65-win offense. 95-win rotation. 90-win bullpen

[PolarVortex]

Assuming the defense will be league average which it probably will be after losing plus-gloves in Suarez and Kelenic
overall - 83-win team
83-79

adding Rameriz/Machado/Parades
75-win offense. 95-win rotation. 90-win bullpen.
87-75

adding Rameriz/Machado/Parades & Soler/Turner/JDM
80-win offense. 95-win rotation. 90-win bullpen.
88-74

adding Rameriz/Machado/Parades & Bellinger
85-win offense. 95-win rotation. 90-win bullpen.
90-72

The human factors: +/-10 wins (over-achievement, under-achievement, injuries, unexpected +/- level of competition of opponents)

Human factor examples:
+30 human factor - the 2001 Mariners.
-20 human factor - the 2004 Mariners.

 

[ulmax]

I'm thinking of .turner..
And put..
Rojas And.urias.at.2b..
But mariners don't really have.a backup.
Cf..
But they could.just wait..till.injury happens..and replace..with.
Marlowe..

So.a 3b..
Even.a..3b./of...right handed

.3b..left field.ok
I don't know to many of those..
There.are..even.

But thinking..about..turner...that would.
Axe...
Haggerty..

 

[ulmax]

But if haniger.is canzone..platoon.
In LF then ok
But I don't know how that works..
To be starting.
RF.and.platoon..lf..
Just seems..hard.

 

[ulmax]

But it's T-Mobile...
Maybe a Left.handed..seager..
Type..3b..

 

[ulmax]

Yeah turner on one year .may be ok

 

[ulmax]

I'll take turner.at..1b..

And switch.france..to..3b..

Turner..3b..2023..889..fld..
He's to old..
For 3b...

He can 1b..just..fine..
France .to .3b..

Rojas.and urias 2b..
Rojas..2b/3b.or urias either one.

What mariners get.an awesome..1b.
And 3b..

Now we talking..

 

[ulmax]

Bench..
Zavala.
Moore..
Urias ..
Raley..

Next .up..1st.up..
Marlowe.cf.or trammel.

 

[ulmax]

In fact..turner played.mostly.1b.
At boston.last.year..
989..fld..but that is better..
Than his 3b numbers..

Turner.is in decline..there is no doubts.
There

 

[ulmax]

Geo urshela..is a better .
Defence..
At 3b..and 1b..and ya don't have to
Switch..france...but ya . could

Geo.hits 300..
But don't hit hrs .

 

[ulmax]

Garrit cooper..1b..right field..
250..ave17 hrs.106 hits
33 years old

 

[ulmax]

Geo urshela...is..my guy..3b.

 

[ulmax]

Better for turner .to Dh..

 

[ulmax]

I was wrong..urshela..will.hit..
15.to.20.
Hrs.
With 400.at bats.Or more...
He is the best.option..
I see..
I think.he.is..31..or 32.years.old.
So we prob talking.3.years.at least
On a contract..

Haggerty..to.san Diego I guess..

 

[wazzu31]

Assuming the defense will be league average which it probably will be after losing plus-gloves in Suarez and Kelenic
overall - 83-win team
83-79

adding Rameriz/Machado/Parades
75-win offense. 95-win rotation. 90-win bullpen.
87-75

adding Rameriz/Machado/Parades & Soler/Turner/JDM
80-win offense. 95-win rotation. 90-win bullpen.
88-74

adding Rameriz/Machado/Parades & Bellinger
85-win offense. 95-win rotation. 90-win bullpen.
90-72

The human factors: +/-10 wins (over-achievement, under-achievement, injuries, unexpected +/- level of competition of opponents)

Human factor examples:
+30 human factor - the 2001 Mariners.
-20 human factor - the 2004 Mariners.

Jose and Manny?

 

[ulmax]

Line up emelish..Ursula..

1.crawford..ss..L/L.
2 Julio..... ....cf..
3.ursula.........3b.hits..300.
4.garver..........dh.
5.raliegh........cat /swit..
6.haniger.........rf.
7.canzone.......LF..L/L.
8.france........,...1b.
9.rojas.................2b.L/L


Bench...
Zavala..cat.
Moore..ss .utility.can.LF.
As well..not..cf.

Urias ......2b/3b.
Raley..1b/of..L/L.can cf.
A game or 2.
.

 

[ulmax]

Ursulas.. defense.is better than.
Suarez or.france...967.fld.at 3b.

Ursula..does not strike out that much.
Or normal..

 

[PolarVortex]

Line up emelish..Ursula..

1.crawford..ss..L/L.
2 Julio..... ....cf..
3.ursula.........3b.hits..300.
4.garver..........dh.
5.raliegh........cat /swit..
6.haniger.........rf.
7.canzone.......LF..L/L.
8.france........,...1b.
9.rojas.................2b.L/L


Bench...
Zavala..cat.
Moore..ss .utility.can.LF.
As well..not..cf.

Urias ......2b/3b.
Raley..1b/of..L/L.can cf.
A game or 2.
.

1. Ursula won't hit .300 playing half his games in T-Mobile
2. There will be absolutely no reason for opposing pitchers to show Julio anything in the strike zone this year
3. The high end for Rojas is 12 HR, 55 RBI, .710 OPS

Only way this offense has any hope is if France rebounds, Haniger stays health, and Garver gets at least 500 PAs. That's just too many 'ifs'.

 

[PolarVortex]

I'm thinking of .turner..
And put..
Rojas And.urias.at.2b..
But mariners don't really have.a backup.
Cf..
But they could.just wait..till.injury happens..and replace..with.
Marlowe..

So.a 3b..
Even.a..3b./of...right handed

.3b..left field.ok
I don't know to many of those..
There.are..even.

But thinking..about..turner...that would.
Axe...
Haggerty..

We don't a 39-year-old playing second base. That will end up being a -2.5 dWAR

 

[PolarVortex]

Yeah turner on one year .may be ok

Rethinking Turner now and I realize he doesn't really fit. Don't want him at 3rd and Garver/Raleigh are getting 80% of the PAs at DH.

 

[ulmax]

If ya had to trade.desclafani.to do it..Ursula..it would work.
Jedi would find an other
Bull pen guy.
And or..
Malone.in the minors.