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Omar 382
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Heyward is a good hitter, but his bat alone does not make him worth 184 million dollars. For his career, he has a .431 SLG, .345 wOBA, and 118 wRC+. Very good offensive numbers, but there's no way that makes him worth nearly 200 million dollars. It's his stellar defense and baserunning that makes him so valuable. Give Heyward league-average defense, and he's suddenly very overwhelming as a cornerstone to a team.
So how likely is it that Heyward's good defense evaporates? I don't think it's as unlikely as some might think. Ellsbury was a great outfielder in Boston and yet has been very average in NY. Carl Crawford has been mediocre defensively since being great in TB. Gerardo Parra was at one time considered the greatest defensive outfielder in baseball, but by defensive metrics, he was one of the worst last year. All it takes is tweaking his knee and Heyward could easily lose a step in right field. It will be interesting to watch.
So how likely is it that Heyward's good defense evaporates? I don't think it's as unlikely as some might think. Ellsbury was a great outfielder in Boston and yet has been very average in NY. Carl Crawford has been mediocre defensively since being great in TB. Gerardo Parra was at one time considered the greatest defensive outfielder in baseball, but by defensive metrics, he was one of the worst last year. All it takes is tweaking his knee and Heyward could easily lose a step in right field. It will be interesting to watch.