I'm intrigued as to why so many seem to think they won't even hit 30. Like it was mentioned before, they won 27 last year and that included over 300 games missed due to injury.
Now we have Kobe back who's proved he can easily return to scoring form, we upgraded our head coach, we upgraded our PG (from Kendall Marshall to Jeremy Lin) and we have two new exciting rookies on our team. Do you honestly think we can't improve by 4 games from last year?
I would have probably even taken the bet at 40 games but seeing as you chose 30 I have a lot of confidence in this!
I think some of it is that folks are unsure if Kobe can stay healthy all season.