Early Lines For Upset Saturday (10-26-2019)

[ericd7633]

Don't try your reverse psychology on us!

We aren't good away from home. The fact the line opened at 4 is telling. Means we'd we an underdog on a neutral too. This line is fishy to me(in Michigan's favor) much like the Iowa line was against Michigan. With the line opening at 7 that game it was basically the only reason I took Michigan when it got down to 3.5.

 

[fishinabarrel]

Wisky upsetting Ohio State is going to come down to just how good Coan really is. Everyone obviously tries to make Wisconsin beat them through the air but Ohio State had the players to actually enforce it. Coan will be facing the best secondary he has faced this season so it will for sure be interesting. The homer in me really wants to predict another blow out but the realist in me knows different. Badgers got themselves a good football team despite the fluke loss to Illinois

 

[7Samurai13]

All of you idiots who think Michigan State can’t beat Penn State, I have one thing to say to you...


Rain in the forescast that weekend.

 

[dennis580]

We have not yet had a big upset Saturday usually we have already had it by this time in the season so we are do for one.

 

[Red_Alert]

We have not yet had a big upset Saturday usually we have already had it by this time in the season so we are do for one.

^^^ THIS ^^^

I'm not saying it's an absolute. Every one of those Top 11 teams playing this weekend could very well win and cover those spreads. However, there is typically an 'Upset Saturday' each season and we are due for this season's. They have happened in November, but usually it's at some point in October.

It is easy to say that all those highly ranked teams are going to smoke the underdogs. But, we're getting to a point in the season where those highly ranked team's players (college kids) begin to get complacent with all media attention and fanfare.
The underdogs have plenty of game film to figure out what those highly ranked teams have been doing to be successful, the underdogs are finally starting to get things put together, and see the game as what will be a "signature win".
It's where underdog desire overrules complacent talent and there's a slew of upsets.
Those highly ranked teams get their wake up call and get back on track for the rest of the season.
.

 

[Red_Alert]

I had Illinois (+31) in my 2 leg parlay simply because they were at home and I felt Wisconsin might get caught looking ahead to tOSU. I expected Wisconsin would play vanilla, burn clock, and just get in and outta there. i.e. Wisconsin wouldn't put up their typical 42 PPG they had been.
Can you imagine what that $100 ticket would have paid if I'd had the ballz to take Illinois straight up? LOL

Anybody who thinks that the Wisconsin that lost to Illinois (24-23) is the same Wisconsin (in mindset) that will show up against tOSU this Saturday hasn't watched too much CFB. Those players know they got complacent and didn't give 100% in practice that week. If anything the coaching staff had them working on tOSU and not Illinois.

 

[olympicoscar]

The only team I would put on upset alert is Notre Dane and I really don’t have a good reason for that.

Michigan is playing better than they were in the beginning of the season.

 

[PIBuckeye]

I’d say Oregon coming off an emotional win against their rival on the road is on upset alert against a team and offense they’ve struggled with.

I’d say LSU has to show up big to put away Auburn, It’d be interesting to see how Bayous would react to some in game adversity.

I’d say Michigan State is primed to have a big win at home, eventually. And how good is Penn State?

I’d say Wisconsin is going to be playing with their hair on fire.

It’s not hard to imagine Michigan beating the Domers.

I don’t see Oklahoma losing. I think really highly of that team. No defense in the country is setting the world on fire throughout cfb. And Oky can score with anyone, so I think Oklahoma has a very real chance at an undefeated NT season.

ehh. so what. maybe.............. They looked lethargic out there. OSU is not the team to play after losing to a shit team to try and find your mojo........ and @ OSU. I haven't been beating my chest. but OSU looks really balanced, and very talented on both sides of the ball. I think OSU will cover that spread. They look like a machine.

I don't think the Buckeyes are coming at a good time for the badgers.......

 

[WhiteMamba]

ehh. so what. maybe.............. They looked lethargic out there. OSU is not the team to play after losing to a shit team to try and find your mojo........ and @ OSU. I haven't been beating my chest. but OSU looks really balanced, and very talented on both sides of the ball. I think OSU will cover that spread. They look like a machine.

I don't think the Buckeyes are coming at a good time for the badgers.......

I agree, but while posting in a hypothetical upset thread, finding reasons why they could happen is the narrative. Or at least attempted narrative.

I feel like Oklahoma and Ohio State are the teams to beat. I would say LSU but their schedule is significantly more difficult down the stretch. If LSU gets in, I think they end up winning it, with Oky/Ohio ST being the next two best

 

[TigerBait1971]

Opening Lines

#1 Alabama (7-0) vs Arkansas (2-5): (Bama -35)
#2 LSU (7-0) vs #9 Auburn (6-1): (LSU -12.5)
#3 Ohio St (7-0) vs #13 Wisconsin (6-1): (Ohio St -13.5)
#4 Clemson (7-0) vs Boston College (4-3): (Clemson -36.5)
#5 Oklahoma (7-0) @ Kansas St (4-2): (Oklahoma -19.5)
#6 Penn St (7-0) @ Michigan St (4-3): (Penn St -7)
#7 Florida - Idle
#8 Notre Dame (5-1) @ #19 Michigan (5-2) (Michigan -4)
#9 Auburn (6-1) (see #2)
#10 Georgia - Idle
#11 Oregon (6-1) vs Washington St (4-3): (Oregon -15.5)

I've got the majority (4 of 6) of #2 LSU, #3 Ohio St, #5 Oklahoma, #6 Penn St, #8 Notre Dame, and #11 Oregon going down.

I love the crazy upset weekends.

Here's one I predicted in 2014.

The stage is set for Bloody Saturday...

 

[WhiteMamba]

I love the crazy upset weekends.

Here's one I predicted in 2014.

The stage is set for Bloody Saturday...

From that thread, @Edisto_Tiger with the walk off.

http://twitter.com/michigannews13

 

[WhiteMamba]

Kinda cool to see the Oregon O with LSU Bama and Michigan. Look guys, we matter!!

 

[PIBuckeye]

Georgia was a 24.5 point favorite over South Carolina "for a reason".
Wisconsin was a 31 point favorite over Illinois "for a reason".
Washington was a 13.5 point favorite over Cal "for a reason".

Red, I normally agree with you, but think you are off on this one...........

you just mentioned 3 games from last weekend. you didn't bring up all the CFB games that the favorite DID win. How many Div. 1 games? 65? I'd bet the favorite won in 90% of those games......... I'd take those odds over long shots.....

If Wisky and Illinois played 10X, how many of those do you think Illinois would win?? You don't think that Jonathan Taylor fumble was a fluke??

 

[PIBuckeye]

cheese and rice........

Delaney........... you fucking idiot...........

 

[PIBuckeye]

I agree, but while posting in a hypothetical upset thread, finding reasons why they could happen is the narrative. Or at least attempted narrative.

I feel like Oklahoma and Ohio State are the teams to beat. I would say LSU but their schedule is significantly more difficult down the stretch. If LSU gets in, I think they end up winning it, with Oky/Ohio ST being the next two best

I'm not one of those who think this will be a blowout.......... but think they will cover at 14-18 pts.

 

[WhiteMamba]

I'm not one of those who think this will be a blowout.......... but think they will cover at 14-18 pts.

Not a blowout your team is accustomed to then.

 

[WhiteMamba]

A 17 point win over Wisconsin feels like a blowout.

 

[PIBuckeye]

A 17 point win over Wisconsin feels like a blowout.

I suppose its relative.......

I'd say over like 24 is a blowout.......

 

[Red_Alert]

I love the crazy upset weekends.

Here's one I predicted in 2014.

The stage is set for Bloody Saturday...

Bingo...

#2 Oregon
#3 Alabama
#4 Oklahoma
#6 Texas A&M
#12 UCLA
#13 Georgia
#15 LSU

All lost that October weekend.
I didn't look past #15, but there were likely some others between #15 and #25.

"To think these highly ranked/highly favored teams could lose en masse is ludicrous. They're favored For A Reason" - Ignorant morons

LOL
.

 

[Red_Alert]

Georgia was a 24.5 point favorite over South Carolina "for a reason".
Wisconsin was a 31 point favorite over Illinois "for a reason".
Washington was a 13.5 point favorite over Cal "for a reason".

Red, I normally agree with you, but think you are off on this one...........

you just mentioned 3 games from last weekend. you didn't bring up all the CFB games that the favorite DID win. How many Div. 1 games? 65? I'd bet the favorite won in 90% of those games......... I'd take those odds over long shots.....

If Wisky and Illinois played 10X, how many of those do you think Illinois would win?? You don't think that Jonathan Taylor fumble was a fluke??

WTF? Those weren't all from last weekend. None of them were the same weekend.

Do you even CFB, bro?
.