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Indy vs Miami
I really do not care what any of the players said they wanted to win like they have not wanted to win since last year's playoffs.
Breaking down the box score it looks pretty good for the Heat honestly.
They shot 4 for 21 beyond the arc (19%). Miami shoots 36.8% for the season, against the top D they should still be shooting 30%. 30% gives them 2.3 more 3pers for the game and 6 points.
To go into the importance of that a little further, the Heat in their 3 losses to the Pacers last year in the playoffs never shot less than 31.8%. In 1 of their wins they did shoot 27.8% though.
That floor spacing kind of changes everything.
Miami's year averages are all under what they normally shoot and Indy's were all higher. Not an anomaly for the Heat as their numbers should drop against the best D in the league, but Indy's will not maintain that against another great D.
Miami's averages:
50.4% FG
38.6% 3p (includes last nights horror show)
35.5 TRG
9.5 SPG
15.7 TOs
What I notice from the Heat's side: their FG% dropped a normal amount against an elite elite D imo, their 3p% dropped way more than it should have.
They Rebounded their asses off to grab 33 against Indy, that shows their effort and intensity and is probably an anomaly.
TOs, they had 12, this shows focus but I expect that to be higher.
They had 3.5 more steals than their average. This is no anomaly, that is Indy O and I think they have a key to neutralize George, they will need to do it in a way that saves LBJ though.
Indy's averages:
45.3% FG
36.2% 3p
44.2 TRG
7.4 SPG
15.9 TOs
From Indy's side:
They shot 50.7% against a D that is better than they normally face, maybe they will always shoot that high using Hibbert inside all day, time will tell if the Heat can find an answer for that.
They had more TOs than normal and fewer steals. I think both of these are normal against a good team.
All in all Indy played their typical game, the numbers did not differ much.
Indy played an average game, maybe a bit higher than average. Meanwhile Miami shot horribly from 3p even against an elite D and lost by 6. This is actually a good sign for the Heat.
Wildcards:
Miami has 1.5, Beasley will be getting 25+ minutes in the playoffs. He will help on rebounding and 3p% as well as just give a little more O, his D will not be as much of a hindrance as you think against a less than average O and the fact that he plays it now. They have .5 wild card in Oden, if he can give 35 minutes over the course of that series that will be huge. A steady rotation of Bosh, Beasley and Birdman in the front court will be great for the Heat, if Oden can be a part of that in a positive way, look out.
Indy has 1, Granger. Stephenson was pretty good last night, Granger either coming off the bench or starting will be a big boost.
All in all, the game lived up to the hype, it was a low scoring dog fight (as expected) and Indy has bragging rights until the next time they play. These 2 teams that played last night are the 2 best teams in the league.
Indy fans should try to remember that bragging rights are not the same as titles or even the ECF winners. And even if you beat the Heat in May you will still have to play OKC whom you do not match up nearly as well against.
I really do not care what any of the players said they wanted to win like they have not wanted to win since last year's playoffs.
Breaking down the box score it looks pretty good for the Heat honestly.
They shot 4 for 21 beyond the arc (19%). Miami shoots 36.8% for the season, against the top D they should still be shooting 30%. 30% gives them 2.3 more 3pers for the game and 6 points.
To go into the importance of that a little further, the Heat in their 3 losses to the Pacers last year in the playoffs never shot less than 31.8%. In 1 of their wins they did shoot 27.8% though.
That floor spacing kind of changes everything.
Miami's year averages are all under what they normally shoot and Indy's were all higher. Not an anomaly for the Heat as their numbers should drop against the best D in the league, but Indy's will not maintain that against another great D.
Miami's averages:
50.4% FG
38.6% 3p (includes last nights horror show)
35.5 TRG
9.5 SPG
15.7 TOs
What I notice from the Heat's side: their FG% dropped a normal amount against an elite elite D imo, their 3p% dropped way more than it should have.
They Rebounded their asses off to grab 33 against Indy, that shows their effort and intensity and is probably an anomaly.
TOs, they had 12, this shows focus but I expect that to be higher.
They had 3.5 more steals than their average. This is no anomaly, that is Indy O and I think they have a key to neutralize George, they will need to do it in a way that saves LBJ though.
Indy's averages:
45.3% FG
36.2% 3p
44.2 TRG
7.4 SPG
15.9 TOs
From Indy's side:
They shot 50.7% against a D that is better than they normally face, maybe they will always shoot that high using Hibbert inside all day, time will tell if the Heat can find an answer for that.
They had more TOs than normal and fewer steals. I think both of these are normal against a good team.
All in all Indy played their typical game, the numbers did not differ much.
Indy played an average game, maybe a bit higher than average. Meanwhile Miami shot horribly from 3p even against an elite D and lost by 6. This is actually a good sign for the Heat.
Wildcards:
Miami has 1.5, Beasley will be getting 25+ minutes in the playoffs. He will help on rebounding and 3p% as well as just give a little more O, his D will not be as much of a hindrance as you think against a less than average O and the fact that he plays it now. They have .5 wild card in Oden, if he can give 35 minutes over the course of that series that will be huge. A steady rotation of Bosh, Beasley and Birdman in the front court will be great for the Heat, if Oden can be a part of that in a positive way, look out.
Indy has 1, Granger. Stephenson was pretty good last night, Granger either coming off the bench or starting will be a big boost.
All in all, the game lived up to the hype, it was a low scoring dog fight (as expected) and Indy has bragging rights until the next time they play. These 2 teams that played last night are the 2 best teams in the league.
Indy fans should try to remember that bragging rights are not the same as titles or even the ECF winners. And even if you beat the Heat in May you will still have to play OKC whom you do not match up nearly as well against.
