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wilwhite
Well-Known Member
In fantasy terms I think this is going from bad to worse. The Steelers just traded for Felix Jones, which makes me think they know Bell will be out for enough of the season that they can't just roll with Redman, Dwyer and LSH.
There's an interesting stat from Football Outsiders called Success Rate, which measures whether a particular run accomplished its short-term objective (i.e. get 5 yards on first down, get enough for a first down on third down...) - and of the 42 RBs with 100+ carries last year, not one of the three current Steelers backs ranked in the top 30. Dwyer was 31st, Redman 35th, and LSH came in dead last at 42nd. Felix Jones, despite his bad YPC, ranked 16th - meaning he was used in short-yardage situations and did a reasonable job.
The Steelers, maybe more so than any other team (except maybe the Jets, in theory at least), don't really look for home runs from their RBs; they look for consistent, grinding success, which Jones is more likely to provide.
I'm not saying I think Jones wins the job outright, but what he brings screws up the picture even more for everybody else, until Bell comes back.
Side note: the RB with the highest success rate last year was... Knowshon Moreno. (Just another plug for my favorite pass-protectin', system-knowin', defense-recognizin', non-fumblin' sleeper.)
There's an interesting stat from Football Outsiders called Success Rate, which measures whether a particular run accomplished its short-term objective (i.e. get 5 yards on first down, get enough for a first down on third down...) - and of the 42 RBs with 100+ carries last year, not one of the three current Steelers backs ranked in the top 30. Dwyer was 31st, Redman 35th, and LSH came in dead last at 42nd. Felix Jones, despite his bad YPC, ranked 16th - meaning he was used in short-yardage situations and did a reasonable job.
The Steelers, maybe more so than any other team (except maybe the Jets, in theory at least), don't really look for home runs from their RBs; they look for consistent, grinding success, which Jones is more likely to provide.
I'm not saying I think Jones wins the job outright, but what he brings screws up the picture even more for everybody else, until Bell comes back.
Side note: the RB with the highest success rate last year was... Knowshon Moreno. (Just another plug for my favorite pass-protectin', system-knowin', defense-recognizin', non-fumblin' sleeper.)