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wilwhite's QB rankings/projections

wilwhite

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Just the top 24 (at 6 pts per passing/rushing TD*, 1 pt per 25 passing yards, 1 pt per 10 rushing yards).

Over 410 FF pts for the season
1. Peyton Manning - better offense and stronger arm than last year; age may come into play late though

401-410
2. Brees
3. Rodgers

391-400
4. Wilson - steady improvement, steady attitude, excellent passer, little media interest, and Harvin

381-390
5. Ryan
6. Brady

371-380
7. Stafford

361-370
- nobody -

351-360
8. Romo
9. Cam
10. Kaepernick

341-350
11. Luck
12. Eli

331-340
13. Dalton
14. RGIII - per-game performance should be top-5; RGIII + top-notch backup = good idea

321-330
- nobody -

311-320
15. Alex Smith
16. Rivers

301-310
17. Tannehill
18. Bradford
19. Cutler

291-300
20. Big Ben
21. Flacco
22. Freeman

290 and under
23. Palmer
24. Vick - too many questions: physical, decision-making, and team direction

Side note: 350 ff points would have been good enough for top-3 in any year before 2011. In this era of QB fantasy inflation, it's a below-average QB1.

*For leagues with 4-pt passing TDs, the rankings and point differentials would be the same, except Rodgers would edge out Brees at #2, Cam and Kap would vault over Romo and be within shouting distance of Stafford, and RGIII would have an even better PPG value.
 

TKOSpikes

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10 point intervals! not giving yourself much of a leash there, I like it!

15th for Alex Smith is gutsy. I guess we're flip-flopping he and Freeman, so if I may, (if anyone listens to Fantasy Focus on ESPN), let's PUT IT ON THE BOARD!

Well done ww
 

TREFF

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Leave it to Will to one up all of us and put projections in..showoff! ;)

Glad to see I'm not alone in being somewhat high on Romo..well, except for you know who.
Well done Will, and a balsy call on Alex Smith...it's gonna be an interesting season, to say the least
 

Ram Tough

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Love Russell this year but 4 overall might be alil to high. When is our rankings due 4 the competition sumtime is August still?
 

wilwhite

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Yep, Ram. You got time.
 

wilwhite

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15th for Alex Smith is gutsy
balsy call on Alex Smith

Guts and balls all at once. I should start selling it on infomercials - "Fantasy Male."

I figure getting out of SF and into an Andy Reid offense will give him a lot more opportunities.
 

Sam Sportboy

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Leave it to Will to one up all of us and put projections in..showoff! ;)

Glad to see I'm not alone in being somewhat high on Romo..well, except for you know who.
Well done Will, and a balsy call on Alex Smith...it's gonna be an interesting season, to say the least
I have Romo at #9 and Smith, well this year I dropped him down...............so he will probably have a great year. He was actually top 15 last year until he got Kapped.
 

Ram Tough

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Yep, Ram. You got time.

I have my rankings all finished but I know I will be critiquing them throughout the summer. But for now I guess I will just hold on to them.. I mean we still got the "A" League coming up I don't want everyone to catch a glimpse of who i'm high on and who i'm low on this year. Bragging Rights means alot for our group
 

TREFF

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I have my rankings all finished but I know I will be critiquing them throughout the summer. But for now I guess I will just hold on to them.. I mean we still got the "A" League coming up I don't want everyone to catch a glimpse of who i'm high on and who i'm low on this year. Bragging Rights means alot for our group

just think how much more it will mean once we all know what each other is thinking....spill it Ram! ;)
 

Sam Sportboy

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just think how much more it will mean once we all know what each other is thinking....spill it Ram! ;)
I was thinking of putting "fake" rankings out there to throw you guys off............but after looking at my real rankings again this morning I think they'll throw you off enough.................lol.
 

TREFF

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I was thinking of putting "fake" rankings out there to throw you guys off............but after looking at my real rankings again this morning I think they'll throw you off enough.................lol.

we'd see right through ya sam..we all know you don't really believe Bradford is #1...or do you...hmmm
 

Sam Sportboy

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we'd see right through ya sam..we all know you don't really believe Bradford is #1...or do you...hmmm
Who do you think I am? He's #2..................lol. Hey fellas, just another suggestion for our 2nd Anal, oops I mean Annual Rankings Contest: when everybody gets their rankings done and feels the time is right (Ram) I say we start a seperate thread and consolidate all of our rankings there. This should make it easier on Will of White to do that voodoo that he does so well..............
 

averagejoe

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just think how much more it will mean once we all know what each other is thinking....spill it Ram! ;)

Ram, as much as I agree with Treff - truth be told - I think each of us is set in his fantasy ways that it wouldn't matter if we knew how the other guys are thinking? In fact, in most cases, we already know from our discussions.

That said, most of us won't deviate from our personal rankings just to spite or "reach" for a player if our personal "value" of him doesn't measure up.
 

averagejoe

You fell victim to one of the classic blunders.
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Russell Wilson
I don't understand the hype for this guy? (Sounds eerily similar to the hype surrounding Sam Bradford after his rookie season.)

Granted, Wilson did finish 11th in standard scoring which obviously exceeded expectations. But he was still nearly 40 fantasy points from the 10th spot (Luck).

In fact, Andy Dalton (12th) was a mere 5 points behind Wilson. And Flacco (13th) was 7.

I guess my point is that for Wilson to leap-frog into the elite top 5 of fantasy QB, he'd have to add another 100 fantasy points. That's a lot. Nice to see that the Seahawks gave him some weapons in adding Percy Harvin. But I don't believe that Harvin will instantly make Wilson better. Harvin didn't make Ponder better (which perhaps is NOT a fair comparison). But Brandon Marshall didn't make Jay Cutler better (and that may be a more fair comparison).
 

Sam Sportboy

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Russell Wilson
I don't understand the hype for this guy? (Sounds eerily similar to the hype surrounding Sam Bradford after his rookie season.)

Granted, Wilson did finish 11th in standard scoring which obviously exceeded expectations. But he was still nearly 40 fantasy points from the 10th spot (Luck).

In fact, Andy Dalton (12th) was a mere 5 points behind Wilson. And Flacco (13th) was 7.

I guess my point is that for Wilson to leap-frog into the elite top 5 of fantasy QB, he'd have to add another 100 fantasy points. That's a lot. Nice to see that the Seahawks gave him some weapons in adding Percy Harvin. But I don't believe that Harvin will instantly make Wilson better. Harvin didn't make Ponder better (which perhaps is NOT a fair comparison). But Brandon Marshall didn't make Jay Cutler better (and that may be a more fair comparison).
I have Wilson 13, Luck 11 and Dalton in the teens.........maybe Marshall didn't make Cutler better but Cutler sure did make Marshall better...........not sure how that works. A healthy Jeffery and Bennet may make Cutler better though.
 

SmokingMonkey

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no Matt Schaub anywhere on your list?
A top notch, verteran QB2, strong run game to support airing it out to Andre Johnson.

I guess you have him ranked outside of your top 24? (stupid question, I know, but I thought maybe you just forgot about him)

Even though I am not high on BigBen at all, it wouldnt surprise me to see him being one of the top QB2s this year, just not sure that he stays healthy... I think PIT will need BigB to make plays or they will be toast this year.
 
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wilwhite

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If I were to do it again this morning, I probably would have Schaub in at 24 instead of Vick.

About Wilson, Joe, I see him 9th last year, so I'm only moving him up five spots. Note: he got two-thirds of his FF points in the last half of the season.
 

TKOSpikes

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Harvin didn't make Ponder better (which perhaps is NOT a fair comparison)

-- hold on, wait until you see Ponder this year! not gonna be pretty...

I can see Wilson making a jump... top 5? I would doubt it, but certainly right there with Kap, Cam, RG3 for my money.
 
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