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1 of the best in the biz: Todd McShay's 1st NFL Mock Draft 2012

icehole3

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Todd McShay's 1st NFL Mock Draft 2012

Todd McShay's 1st NFL Mock Draft 2012

Indianapolis Colts
Record: 1-13
Andrew Luck*, QB, Stanford

Luck is a once-in-a-generation quarterback prospect, and Colts legend Peyton Manning will be 36 next season and is coming off multiple neck surgeries.

St. Louis Rams
Record: 2-12
Matt Kalil*, OT, USC

The Rams need to better protect the investment they made in 2010 No. 1 overall pick QB Sam Bradford, and current LOT Jason Smith has not lived up to expectations as the No. 2 overall pick in 2009.

Minnesota Vikings
Record: 2-12
Morris Claiborne*, CB, LSU

Claiborne is the premier cover corner in the 2012 class, and the Vikings rank 30th in the NFL in pass defense (260 ypg). He has size, fluid hips, good top-end speed and outstanding body control.

Cleveland Browns
Record: 4-10
Trent Richardson*, RB, Alabama

Richardson is a more complete back than former Crimson Tide teammate Mark Ingram, the No. 28 pick to New Orleans in 2011.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Record: 4-10
Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina

The Jaguars have a pressing need at defensive end, and while Coples is not a speed rusher, his blend of size, power and quickness allows him to be a productive pass-rusher.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record: 4-10
Dre Kirkpatrick*, CB, Alabama

Ronde Barber is aging and Aqib Talib's future is up in the air, so Kirkpatrick makes sense. He flashes good instincts in off-man coverage, is physical in run support and has great size.

Washington Redskins
Record: 5-9
Robert Griffin III*, QB, Baylor

Finding a quarterback is a must for the Redskins, and this will be an interesting call if Griffin and USC's Matt Barkley are still on the board. Barkley would make sense.

Miami Dolphins
Record: 5-9
Matt Barkley*, QB, USC

Another team with an obvious need at quarterback, the Dolphins would be wise to take a young talent they can build their offense around for years to come.

Carolina Panthers
Record: 5-9
Justin Blackmon*, WR, Oklahoma State

I'm not a fan of taking wideouts in the top 10 unless they are in the elite category -- think Calvin Johnson and A.J. Green -- and Blackmon is not in that class.

Buffalo Bills
Record: 5-9
Riley Reiff*, OT, Iowa

The Bills have had a pressing need at left tackle for years, and haven't drafted one since they missed on Mike Williams at No. 4 overall in 2002. Reiff isn't a finished product but has good natural feet for his size, and he projects as a very good starting left tackle if developed properly. And despite the money Buffalo recently committed to Ryan Fitzpatrick.

Philadelphia Eagles
Record: 6-8
Luke Kuechly*, ILB, Boston College

The Andy Reid regime in Philadelphia has not used a first-round pick on a linebacker in 13 years, but this might be the time. Kuechly is perhaps the most productive linebacker in the nation, using elite instincts and anticipation to mask a lack of ideal athletic ability.

Kansas City Chiefs
Record: 6-8
Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford

Barry Richardson will be a free agent after this season and Branden Albert might be a better fit at guard, so Martin would be a good fit here. The Chiefs need to solidify their offensive line, and Martin projects as a very good right tackle given his run-blocking prowess.

Arizona Cardinals
Record: 7-7
Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama

Offensive tackle is a bigger need, but there is a big drop-off in talent after the top three tackles on the board. Upshaw is a good fit for the Cardinals' system given his size, strength and ability to set the edge against the run, and his finishing power as a pass-rusher.

Tennessee Titans
Record: 7-7
Andre Branch, DE, Clemson

Three of the Titans' top nine tacklers are from the 2011 draft -- LBs Akeem Ayers and Colin McCarthy and DT Jurrell Casey -- but Tennessee is still looking for reinforcements on that side of the ball. Given Branch's quickness, motor and strength, he is a perfect fit at right DE opposite former first-round pick Derrick Morgan.

San Diego Chargers
Record: 7-7
Mark Barron, S, Alabama
There is not an offensive tackle available who could fill the Chargers' huge need, and Barron is the best player available at their other need positions (SS, NT, WR, ILB). He is physical in run support, can play the point in deep coverage, and would team with Eric Weddle to give San Diego one of the premier safety duos in the league.

Seattle Seahawks
Record: 7-7
Landry Jones*, QB, Oklahoma

The Seahawks have a clear need at quarterback, and while Jones' stock has dropped a bit and he may return to school, he still has first-round tools. He did not play well down the stretch, but his supporting cast is partly to blame.


New York Giants
Record: 7-7
Vontaze Burfict*, ILB, Arizona State

Current starting MLB Chase Blackburn is a free agent after this season, and while I'm not sure Burfict has the discipline and character the Giants would be looking for in the quarterback of their defense, he is double-stuffed with raw ability.

Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland)
Record: 8-6
David DeCastro*, G, Stanford

DeCastro isn't a secksy pick, but he is by far the best interior lineman in the 2012 class and is ready to be an NFL starter right now. Both current Bengals starters -- Bobbie Williams and Nate Livings -- are set to become free agents, and DeCastro is the best player available at a need position.

Chicago Bears
Record: 7-7
Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame

The Bears haven't take a receiver in the first round since David Terrell in 2001, and I understand their hesitation to draft wideouts so high. However, they must find weapons for QB Jay Cutler, and Roy Williams clearly doesn't make the cut.

Dallas Cowboys
Record: 8-6
Fletcher Cox*, DT, Mississippi State

Dallas doesn't have a specific pressing need, but it could upgrade at safety, cornerback and outside linebacker, and free agency could create holes at guard and inside linebacker.

Cincinnati Bengals
Record: 8-6
Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska

The Bengals' marginal depth at cornerback was exposed when starter Leon Hall went down for the season, and while Dennard has size limitations and might be a reach at this point, he's a fluid athlete with good instincts and mental toughness.

New York Jets
Record: 8-6
Alshon Jeffery*, WR, South Carolina

The Jets could be staring at a host of needs -- SS, DE, WR, NT, OLB -- on draft day, but Jeffery makes sense here if the team decides not to bring back Plaxico Burress.

Denver Broncos
Record: 8-6
Devon Still, DT, Penn State

Tim Tebow is not yet locked in as the Broncos' long-term starting quarterback, but[..]uming Tebow does hold on to the job, Denver would do well to continue building on defense to complement a low-risk offensive philosophy.

Cleveland Browns (from ATL)
Record: 4-10
Kevin Red!!*, OLB, North Carolina

Red!! is tough and instinctive, and he has the overall physical tools to offer an upgrade on the weak side in defensive coordinator !! Jauron's 4-3 scheme.

Detroit Lions
Record: 9-5
David Wilson*, RB, Virginia Tech

Spending another high pick on a running back would be a tough pill to swallow, but Jahvid Best has proved he's not durable enough to be a workhorse back.

Houston Texans
Record: 10-4
Zebrie Sanders, OT, Florida State

Sanders isn't a massive mauler, but he is a perfect fit for the Texans because of his versatility -- he played both tackle spots at FSU and could move inside to guard if necessary -- and his experience in a zone-blocking scheme with the Seminoles.

Baltimore Ravens
Record: 10-4
Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State

The Ravens have several offensive linemen headed toward free agency, plus other issues still to be sorted out on defense.

Pittsburgh Steelers
Record: 10-4
Jarvis Jones*, OLB, Georgia

Jones might be headed back to school and outside linebacker is not a big need for the Steelers, but at this point they could afford to use a luxury pick on a player with the skill set to possibly become the team's next great pass-rusher.

New England Patriots (from N.O.)
Record: 11-3
Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina

Ingram's versatility makes him a perfect fit for the Patriots. He can play end or outside linebacker and also has experience rushing the passer from the inside.

San Francisco 49ers
Record: 11-3
Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor

The 49ers need to continue adding weapons on offense, and Wright is an explosive athlete who can stretch the field vertically, create after the catch and contribute in the return game.

New England Patriots
Record: 11-3
Johnthan Banks*, CB, Mississippi State

Banks is flying under the radar and could very well return to school, but he has the size and fluidity to help a New England pass defense that ranks dead last in the NFL.

Green Bay Packers
Record: 13-1
Ronnell Lewis*, OLB, Oklahoma

Clay Matthews is the team's only legitimate edge-rushing threat, and he needs some help.
 
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huskers1217

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Barkley is staying..so time for McShay to do a new one.
 

TrinDaddy

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I'll never understand how these ass clowns get paid to predict something totally unpredictable. the first five picks are usually gimmes. After that these guys might get 3 picks right over the next 60. Any die-hard football fan could do their job just as accurately. It's literally the only job where a person can perform well 1 percent of the time and not get fired and be called "One of the best".
 

ckhokie

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Uh. David Wilson in the first round in front of Lamar Miller??? Tubbs if going to be pissed
 

vancelot23

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Yeah, I was just talking to Tubbs at Christmas about that. He just laughed.
 

Tubbs1518

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Doesn't change the fact that Miller will be a better pro IMO.
 

Tubbs1518

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Also McShay is a moron. He is the last "expert" I ever listen too.
 
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