2014 Playoff Simulator

[alf8478]

Yes we did. But I dont think we can do it again

 

[BurrowDeep2Chase]

Bill Simmons (who is a horrible prognosticator) picked this in his mailbag last week..... He actually had them losing all their remaining games. When they were on the ropes yesterday I thought about it.

But seriously..... Which of those games does SD win? I thin their best chances are @BALT and their home game against Denver (they've played close games with Denver in the past). New England is rolling right now and I expect SF and KC to be fighting for playoffs/seeding.

We will be rooting for the Chargers from here on out.

 

[cincygrad]

My latest projection has the Dolphins, Chiefs and Browns (or Ravens depending on week 17 head to head) all missing the playoffs with 10-6 records.

I have Atlanta getting the 4th seed in the NFC with a 6-10 record.

 

[Cincyfan78]

Simmons does most of his predictions based on the spreads...his current record for the year is pretty good, I believe.

 

[cincygrad]

Simmons does most of his predictions based on the spreads...his current record for the year is pretty good, I believe.

He's been awful against the spread the last few years. I love his Friday pick column, but it's definitely a lousy source of gambling knowledge..... It's mostly just the thoughts of a crazy NE homer.

 

[Cincyfan78]

He's been awful against the spread the last few years. I love his Friday pick column, but it's definitely a lousy source of gambling knowledge..... It's mostly just the thoughts of a crazy NE homer.

Oh, no doubt. Last year, he was brutal. I think he was doing really well heading into this week, though.

His mailbags are what he does best though. It's a shame he's gotten too big to keep up on that. He also used to do really great reports on various trips (Vegas, Lewis fight, NBA All-Star game) and the like.

 

[Skinnyfats]

I see us losing to the browns in cleveland, losing in pitt, and losing to Denver

all the others we win.

If we can turn just one of those games around, win at home vs pitt and win against tb, then we're good to go.

Bengals and Browns normally almost always split. They are pissed they got embarrassed by the Browns. Pretty sure they are going to go to Cleveland with a huge chip on their shoulders. I see the Browns blowing it winning is still new to them.

 

[DanBengalfan]

Bengals and Browns normally almost always split. They are pissed they got embarrassed by the Browns. Pretty sure they are going to go to Cleveland with a huge chip on their shoulders. I see the Browns blowing it winning is still new to them.

the
bengals don't get embarrassed, they've been bengalized.

 

[Gypsumstack]

Oh, no doubt. Last year, he was brutal. I think he was doing really well heading into this week, though.

His mailbags are what he does best though. It's a shame he's gotten too big to keep up on that. He also used to do really great reports on various trips (Vegas, Lewis fight, NBA All-Star game) and the like.

He also pulled a Chris Berman and declared that he went undefeated in picks during his 3 week suspension...so his numbers are a tad bit skewed.

 

[BurrowDeep2Chase]

After Week 14:

1- NE 13-3
2- DEN 13-3
3- PITT 11-5
4- INDY 11-5
5- BALT 11-5
6- CIN 9-6-1

9 wins is suddenly good enough to get in.

Win 2 or 3 and we are in for sure.

Win 1(Browns) and we need
4 of these to happen(or just PITT and BALT):
PITT to lose 2(@ATL, KC)
BALT to lose 2(JAX, @HOU, CLE)
SD to lose 2(DEN, @SF, @KC)
HOU to lose 1(@INDY, BALT, JAX)
MIA to lose 1(@NE, MIN, NYJ)
BUFF to lose 1(GB, @OAK, @NE)

Win 1(Broncos) and we need
5 of these to happen(or just CLEV, PITT and BALT):
PITT to lose 2(@ATL, KC)
BALT to lose 2(JAX, @HOU, CLE)
CLEV to lose 1(@CAR, @BALT)
SD to lose 2(DEN, @SF, @KC)
HOU to lose 1(@INDY, BALT, JAX)
MIA to lose 1(@NE, MIN, NYJ)
BUFF to lose 1(GB, @OAK, @NE)

Win 1(Steelers) and we need
5 of these to happen(or just CLEV, PITT, and BALT):
PITT to lose 1(@ATL, KC)
BALT to lose 2(JAX, @HOU, CLE)
CLEV to lose 1(@CAR, @BALT)
SD to lose 2(DEN, @SF, @KC)
HOU to lose 1(@INDY, BALT, JAX)
MIA to lose 1(@NE, MIN, NYJ)
BUFF to lose 1(GB, @OAK, @NE)

 

[cincygrad]

After Week 14:

1- NE 13-3
2- DEN 13-3
3- PITT 11-5
4- INDY 11-5
5- BALT 11-5
6- CIN 9-6-1

9 wins is suddenly good enough to get in.

Win 2 or 3 and we are in for sure.

Win 1(Browns) and we need
4 of these to happen(or just PITT and BALT):
PITT to lose 2(@ATL, KC)
BALT to lose 2(JAX, @HOU, CLE)
SD to lose 2(DEN, @SF, @KC)
HOU to lose 1(@INDY, BALT, JAX)
MIA to lose 1(@NE, MIN, NYJ)
BUFF to lose 1(GB, @OAK, @NE)

Win 1(Broncos) and we need
5 of these to happen(or just CLEV, PITT and BALT):
PITT to lose 2(@ATL, KC)
BALT to lose 2(JAX, @HOU, CLE)
CLEV to lose 1(@CAR, @BALT)
SD to lose 2(DEN, @SF, @KC)
HOU to lose 1(@INDY, BALT, JAX)
MIA to lose 1(@NE, MIN, NYJ)
BUFF to lose 1(GB, @OAK, @NE)

Win 1(Steelers) and we need
5 of these to happen(or just CLEV, PITT, and BALT):
PITT to lose 1(@ATL, KC)
BALT to lose 2(JAX, @HOU, CLE)
CLEV to lose 1(@CAR, @BALT)
SD to lose 2(DEN, @SF, @KC)
HOU to lose 1(@INDY, BALT, JAX)
MIA to lose 1(@NE, MIN, NYJ)
BUFF to lose 1(GB, @OAK, @NE)

Well fuck..... I guess we're making the playoffs.

That means we get to witness an ass-whipping on the road in Pittsburgh or Baltimore.

I'm pumped.

 

[DanBengalfan]

no

Steelers will beat the Falcons, as the Falcons are sorry as heck.

therefore, our "playoff" is that we need to beat either Denver or Pitt-@Pitt

Andy's already browsing fishing catalogs looking forwards to the offseason. so it ain't happening.

 

[cincygrad]

no

Steelers will beat the Falcons, as the Falcons are sorry as heck.

therefore, our "playoff" is that we need to beat either Denver or Pitt-@Pitt

Andy's already browsing fishing catalogs looking forwards to the offseason. so it ain't happening.

I'm willing to bet that Andy's casting leaves a lot to be desired.

 

[DanBengalfan]

I'm willing to bet that Andy's casting leaves a lot to be desired.

my dad used to watch tv shows about fishing, then he'd go to the lake, get drunk, and yell a lot while sorta fishing.

maybe he shoulda just watched tv shows about drinking and then fished a lot.

Andy probably just wonders what its going to be like when he has a marketing firm to run

 

[BurrowDeep2Chase]

Win 1 more and we are in

or

2 of these to happen:
BALT to lose 2(@HOU, CLE)
SD to lose 2(DEN, @SF, @KC)
BUFF to lose 1(@OAK, @NE)