What over/under would you give all the NFL teams?

[iowajerms]

Each team in a division plays each teams in two divisions (8 games), the other teams in their own division twice (6 games), and 2 other teams.

AFC EAST - AFC South, NFC East

Buffalo - Cincinnati, Kansas City
Miami - Baltimore, San Diego
New England - Pittsburgh, Denver
New York - Cleveland, Oakland

AFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Baltimore - Miami, Jacksonville
Cincinnati - Buffalo, Houston
Cleveland - New York Jets, Tennessee
Pittsburgh - New England, Indianapolis

AFC South - AFC East, NFC South

Houston - Cincinnati, Kansas City
Indianapolis - Pittsburgh, Denver
Jacksonville - Baltimore, San Diego
Tennessee - Cleveland, Oakland

AFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Denver - New England, Indianapolis
Kanas City - Buffalo, Houston
Oakland - New York Jets, Tennessee
San Diego - Miami, Jacksonville

NFC East - AFC East, NFC South

Dallas - Green Bay, Seattle
New York - Minnesota, San Francisco
Philadelphia - Detroit, Arizona
Washington - Chicago, Seattle

NFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Chicago - Washington, Tampa Bay
Detroit - Philadelphia, New Orleans
Green Bay - Dallas, Carolina
Minnesota - New York Giants, Atlanta

NFC South - AFC South, NFC East

Atlanta - Minnesota, San Francisco
Carolina - Green Bay, Seattle
New Orleans - Detroit, Arizona
Tampa Bay - Chicago, St. Louis

NFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Arizona - Philadelphia, New Orleans
San Francisco - New York Giants, Atlanta
Seattle - Dallas, Carolina
St. Louis - Washington, Tampa Bay

 

[Clayton]

Jets seem to have the easiest schedule.

The good divisions are going to beat each other up

 

[iowajerms]

Here's mine

AFC EAST - AFC South, NFC East

Buffalo - 8.5
Miami - 9.5
New England - 13.5
New York - 5.5

AFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Baltimore - 12.5
Cincinnati - 10.5
Cleveland - 7.5
Pittsburgh - 11.5

AFC South - AFC East, NFC South

Houston - 7.5
Indianapolis - 14.5
Jacksonville - 4.5
Tennessee - 6.5

AFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Denver - 13.5
Kanas City - 9.5
Oakland - 7.5
San Diego - 9.5

NFC East - AFC East, NFC South

Dallas - 11.5
New York - 7.5
Philadelphia - 9.5
Washington - 7.5

NFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Chicago - 6.5
Detroit - 7.5
Green Bay - 13.5
Minnesota - 7.5

NFC South - AFC South, NFC East

Atlanta - 10.5
Carolina - 10.5
New Orleans - 9.5
Tampa Bay - 4.5

NFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Arizona - 8.5
San Francisco - 7.5
Seattle - 13.5
St. Louis - 7.5

 

[iowajerms]

Jets seem to have the easiest schedule.

The good divisions are going to beat each other up

I disagree, Tennessee's schedule is pretty easy

 

[Clayton]

I disagree, Tennessee's schedule is pretty easy

Maybe but I have zero confidence in Mariota in his first year

 

[iowajerms]

Maybe but I have zero confidence in Mariota in his first year

Not saying TEN will do good, I'm just saying they have the easiest schedule IMO.

 

[The Derski]

Isn't anything above ten considered really high?

 

[Clayton]

Not saying TEN will do good, I'm just saying they have the easiest schedule IMO.

AFC South (not including Colts) and NFC South are the easy divisions. It wouldn't surprise me at all if NFC North, NFC West, AFC West and AFC North all have good teams lose out on Wild Card opportunities because they don't play those cupcake teams and you'll see a team like Houston or Philly in the WC instead.

 

[fastforward]

Isn't anything above ten considered really high?

Not specifically. The over/under point is supposed to be the point where the the team has a 50% chance of being on either side, (at least in the minds of the betting public). 13½ would be extremely high. Hard to see any team having a 50-50 chance of being more successful than that.

 

[Southieinnc]

Not specifically. The over/under point is supposed to be the point where the the team has a 50% chance of being on either side, (at least in the minds of the betting public). 13½ would be extremely high. Hard to see any team having a 50-50 chance of being more successful than that.

Incorrect. The over/under is set with the expectation of having half the bets over and half under. It is about the money being 50-50, not the expectation of wins.....

Overunder - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

"The goal of a sportsbook is to have an equal number of bets on both sides of the over-under. In theory, this means that the manager could set the value at zero and then readjust based on either the number of incoming bets and/or events that influence the potential outcome."

 

[Fountain City Blues]

Incorrect. The over/under is set with the expectation of having half the bets over and half under. It is about the money being 50-50, not the expectation of wins.....

Overunder - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

"The goal of a sportsbook is to have an equal number of bets on both sides of the over-under. In theory, this means that the manager could set the value at zero and then readjust based on either the number of incoming bets and/or events that influence the potential outcome."

Exactly, Vegas is basically just fan crowdsourcing data. I will say, the operative word is supposed to. I will say, the operative word is supposed to. And this thread does ask for our O/U's.

 

[HaroldSeattle]

Here's mine

AFC EAST - AFC South, NFC East

Buffalo - 8.5
Miami - 9.5
New England - 13.5
New York - 5.5

AFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Baltimore - 12.5
Cincinnati - 10.5
Cleveland - 7.5
Pittsburgh - 11.5

AFC South - AFC East, NFC South

Houston - 7.5
Indianapolis - 14.5
Jacksonville - 4.5
Tennessee - 6.5

AFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Denver - 13.5
Kanas City - 9.5
Oakland - 7.5
San Diego - 9.5

NFC East - AFC East, NFC South

Dallas - 11.5
New York - 7.5
Philadelphia - 9.5
Washington - 7.5

NFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Chicago - 6.5
Detroit - 7.5
Green Bay - 13.5
Minnesota - 7.5

NFC South - AFC South, NFC East

Atlanta - 10.5
Carolina - 10.5
New Orleans - 9.5
Tampa Bay - 4.5

NFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Arizona - 8.5
San Francisco - 7.5
Seattle - 13.5
St. Louis - 7.5

Pretty good . I'd switch Steelers and Ravens ....but not real confident about it.

 

[fastforward]

Incorrect. The over/under is set with the expectation of having half the bets over and half under. It is about the money being 50-50, not the expectation of wins.....

Overunder - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

"The goal of a sportsbook is to have an equal number of bets on both sides of the over-under. In theory, this means that the manager could set the value at zero and then readjust based on either the number of incoming bets and/or events that influence the potential outcome."

Which is what I said:

Not specifically. The over/under point is supposed to be the point where the the team has a 50% chance of being on either side, (at least in the minds of the betting public). 13½ would be extremely high. Hard to see any team having a 50-50 chance of being more successful than that.

If you want to split hairs it's not about having the same amount of money on either side of the line but having the same financial liability on either side of the line. Odds are used to influence how people bet. It could be -115 on either side of the line or -150 on 1 side and +110 on the other, (just as an example).

 

[Fountain City Blues]

Exactly, Vegas is basically just fan crowdsourcing data. I will say, the operative word is supposed to. I will say, the operative word is supposed to. And this thread does ask for our O/U's.

Good grief, looks like I pressed ctrl + C twice...

Anyways. Here's what I put down without checking possible win totals. Attempting to go off of talent.

Buffalo - 7.5
Miami - 8.5
New England - 10.5
New York - 6.5

AFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Baltimore - 9.5
Cincinnati - 8.5
Cleveland - 4.5
Pittsburgh - 10.5

AFC South - AFC East, NFC South

Houston - 7.5
Indianapolis - 11.5
Jacksonville - 4.5
Tennessee - 5.5

AFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Denver - 10.5
Kanas City - 9.5
Oakland - 4.5
San Diego - 9.5

NFC East - AFC East, NFC South

Dallas - 9.5
New York - 7.5
Philadelphia - 9.5
Washington - 6

NFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Chicago - 6.5
Detroit - 7.5
Green Bay - 11.5
Minnesota - 8.5

NFC South - AFC South, NFC East

Atlanta - 6.5
Carolina - 8.5
New Orleans - 7.5
Tampa Bay - 4.5

NFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Arizona - 10.5
San Francisco - 5.5
Seattle - 11.5
St. Louis - 6.5

 

[HaroldSeattle]

Good grief, looks like I pressed ctrl + C twice...

Anyways. Here's what I put down without checking possible win totals. Attempting to go off of talent.

Buffalo - 7.5
Miami - 8.5
New England - 10.5
New York - 6.5

AFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Baltimore - 9.5
Cincinnati - 8.5
Cleveland - 4.5
Pittsburgh - 10.5

AFC South - AFC East, NFC South

Houston - 7.5
Indianapolis - 11.5
Jacksonville - 4.5
Tennessee - 5.5

AFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Denver - 10.5
Kanas City - 9.5
Oakland - 4.5
San Diego - 9.5

NFC East - AFC East, NFC South

Dallas - 9.5
New York - 7.5
Philadelphia - 9.5
Washington - 6

NFC North - AFC West, NFC West

Chicago - 6.5
Detroit - 7.5
Green Bay - 11.5
Minnesota - 8.5

NFC South - AFC South, NFC East

Atlanta - 6.5
Carolina - 8.5
New Orleans - 7.5
Tampa Bay - 4.5

NFC West - AFC North, NFC North

Arizona - 10.5
San Francisco - 5.5
Seattle - 11.5
St. Louis - 6.5

Best so far IMO.