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World Series Champions, Texas Rangers 2023-2024 Offseason Thread

saddles

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saddles

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saddles

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The doom and gloom from Evan Grant:

Which brings us to the financial constraints, “constraints” being a relative word. The Rangers opened last season with a payroll of about $219 million, which ranked 10th in the majors. They will open 2024 with a higher payroll. They already have a little more than $220 million accounted for in 2024. The luxury tax threshold is $237 million. By all accounts, owner Ray Davis is fine bumping up against the threshold, but would like to avoid guaranteeing he’ll pay a 30% penalty before the season begins. Adding payroll at the deadline makes the tax sting a little less.

So, do the math. The Rangers have somewhere in the $13-15 million range to spend to stay under the tax. Funny thing: That’s the going rate these days for a short-term, back-end-of-the-rotation fix. Luis Severino signed a one-year deal this week and former Ranger Nick Martinez signed for two; both of them averaged $13 million.

Short story: If the Rangers want to find a semi-reliable starter to act as depth for Max Scherzer, still nursing a season-ending back injury, Nathan Eovaldi, Dane Dunning, Jon Gray and Andrew Heaney, they better prepare to spend most, if not, all of their available dollars on a starter.

Here, innings matter. Given their rotation’s injury history, they’ll need to find somebody to probably give them about 125-150 innings. Don’t have to be perfect. The offense can cover up a lot of blemishes. Need evidence? Martín Pérez went 10-4 last year, despite a 4.45 ERA, which ranked 36th among the 51 AL pitchers with at least 120 innings. Innings matter.

And Pérez might be as good a place as any start on a list of potential affordable fixes. He made $19.65 million last year but will take a significant cut going forward. He wants to be a Ranger. Most significant: He’s pitched 120 or more innings six times in his career. Has moved between the rotation and bullpen, too. Yes, he was an afterthought in the postseason, but he was a key part of getting the Rangers there.

Who else might be a fit? Here are some options:

Michael Wacha: The former Aggie has pitched between 124-134 innings in each of the last four 162-game seasons. He worked with Mike Maddux in St. Louis. But he’s also 25-6 with a 3.27 ERA over the last two years. He’s liable to see a big bump off his $7.5 million 2023 salary and might get multiple years.

Lucas Giolito: Take out the COVID-19-shortened season and he’s got five straight seasons of at least 160 innings. That’s workhorse-level these days. That also might get him a longer-term deal. But he’s compiled a 4.88 ERA the last two seasons with 65 home runs allowed. Could make buyers wary.

Frankie Montas: Upside play. Montas was limited to 40 innings over the last two years because of a shoulder injury that required surgery. He was throwing 96 mph before the injury, which is attractive, but could he be counted on for innings necessary?

Sean Manaea: In a hybrid role with San Francisco, he gave the Giants 114 innings and had a career-high strikeout-per-nine innings rate (9.8) and a low average exit velocity (88.9 mph). He also has five seasons of at least 140 innings.

Is it a sexy list? No. Then again: The Rangers don’t need sexy, they need utility.

Utility isn’t the most expensive or first thing to fly off the shelf at this time of year. It may take a bit before the Rangers find their fit.
 

Duane1952

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The doom and gloom from Evan Grant:

Which brings us to the financial constraints, “constraints” being a relative word. The Rangers opened last season with a payroll of about $219 million, which ranked 10th in the majors. They will open 2024 with a higher payroll. They already have a little more than $220 million accounted for in 2024. The luxury tax threshold is $237 million. By all accounts, owner Ray Davis is fine bumping up against the threshold, but would like to avoid guaranteeing he’ll pay a 30% penalty before the season begins. Adding payroll at the deadline makes the tax sting a little less.

So, do the math. The Rangers have somewhere in the $13-15 million range to spend to stay under the tax. Funny thing: That’s the going rate these days for a short-term, back-end-of-the-rotation fix. Luis Severino signed a one-year deal this week and former Ranger Nick Martinez signed for two; both of them averaged $13 million.

Short story: If the Rangers want to find a semi-reliable starter to act as depth for Max Scherzer, still nursing a season-ending back injury, Nathan Eovaldi, Dane Dunning, Jon Gray and Andrew Heaney, they better prepare to spend most, if not, all of their available dollars on a starter.

Here, innings matter. Given their rotation’s injury history, they’ll need to find somebody to probably give them about 125-150 innings. Don’t have to be perfect. The offense can cover up a lot of blemishes. Need evidence? Martín Pérez went 10-4 last year, despite a 4.45 ERA, which ranked 36th among the 51 AL pitchers with at least 120 innings. Innings matter.

And Pérez might be as good a place as any start on a list of potential affordable fixes. He made $19.65 million last year but will take a significant cut going forward. He wants to be a Ranger. Most significant: He’s pitched 120 or more innings six times in his career. Has moved between the rotation and bullpen, too. Yes, he was an afterthought in the postseason, but he was a key part of getting the Rangers there.

Who else might be a fit? Here are some options:

Michael Wacha: The former Aggie has pitched between 124-134 innings in each of the last four 162-game seasons. He worked with Mike Maddux in St. Louis. But he’s also 25-6 with a 3.27 ERA over the last two years. He’s liable to see a big bump off his $7.5 million 2023 salary and might get multiple years.

Lucas Giolito: Take out the COVID-19-shortened season and he’s got five straight seasons of at least 160 innings. That’s workhorse-level these days. That also might get him a longer-term deal. But he’s compiled a 4.88 ERA the last two seasons with 65 home runs allowed. Could make buyers wary.

Frankie Montas: Upside play. Montas was limited to 40 innings over the last two years because of a shoulder injury that required surgery. He was throwing 96 mph before the injury, which is attractive, but could he be counted on for innings necessary?

Sean Manaea: In a hybrid role with San Francisco, he gave the Giants 114 innings and had a career-high strikeout-per-nine innings rate (9.8) and a low average exit velocity (88.9 mph). He also has five seasons of at least 140 innings.

Is it a sexy list? No. Then again: The Rangers don’t need sexy, they need utility.

Utility isn’t the most expensive or first thing to fly off the shelf at this time of year. It may take a bit before the Rangers find their fit.
I wouldn’t mind Wacha
 

saddles

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Evan has been way off in what he thought the Rangers would do in the offseason before. He could be really wrong again.
 

Kelleyman

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I though the payroll was about 203 million
 

saddles

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I though the payroll was about 203 million
In my original post on this thread I estimated we would be $21 million below the threshold. Of course, I had to estimate the amount for arbitration guys and the pre-arb guys. I guess I missed it by about $7-8 million.
 

saddles

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If they are hurting for payroll as much as Evan says, and I doubt they are, but if they are, they could trade for a young inexpensive starting pitcher and turn around and trade Jon Gray and/or Anthony Heaney
 

scotsman#1948

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according to CY we are not going to spend like we have the last 2 seasons but nothing there says we aren't going to spend to get what we need through free agency or through trade. i believe we will be involved in a couple of trades over the next couple of days plus several free agent signings. nothing grandiose like 2021-22 or 2022-23 off seasons but sufficient to address needs
 

saddles

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according to CY we are not going to spend like we have the last 2 seasons but nothing there says we aren't going to spend to get what we need through free agency or through trade. i believe we will be involved in a couple of trades over the next couple of days plus several free agent signings. nothing grandiose like 2021-22 or 2022-23 off seasons but sufficient to address needs
Yes, there is a huge difference between what CY said and only being able to sign Martin Perez.
 

saddles

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If the Rangers bring in a closer and 2 other quality bullpen arms, I will be satisfied. If they want to get creative and do more, that's fine.

I would still sign Brandon Woodruff though. Give him a 2 year deal with the bulk of the money due in 2025.
 

saddles

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Guardians will listen to offers for Emmanuel Clause

"Clase could arguably command an even larger haul, potentially netting the Guardians multiple top-100 prospects and/or young MLB-ready players."

That is a very steep price.
 
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