The 538 nerds predict how the new rules will help or hurt each team

[msgkings322]

Interesting methodology, basically if your pitchers already work faster than average, you have speed to take advantage of the new base stealing rules, and either rarely used (on d) or had trouble with (on o) the shift, you might have an edge this year

The Winners And Losers From MLB’s New Rules

We knew MLB’s sweeping rule changes were going to shake up baseball heading into the 2023 season. But it’s been fascinating to watch exactly how much of an adju…

fivethirtyeight.com

See if you can guess which teams will get helped and hurt before you see the list.

 

[Cedrique]

Interesting methodology, basically if your pitchers already work faster than average, you have speed to take advantage of the new base stealing rules, and either rarely used (on d) or had trouble with (on o) the shift, you might have an edge this year

The Winners And Losers From MLB’s New Rules

We knew MLB’s sweeping rule changes were going to shake up baseball heading into the 2023 season. But it’s been fascinating to watch exactly how much of an adju…

fivethirtyeight.com

See if you can guess which teams will get helped and hurt before you see the list.

I'll be honest. That's a little too complicated for me. If I'm reading it right, they are saying all the bad teams will get better and the good teams will get worse? Maybe we'll finally get the parity that we have in the NFL.

 

[msgkings322]

I'll be honest. That's a little too complicated for me. If I'm reading it right, they are saying all the bad teams will get better and the good teams will get worse? Maybe we'll finally get the parity that we have in the NFL.

You are not reading it right

 

[Cedrique]

You are not reading it right

Yeah I knew that was a possibility.

 

[kcden]

Interesting methodology, basically if your pitchers already work faster than average, you have speed to take advantage of the new base stealing rules, and either rarely used (on d) or had trouble with (on o) the shift, you might have an edge this year

The Winners And Losers From MLB’s New Rules

We knew MLB’s sweeping rule changes were going to shake up baseball heading into the 2023 season. But it’s been fascinating to watch exactly how much of an adju…

fivethirtyeight.com

See if you can guess which teams will get helped and hurt before you see the list.

Mariners:
- Shift: Guessing they think this helps, and I agree... we must have been near the lowest team BA in the league last year, and taking away something that suppresses BA could only help
- Pitch Clock: Guess it hurts, because I think a few of our better pitchers work fairly slow (minimal hurt, is my guess)
- Base Size: Gotta help.... I think we have better speed/base-stealing ability than most teams, and run a little more than most, so it should amplify that.

 

[kcden]

Mariners:
- Shift: Guessing they think this helps, and I agree... we must have been near the lowest team BA in the league last year, and taking away something that suppresses BA could only help
- Pitch Clock: Guess it hurts, because I think a few of our better pitchers work fairly slow (minimal hurt, is my guess)
- Base Size: Gotta help.... I think we have better speed/base-stealing ability than most teams, and run a little more than most, so it should amplify that.

I guess they just did net impact... and the M's get fucked... but I don't see where they assessed offensive improvement due to the shift... just defensive negative that is greater for teams that utilized the shift a ton (which I guess the M's did).

 

[black francis]

You are not reading it right

shit

i read it that way too

Dammit