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Over/Under for 2017

Discussion in 'Nebraska Cornhuskers' started by oaknightshockey1, Apr 20, 2017.

  1. oaknightshockey1

    oaknightshockey1 #RIP27

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    20 TD, 3,500 passing yards, 7 INTs for Tanner Lee?

    They are discussing it on 1620 right now and I think it's an interesting question.
     



  2. Tomhusker

    Tomhusker The Original Husker+ Fan

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    Under, over, over
     
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  3. tometom

    tometom Well-Known Member

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    based on TA's 2015 #s, i'm going Over, Over, Over. He threw 22 TDs and i expect more of those, he had 3000 yds, so more of those. 7 INTs is low, i just feel like 10 is a reasonable number based on other QBs in 2016.
     
  4. oaknightshockey1

    oaknightshockey1 #RIP27

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    That's about where I'm at, but I don't think 7 is completely unrealistic. I wouldn't actually bet any of these though. Too many unknowns.
     
  5. corn train

    corn train Have some of it

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    Lee and the offense is taking a lot of the focus off the defense which is what I'm most concerned with, spring camp toll us not a got dam thing about the knew system on D
     
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  6. HuskerinBig10

    HuskerinBig10 Dad, World Traveler, Investor, college football

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    I agree about the unknown. He has not even thrown a pass in a Big Ten game. Add in the questionable O line and the bigger, faster defenses of the B1G Wisconsin, Ohio State, Penn State, Iowa(I know what you are thinking)

    Looking at last year of Tulane

    Attempts 276
    Comp 143
    Percent Comp 51.8
    Yards 1639
    TD 11
    INT 7

    Tommy Armstrong 2016
    Attempts 294
    Comp 151
    Percent Comp 51.4
    Yards 2180
    TD 14
    INT 8

    I will go
    1. under 20 TDs this is the one I have the least confidence in. I think Riley/Langsdorf will turn him loose in the first five games to see how it goes

    2. under 3500 yards (this is the one I feel the most confidence in I would even make an avatar bet on this)

    3. over 7 INTs since he will be throwing more, more chance of an INT
     
  7. oaknightshockey1

    oaknightshockey1 #RIP27

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    I'd bet you on the second one. TA missed 2 games. In 2015 when he only missed 1 game, he threw for 3,030 yds with 22 TDs and 16 INTs. I'm pretty confident Lee is a much better passer than Armstrong and could throw for 500 yards more than TA's best year, especially if he doesn't miss any games.
     
  8. oaknightshockey1

    oaknightshockey1 #RIP27

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    :L This is why I should never go to a sports book.
     
  9. corn train

    corn train Have some of it

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    I will concede that Lee is not a Safety playing as an option QB, as result I have to go back to 06-07 for comparison
    -Zach Taylor 391/233 59% comp 26td 8 int 3200 yds passing

    Purify was leading WR with 630 yds 7 td, I think Nunn was a better WR who had 600 yds 3 td

    Our WR group this year is much better than in the ZT era however his passing numbers were inflated via the check down to RB Brandon Jackson/Marlon Lucky

    3500 under but just slightly as it's his first year
    20 tds way over, I'd put him about 35
    7 int over around 10
     
  10. tometom

    tometom Well-Known Member

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    yea, i got to thinking about that over 3500 last night. first would you count b1G champ game and both playoff games for the championship (we are going this year right?)? if just regular season, 12 games, that's roughly 300 a game. that's going to be tough against Wiscy, Iowa, Ohio state, Penn State. either better defenses, offenses that run clock and do ball control or both of those. so then he'd have to far exceed that 300 against crappier teams and i'd hope against them we could run the ball more, as i'm not a "run the ball" all the time guy, but I definitely a when it's working run the ball sort of guy.

    basically that number is definitely set correctly at 3500, because just too many unknowns right now. but i still believe in the over 20 tds and over 7 ints.
     
  11. HuskerinBig10

    HuskerinBig10 Dad, World Traveler, Investor, college football

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    Not sure, but I am taking that means we have a bet.


    Oaknightshockey1 Tanner Lee will throw for 3500 yards or more.

    HuskerinBig10 Tanner Lee will throw for 3499 yards or less.

    Because I like doing idiotic bets that don't really affect me in reality, I will even include the Big Ten Championship Game and the Bowl game if you want. That means 14 games are possible. No whining if Tanner Lee gets hurt and misses games.

    The usual, one week avatar bet. To be honored the week of December 3, 2017.

    Do you accept?

    This is a win win for me. if I lose, that means Nebraska did pretty well probably. if I win the bet, I get to give Oak an avatar for a week.
     
  12. oaknightshockey1

    oaknightshockey1 #RIP27

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    Plays in 10 games or more or no bet. For example, he goes down in week 2 and doesn't play the rest of the year, then it is a push and neither of us wins. I think that's fair...and 10 is a pretty low number of games. He'd have to average 350 yds/game if he only played in 10.
     
  13. Brasky

    Brasky The North Remembers

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    If he goes way over, he won't be coming back
     
  14. HuskerinBig10

    HuskerinBig10 Dad, World Traveler, Investor, college football

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    I agree!! Good luck and beat Arkansas State.
     
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  15. oaknightshockey1

    oaknightshockey1 #RIP27

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  16. corn train

    corn train Have some of it

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    Bullshit! You guys should have a taser strike on the line, or a whipping, that's not how the hoop gets down
     
  17. oaknightshockey1

    oaknightshockey1 #RIP27

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    Avi bets? Pretty sure that has been the exclusive betting currency on the Hoop since rep went the way of the dinosaurs.
     
  18. iruletheskool

    iruletheskool iruleiskool

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    hey oak, any chance you can bring back Rep

    tia
     
  19. oaknightshockey1

    oaknightshockey1 #RIP27

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    Pretty sure you have the same mod powers I do...
     
  20. corn train

    corn train Have some of it

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    So...no tasers then?