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Brees#1
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Elliott........I really don't have a solid reason for it other than the fact his production keeps the cowboys winning and in the merry go round NFC East, it's a hard division to maintain consistent fantasy production. And teams are going to zero in on him just like they did Morris, Gurley, and CJ2K the year after their big seasons. Elliott is more elite than all of them(except maybe Gurley) but his numbers are going to regress. So it's not so much the fear of injury(as I have a plan for this) as it is the lack of production I fear. In fact after week 10 last year, his numbers started to dwindle until fantasy playoffs.
Ajayi........this one is a bigger reason. He's actually a late first/early 2nd. But take a closer look at his numbers last year. He had a three week span of 150-300 yards rushing per game. After that, not even close until week 16 at Buffalo when Matt Moore was the QB. He even did not go off against the run defense every other RB went off against last year in SF. Now I hear Tanny has no chemistry with JT. Tanny has no chemistry with anyone who should have more control than him in fact. I don't trust anything on a team with Ryan Tannehill, the NFL's most overrated and overfed QB in the entire league. Ajayi's ADP is also due to a thin group of RBs who are clear starters forcing you to pay up. He is a RB 2 to me.
DJ is my clear first choice, followed by Bell in which I can draft his backup easily. Then McCoy, followed by Murray(which I hope it does not come down to and I would probably go OBJ or Brown over him) and then Fournette, who is second round but I will take first if those are gone+Brown/OBJ.
Ajayi........this one is a bigger reason. He's actually a late first/early 2nd. But take a closer look at his numbers last year. He had a three week span of 150-300 yards rushing per game. After that, not even close until week 16 at Buffalo when Matt Moore was the QB. He even did not go off against the run defense every other RB went off against last year in SF. Now I hear Tanny has no chemistry with JT. Tanny has no chemistry with anyone who should have more control than him in fact. I don't trust anything on a team with Ryan Tannehill, the NFL's most overrated and overfed QB in the entire league. Ajayi's ADP is also due to a thin group of RBs who are clear starters forcing you to pay up. He is a RB 2 to me.
DJ is my clear first choice, followed by Bell in which I can draft his backup easily. Then McCoy, followed by Murray(which I hope it does not come down to and I would probably go OBJ or Brown over him) and then Fournette, who is second round but I will take first if those are gone+Brown/OBJ.