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Odds for Top College Football Teams to Pull Off an Undefeated Season

AlaskaGuy

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Odds for Top College Football Teams to Pull Off an Undefeated Season


  1. Alabama has the best odds of winning the College Football Playoff, but there's another title contender with a better shot at going 12-0 during the regular season.

    One important thing to note: Conference championships and bowl games are not part of this projection. We're only considering how likely it is that each team will win all 12 games already on its schedule. There are too many unknowns and moving parts to venture a guess at whether these teams will beat their yet-to-be-determined opponents in December and January. Hence, Alabama can be the favorite to win it all without appearing in the top spot in these rankings.

    As far as the selection of teams goes, 10 ranked in the top 11 of our AP preseason poll projection as well as in the top 11 of the consensus odds to win the national championship, per OddsShark. Those are the 10 teams on the following slides, listed in ascending order of likelihood of an undefeated regular season.

    Difficulty of schedule was the main determining factor, with head-to-head strengths and weaknesses dictating each team's chances of defeating its tougher foes.
3. Washington Huskies
8 OF 10

  1. Why They Could

    It makes no sense that Jake Browning wasn't one of the frontrunners for the 2016 Heisman in the process of accounting for 47 touchdowns as a sophomore, but he's back to lead the Huskies to a second straight Pac-12 title game. Though his favorite target (John Ross) is now in the NFL, there is no shortage of options in this offense. Look for Dante Pettis and Myles Gaskin to become household names around the country while Washington scores at will against a forgiving schedule.


    Biggest Obstacle

    Can the Huskies replace their departed defensive backs? They held every 2016 opponent to 28 points or fewer, primarily because big plays were few and far between against a back line of Kevin King, Budda Baker and Sidney Jones. In fact, Washington allowed just 16 plays of 30 or more yards all season, ranking second-best in the nation in that category. But with all three of those secondary stars becoming second-round draft picks, is there any chance the defense can remain that stingy?


    Undefeated Odds: 12-1

    For a second straight year, it seems likely we'll spend the second half of the season arguing over whether Washington's abysmal nonconference schedule (at Rutgers, vs. Montana, vs. Fresno State) should preclude it from a spot in the College Football Playoff. USC isn't on Washington's schedule this year, either, and the games against Oregon, UCLA and Washington State all come at home. With the exception of the toss-up road game against Stanford, the Huskies might be at least a touchdown favorite in every game.
b2b00572d35bddaa7263a4a837f49899_crop_exact.jpg
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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Shockingly @Smart Wisconsin isn't listed. And despite being a top10 or so team, their odds are 50/1...only slightly higher than ND's at 66/1. Maybe you should tell Vegas betters about the 2011 offensive efficiency stat?
 

Smart

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Shockingly @Smart Wisconsin isn't listed. And despite being a top10 or so team, their odds are 50/1...only slightly higher than ND's at 66/1. Maybe you should tell Vegas betters about the 2011 offensive efficiency stat?
Last I checked, we were favored in 11 games with the twelth as a pick'em.
 

wingsauce7

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Michigan could do it this year- they don't play Iowa :boink:
 

Rolltide94

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Odds for Top College Football Teams to Pull Off an Undefeated Season


  1. Alabama has the best odds of winning the College Football Playoff, but there's another title contender with a better shot at going 12-0 during the regular season.

    One important thing to note: Conference championships and bowl games are not part of this projection. We're only considering how likely it is that each team will win all 12 games already on its schedule. There are too many unknowns and moving parts to venture a guess at whether these teams will beat their yet-to-be-determined opponents in December and January. Hence, Alabama can be the favorite to win it all without appearing in the top spot in these rankings.

    As far as the selection of teams goes, 10 ranked in the top 11 of our AP preseason poll projection as well as in the top 11 of the consensus odds to win the national championship, per OddsShark. Those are the 10 teams on the following slides, listed in ascending order of likelihood of an undefeated regular season.

    Difficulty of schedule was the main determining factor, with head-to-head strengths and weaknesses dictating each team's chances of defeating its tougher foes.
3. Washington Huskies
8 OF 10

  1. Why They Could

    It makes no sense that Jake Browning wasn't one of the frontrunners for the 2016 Heisman in the process of accounting for 47 touchdowns as a sophomore, but he's back to lead the Huskies to a second straight Pac-12 title game. Though his favorite target (John Ross) is now in the NFL, there is no shortage of options in this offense. Look for Dante Pettis and Myles Gaskin to become household names around the country while Washington scores at will against a forgiving schedule.


    Biggest Obstacle

    Can the Huskies replace their departed defensive backs? They held every 2016 opponent to 28 points or fewer, primarily because big plays were few and far between against a back line of Kevin King, Budda Baker and Sidney Jones. In fact, Washington allowed just 16 plays of 30 or more yards all season, ranking second-best in the nation in that category. But with all three of those secondary stars becoming second-round draft picks, is there any chance the defense can remain that stingy?


    Undefeated Odds: 12-1

    For a second straight year, it seems likely we'll spend the second half of the season arguing over whether Washington's abysmal nonconference schedule (at Rutgers, vs. Montana, vs. Fresno State) should preclude it from a spot in the College Football Playoff. USC isn't on Washington's schedule this year, either, and the games against Oregon, UCLA and Washington State all come at home. With the exception of the toss-up road game against Stanford, the Huskies might be at least a touchdown favorite in every game.
b2b00572d35bddaa7263a4a837f49899_crop_exact.jpg

Isn't this where one of y'all is supposed to talk about how we don't play Georgia every year?

I hope the Fuskies make it back...we could use the bye week.
 
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