Game Thread: The week 12 game thread

[Moab]

I think if the Bucs sneak into the playoffs, they could upset some teams.

When they were rolling early in the year they handled the Eagles and Lions, so yes if they're on they're good. When they're not on, it's not good

 

[Schmoopy1000]

When they were rolling early in the year they handled the Eagles and Lions, so yes if they're on they're good. When they're not on, it's not good

well. They should be healthier by playoff time. (just got Evans back)

With the Niners falling off a cliff. I think this is the Lions to lose.

 

[Xeliou66]

The Bucs have a very good offense but I’m not sure if their D can hold up - my Falcons carved them up in both games, of course we have a pretty good O, but the Bucs D is kind of shaky in places, particularly corner and edge rush, so they’ll have to hold up on D, but yeah Baker and their O can move it and they are capable of making noise.

 

[Tai Chi≈Surfing]

well. They should be healthier by playoff time. (just got Evans back)

With the Niners falling off a cliff. I think this is the Lions to lose.

I think so too...especially if they can stay healthy.

 

[Tai Chi≈Surfing]

I hope that Rams player's 1st name isn't Jerry who's sitting on the bench (with the last name of Curl)

 

[megalodon30]

I almost vomited when we signed him off the Arizona PS.

Should have reached out to Tannehill's agent.

Daniel Jones is available.

 

[Tai Chi≈Surfing]

Thanks @Xeliou66

 

[DJ Fieri]

Daniel Jones is available.

Baltimore or Minnesota are the most likely destinations for him.

 

[PDay8810]

Baltimore or Minnesota are the most likely destinations for him.

is this your opinion or an opinion you heard this weekend?

 

[PDay8810]

is this your opinion or an opinion you heard this weekend?

OH

No I'm not drunk, I'm just an ass.

 

[PnkPanther]

Baltimore or Minnesota are the most likely destinations for him.

why on earth would MN sign him


Mullens has been in system for 2 years and he's a perfect 2/2 for two first downs on the season

 

[PDay8810]

why on earth would MN sign him


Mullens has been in system for 2 years and he's a perfect 2/2 for two first downs on the season

"is this your opinion or an opinion you heard this weekend"

I think it's something he heard.

 

[DJ Fieri]

 

[DJ Fieri]

why on earth would MN sign him


Mullens has been in system for 2 years and he's a perfect 2/2 for two first downs on the season

Sign him to a vet minimum contact for the remainder of the season. Gives you a better option than Mullens if something happens to Darnold. If he leaves as a FA in the offseason (likely) you get a compensatory draft pick.

 

[fastforward]

Bears cut the lead to a TD. They went for 2 and didn't get it...so 24-16 ... not sure how going for 2 with 6 minutes makes sense, but they don't pay for my thoughts

If you're down 14 with not much time to go then going for 2 after a TD will give you roughly a 51.2% advantage as opposed to just below 50% for kicking the XP.

 

[Moab]

If you're down 14 with not much time to go then going for 2 after a TD will give you roughly a 51.2% advantage as opposed to just below 50% for kicking the XP.

Ok, but if they kicked the XP and the game played out the same way, they win and no overtime. So the analytics tell you that you increase your chance of winning by not scoring points, just attempting to score them? That doesn't really make all that much sense.

 

[fastforward]

Ok, but if they kicked the XP and the game played out the same way, they win and no overtime. So the analytics tell you that you increase your chance of winning by not scoring points, just attempting to score them? That doesn't really make all that much sense.

It comes down to the 2-point conversion rate being better than 38.2%. Kicking an XP should be 100%, but it isn't. You have to compare the probability of winning by exactly 1 point, (converting the 2-pointer then kicking the 2nd XP) vs failing to convert either 2 pointer and losing by exactly 2 points. At 38.2% and kicking at 100% you win by 1 in regulation 38.2% of the time. You lose by 2 in regulation 38.2% of the time, (.618 X .618). If you're better than 38.2% at conversion you should go for 2.

Again this is situation specific where you will, or need to, score exactly 2 TDs and the opposition doesn't score again. In any other situation normal 1 vs 2 point decisions will apply.

 

[DJ Fieri]

When I signed up for tHoop.....it said there would be no maths.

 

[PnkPanther]

Sign him to a vet minimum contact for the remainder of the season. Gives you a better option than Mullens if something happens to Darnold. If he leaves as a FA in the offseason (likely) you get a compensatory draft pick.

You don't get comp pick for guys that were cut

Id rather have mullen's

 

[PnkPanther]

You don't get comp pick for guys that were cut

Id rather have mullen's

Actually I'm not sure on comp pick things.....I didn't think you got one for guy whose been but



Could be wrong.


But comp pick is intriguing