It looks like it is down to 5 teams...

[im4floridagtrz]

LSU might not even be ranked when the season is over. Neither of these last two games are gimmes for them. Oklahoma is a top 10 team, and OSU won in a much more decisive manner, and they did it on the road. Plus, OSU would have beaten michigan, which Wisconsin did not do. If Wisconsin beats PSU, they would have exactly 0 top 10 wins and maybe 2-3 ranked wins. If OSU beats michigan, they'll have 3 top 10 wins and 4 ranked wins overall.

The committee thought TCU was the 3rd best team until they saw OSU absolutely annihilate the #13 team in the nation. Coupling that along with a convincing road win vs. top 10 Michigan St. and the extra overall win with the same number of losses is what bumped us over TCU.

I honestly don't see PSU beating Wisconsin. If they did, it would not be by much, which I don't think is enough to jump them from the 8-9 range over us. Wisconsin, I also don't think would have enough juice from beating PSU to jump us unless it was that sort of 59-0 style thumping we had in 2014. Then I'm concerned. I also, however, don't think Washington escapes as 12-1 conference champs this year.

Penn St winning out would be a worst case scenario for OSU. I disagree with you, I believe Penn St would jump OSU, and rightfully so. The committee would lose the very little credibility they have left if they left out the BIG champ and a team who would have the H2H advantage over OSU. OSU is in much better shape if Wisconsin is the BIG Champ, their H2H victory would even out the CCG.

 

[Tharvot]

LSU might not even be ranked when the season is over. Neither of these last two games are gimmes for them. Oklahoma is a top 10 team, and OSU won in a much more decisive manner, and they did it on the road. Plus, OSU would have beaten michigan, which Wisconsin did not do. If Wisconsin beats PSU, they would have exactly 0 top 10 wins and maybe 2-3 ranked wins. If OSU beats michigan, they'll have 3 top 10 wins and 4 ranked wins overall.

The committee thought TCU was the 3rd best team until they saw OSU absolutely annihilate the #13 team in the nation. Coupling that along with a convincing road win vs. top 10 Michigan St. and the extra overall win with the same number of losses is what bumped us over TCU.

I honestly don't see PSU beating Wisconsin. If they did, it would not be by much, which I don't think is enough to jump them from the 8-9 range over us. Wisconsin, I also don't think would have enough juice from beating PSU to jump us unless it was that sort of 59-0 style thumping we had in 2014. Then I'm concerned. I also, however, don't think Washington escapes as 12-1 conference champs this year.

I'm not disagreeing with you. I think if Ohio State wins out, they should get in. However, I'm not the committee, and they seem to value conference championships extremely highly. They've said before that a non-champ can still get in, but they will have to be clearly the better team. This could be the year for that, though i see no possible way Ohio State can get in as a non-champ and the B1G champ doesn't get in.

 

[Across The Field]

I'm not disagreeing with you. I think if Ohio State wins out, they should get in. However, I'm not the committee, and they seem to value conference championships extremely highly. They've said before that a non-champ can still get in, but they will have to be clearly the better team. This could be the year for that, though i see no possible way Ohio State can get in as a non-champ and the B1G champ doesn't get in.

Playing one of the toughest schedules in the nation and being top 3 nationally both offensively and defensively is about as clear as it gets.