. Last year UCF had 6 guys at 20+ and 2014 Oregon had 7.
5 players are on pace for 20+ receptions

11. Which RB will have the most receptions? Only counting the players listed as "RB"
Greg Bell
Jaylin Bradley
Tre Bryant
Miles Jones
Devine Ozigbo
Maurice Washington
Mikale Wilbon
Maurice Washington has 12 catches and Devine Ozigbo has 10 catches

 

[Skerpokes]

Half way through the season


4. Over/under: Nebraska points per game 31.9
23.3 PPG so far

This is very disappointing and a major contributor to the record so far. Lots of yardage resulting in very few points.


5. Over/Under: Sacks by Nebraska - 24.5
On pace for 30 sacks

This surprises me as it doesn't feel like it. Especially after that NW game where they passed the ball 87 times and we had only two sacks.



11. Which RB will have the most receptions? Only counting the players listed as "RB"
Greg Bell - Gone
Jaylin Bradley - Who?
Tre Bryant - Gone
Miles Jones - Who?
Devine Ozigbo
Maurice Washington
Mikale Wilbon - Who?
Maurice Washington has 12 catches and Devine Ozigbo has 10 catches

 

[tometom]

yea, the pace for sacks is slowing down. 1, 1, 1, 2 since getting to Big10 play. If i were guessing we'll get 2, 5, 0, 2, 2, 1, the rest of the way. I guess that still hits the over and would be 26 on the season. Bethune certainly helps matters, but looking at the only FBS opponent they played (FAU) they only gave up 1 sack in that game, so 5 might be overestimating.

 

[jedburks]

1. Will any RB carry the ball 20+ times in any single game? The last time Frost had a player rush 20+ times in a game was Royce Freeman in 2015. The closest a UCF player got to 20 carries was Milton with 19 carries in 2016.
Ozigbo had 20+ carries twice and Martinez once

2. Will a TE break the single season reception record for TEs at Nebraska? Mike McNeill holds the record at 32. UCF's leading TE caught 32 passes last year.
Jack Stoll ended with 21 catches

3. Will a WR break the single season reception record at Nebraska? Westerkamp has the record at 65. Morgan had 61 last year. Frost had 1 guy have more than 65 catches at Oregon in 2014.
Stanley Morgan ended with 70 catches JD Spielman had 66

4. Over/under: Nebraska points per game 31.9
Nebraska ended with 30.0 ppg

5. Over/Under: Sacks by Nebraska - 24.5
Nebraska ended with 25 sacks

6. Over/under: Nebraska turnover margin - +5.5
Nebraska has only had a positive TO margin 3 times in last 14 years and none of them have been over +5.
Nebraska ended with a -2 TO margin

7. Over/under: Nebraska INTs thrown - 11.5
Frost has not had a team throw more than 9 INTs in a season
Nebraska threw 11 INTs

8. Who will lead the team in tackles?
Mo Barry led the team with 112 tackles

9. Over/under: Nebraska kickoff/punt returns for TDs - 2.5
Nebraska only had 1 return for a TD

10. Over/under: Players with 20+ receptions - 6.5
Nebraska has only had 7 or more guys catch 20+ balls in a season once ever, that was in 2008. Last year UCF had 6 guys at 20+ and 2014 Oregon had 7.
Morgan, Spielman, Washington, Ozigbo, and Stoll were the only guys with 20+ catches

11. Which RB will have the most receptions? Only counting the players listed as "RB"
Greg Bell
Jaylin Bradley
Tre Bryant
Miles Jones
Devine Ozigbo
Maurice Washington
Mikale Wilbon
Maurice Washington led the RBs in receptions with 24. Ozigbo had 23.

 

[jedburks]

As for the predictions

@Tomhusker had 7 of the 11 predicted correctly
@Red_Alert had 6 of the 11
@corn train had 6 of the 11
@Big_Red_Marine had 6 of the 11
@tometom had 6 of the 11
@HuskerInSecLand had 6 of the 11
@huskers1217 had 4 of the 11
@oaknightshockey1 had 4 of the 11
@FNG had 3 of the 11
@Jack_John_Mark had 3 of the 11

 

[Red_Alert]

Thanks @jedburks

 

[Tomhusker]

As for the predictions

@Tomhusker had 7 of the 11 predicted correctly
@Red_Alert had 6 of the 11
@corn train had 6 of the 11
@Big_Red_Marine had 6 of the 11
@tometom had 6 of the 11
@HuskerInSecLand had 6 of the 11
@huskers1217 had 4 of the 11
@oaknightshockey1 had 4 of the 11
@FNG had 3 of the 11
@Jack_John_Mark had 3 of the 11

Do I get to give JJM an avi?

 

[huskers1217]

1. Will any RB carry the ball 20+ times in any single game? The last time Frost had a player rush 20+ times in a game was Royce Freeman in 2015. The closest a UCF player got to 20 carries was Milton with 19 carries in 2016.
Ozigbo had 20+ carries twice and Martinez once

2. Will a TE break the single season reception record for TEs at Nebraska? Mike McNeill holds the record at 32. UCF's leading TE caught 32 passes last year.
Jack Stoll ended with 21 catches

3. Will a WR break the single season reception record at Nebraska? Westerkamp has the record at 65. Morgan had 61 last year. Frost had 1 guy have more than 65 catches at Oregon in 2014.
Stanley Morgan ended with 70 catches JD Spielman had 66

4. Over/under: Nebraska points per game 31.9
Nebraska ended with 30.0 ppg

5. Over/Under: Sacks by Nebraska - 24.5
Nebraska ended with 25 sacks

6. Over/under: Nebraska turnover margin - +5.5
Nebraska has only had a positive TO margin 3 times in last 14 years and none of them have been over +5.
Nebraska ended with a -2 TO margin

7. Over/under: Nebraska INTs thrown - 11.5
Frost has not had a team throw more than 9 INTs in a season
Nebraska threw 11 INTs

8. Who will lead the team in tackles?
Mo Barry led the team with 112 tackles

9. Over/under: Nebraska kickoff/punt returns for TDs - 2.5
Nebraska only had 1 return for a TD

10. Over/under: Players with 20+ receptions - 6.5
Nebraska has only had 7 or more guys catch 20+ balls in a season once ever, that was in 2008. Last year UCF had 6 guys at 20+ and 2014 Oregon had 7.
Morgan, Spielman, Washington, Ozigbo, and Stoll were the only guys with 20+ catches

11. Which RB will have the most receptions? Only counting the players listed as "RB"
Greg Bell
Jaylin Bradley
Tre Bryant
Miles Jones
Devine Ozigbo
Maurice Washington
Mikale Wilbon
Maurice Washington led the RBs in receptions with 24. Ozigbo had 23.

As expected, The thing is i see a lot of improvement from your mid year stats to now

 

[jedburks]

As expected, The thing is i see a lot of improvement from your mid year stats to now

I don’t know that there was a lot of improvement based solely on that. Obviously PPG went way up. TO margin got significantly better. Otherwise all the rest stayed basically the same as far as the leaders at the half way mark. Sacks ended below the mid season pace. INTs got better compared to the pace.

But obviously just watching the games there was significant improvement and a lot to build on for next year.

 

[jedburks]

Do I get to give JJM an avi?

Well there was nothing really on the line for this and no tiebreaker do have between FNG and JJM.

 

[Skerpokes]

Stanley Morgan had 70 receptions for 1004 yards
Spielman had 66 for 818

The next closest wide receiver was Kade Warner with 17 and only 95 yards


Replacing Morgan's production next year is gonna be huge

 

[Tomhusker]

Well there was nothing really on the line for this and no tiebreaker do have between FNG and JJM.

Dude, your avi......

 

[oaknightshockey1]

I thought this was the thread I predicted next to zero carries for Ozigbo..must be a different one. Boy did that guy prove me wrong

 

[Red_Alert]

1. Will any RB carry the ball 20+ times in any single game? The last time Frost had a player rush 20+ times in a game was Royce Freeman in 2015. The closest a UCF player got to 20 carries was Milton with 19 carries in 2016.
Ozigbo had 20+ carries twice and Martinez once

2. Will a TE break the single season reception record for TEs at Nebraska? Mike McNeill holds the record at 32. UCF's leading TE caught 32 passes last year.
Jack Stoll ended with 21 catches

3. Will a WR break the single season reception record at Nebraska? Westerkamp has the record at 65. Morgan had 61 last year. Frost had 1 guy have more than 65 catches at Oregon in 2014.
Stanley Morgan ended with 70 catches JD Spielman had 66

4. Over/under: Nebraska points per game 31.9
Nebraska ended with 30.0 ppg

5. Over/Under: Sacks by Nebraska - 24.5
Nebraska ended with 25 sacks

6. Over/under: Nebraska turnover margin - +5.5
Nebraska has only had a positive TO margin 3 times in last 14 years and none of them have been over +5.
Nebraska ended with a -2 TO margin

7. Over/under: Nebraska INTs thrown - 11.5
Frost has not had a team throw more than 9 INTs in a season
Nebraska threw 11 INTs

8. Who will lead the team in tackles?
Mo Barry led the team with 112 tackles

9. Over/under: Nebraska kickoff/punt returns for TDs - 2.5
Nebraska only had 1 return for a TD

10. Over/under: Players with 20+ receptions - 6.5
Nebraska has only had 7 or more guys catch 20+ balls in a season once ever, that was in 2008. Last year UCF had 6 guys at 20+ and 2014 Oregon had 7.
Morgan, Spielman, Washington, Ozigbo, and Stoll were the only guys with 20+ catches

11. Which RB will have the most receptions? Only counting the players listed as "RB"
Greg Bell
Jaylin Bradley
Tre Bryant
Miles Jones
Devine Ozigbo
Maurice Washington
Mikale Wilbon
Maurice Washington led the RBs in receptions with 24. Ozigbo had 23.

I was the only one to pick Mo Barry to lead the team in tackles.

Myself and @Tomhusker were the only one's to pick Maurice Washington as RB to lead the team in receptions.

I wiffed on kickoff/punt returns. Special teams needs a lot of work in the off-season.