The Fancy Stats Thread

[puckhead]

from Pix' link. belongs in here too

Chemistry graphs
http://iguana.cs.toronto.edu/

 

[jstewismybastardson]

interesting read

Determining Goalie Value to New Teams By Danger Zone - The Goalie Magazine - InGoalMag.com

 

[puckhead]

nerdgasm stuff here:
Projecting 2015-16 NHL Standings by Identifying the Best Predictive Statistics

 

[Bloody Brian Burke]

nerdgasm stuff here:
Projecting 2015-16 NHL Standings by Identifying the Best Predictive Statistics

I did a quick comparison of the projected point totals via both prediction methods to last year's point totals and for those in love with continuity, the following teams fell within 4 pts of last year's totals via both methods: Minnesota, Winnipeg, Pittsburgh, Detroit, Boston, New Jersey.

 

[puckhead]

I did a quick comparison of the projected point totals via both prediction methods to last year's point totals and for those in love with continuity, the following teams fell within 4 pts of last year's totals via both methods: Minnesota, Winnipeg, Pittsburgh, Detroit, Boston, New Jersey.

you'd figure back-testing would be step one of a statistical model

 

[Bloody Brian Burke]

you'd figure back-testing would be step one of a statistical model

Really surprised to not see it, or to even see a comparison/analysis of his predictions last season even if it was mostly Corsi/Fenwick based and not as in-depth as he went this time.

FWIW, he was within margin of error for about a third of the league last season so maybe with this additional refinement he can push up towards half.

 

[Bloody Brian Burke]

I think the biggest problems is that these systems don't account for elite goaltender performances. Montreal, Nashville and NYR all seemed to be ranked last season where they likely would have landed had they not employed 3 of the best goalies in the league. There still isn't any formula (at least that I can think of) that can give a good idea of how much elite goaltending can contribute to a team's success outside PDO.

 

[puckhead]

interesting image

 

[dash]

Dad always told me it was better to be lucky than to be good...

 

[DragonfromTO]

Dad always told me it was better to be lucky than to be good...

He meant GET lucky

 

[esls79]

I like pie charts better

 

[DevilishWon]

I like pie better

 

[puckhead]

I like pie better

pizza thread is that way

 

[RangersReds03]

In their last 170 games when they take a lead into the 3rd period The Rangers are 160-1-9.

 

[buffhockey]

Last night Sabres scored 3 goals, only 1 assist was recorded, none by a skater.

2 unassisted goals & one assist from goalie Robin Lehner.

 

[dash]

Jaromir Jagr has 742 career NHL goals - The active Leafs roster going into tonight's game has 739 goals.

 

[dash]

Jaromir Jagr last night became the 2nd player in NHL history to score at least 25 goals in 18 NHL seasons. I'll give you three guesses as to who is the only other player to accomplish that feat.

/and the first two guesses don't count.

 

[KennyBanyeah]

Jaromir Jagr has 742 career NHL goals - The active Leafs roster going into tonight's game has 739 goals.

He also took 3 seasons off and played through 3 work stoppages.

 

[puckhead]

He also took 3 seasons off and played through 3 work stoppages.

Jammy Jagr then and now

1990-91: 27G 30A 57Pts in 80 games.
2015-16: 25G 33A 58Pts in 72 games.

 

[dare2be]

The old NHL site used to allow you to view the standings for any date during the season. The new crappy kindergarten site no longer allows it, as far as I can tell. Anyone know of any other site that would allow a standings view by date?