Teams That Can Make the Playoff (11/6)

[Locke888]

Hopefully FSU and Washington goes undefeated so we don’t get 2 SEC or BIG schools in the playoff.

 

[foster4prez]

Will we have a repeat of 2006 with Game of the Century Part II? very possible that OSU and Mich. could be ranked 1-2

Pretty confident that Georgia is going to lose to Tennessee?

 

[foster4prez]

Hopefully FSU and Washington goes undefeated so we don’t get 2 SEC or BIG schools in the playoff.

My ideal would be...

1. B1G Winner
2. SEC Winner
3. FSU
4. Oregon

5. Texas

 

[PIBuckeye]

My ideal would be...

1. B1G Winner
2. SEC Winner
3. FSU
4. Oregon

5. Texas

Considering those top 4
Who had the easiest path to get there…..
Go ahead and say it, we all know

Hint they play north Alabama this weekend

 

[PIBuckeye]

Pretty confident that Georgia is going to lose to Tennessee?

Hey
Not that far fetched considering the variants in the polls

 

[foster4prez]

Considering those top 4
Who had the easiest path to get there…..
Go ahead and say it, we all know

Michigan?

 

[PIBuckeye]

Michigan?

No
Try again
I know this is tough for you

 

[foster4prez]

No
Try again
I know this is tough for you

Looks like Penn State must have saved the day.

College Football Ratings Page

sagarin.com

65. Georgia
63. Michigan
54. Oregon
49 Florida State
42. Ohio State
1. Alabama

 

[PIBuckeye]

Pretty confident that Georgia is going to lose to Tennessee?

or alabama.

 

[tabascojet]

The possibility of either fsu or uga getting screwed out of the playoffs is priceless.....

Spoiler

 

[foster4prez]

So just to update on this from this weekend's games.

Control their destiny - win and in
Florida State
Michigan
Ohio State
Washington
Oregon
Georgia
Alabama

Need a little help
Louisville
Texas
Penn State
Ole Miss

Need a lot of help
Utah
Iowa
Oklahoma State
At this point it is going to be pretty chalky unless something really weird happens. Order of precedence probably looks something like...

B1G Champ
SEC Champ
Undefeated FSU
PAC Champ
Texas
12-1 ACC Champ Louisville
Non SEC Champ Georgia
12-1 Non-B1G Champ

No change this week.

 

[PIBuckeye]

I was hoping for a much shorter post on this information, but I had to go way down the rankings to be able to include georgia, michi, washington, and fsu's SOS rankings....... ​

​

2023 NCAAF Strength-of-Schedule Rankings​

TEAM	RANK	SOS TOTAL
South Carolina Gamecocks	1	128.1
Mississippi State Bulldogs	2	125.4
Alabama Crimson Tide	3	115.9
Florida Gators	4	112.0
Ole Miss Rebels	5	105.1
Missouri Tigers	6	105.0
Minnesota Golden Gophers	7	103.7
Utah Utes	8	103.7
Purdue Boilermakers	9	102.9
Michigan State Spartans	10	102.3
Ohio State Buckeyes	11	94.5
California Golden Bears	12	94.5
North Carolina Tar Heels	13	92.5
West Virginia Mountaineers	14	91.6
Iowa State Cyclones	15	90.5
Auburn Tigers	16	90.3
Texas Longhorns	17	86.8
LSU Tigers	18	86.7
Colorado Buffaloes	19	85.8
Kansas State Wildcats	20	85.6
Texas A&M Aggies	21	82.4
Indiana Hoosiers	22	82.4
Tennessee Volunteers	23	81.1
Kentucky Wildcats	24	79.2
Houston Cougars	25	76.4
Kansas Jayhawks	26	74.8
Vanderbilt Commodores	27	71.1
Arkansas Razorbacks	28	70.9
BYU Cougars	29	69.1
Stanford Cardinal	30	68.5
Arizona State	31	67.7
Washington Huskies	32	67.1
Rutgers Scarlet Knights	33	63.7
Illinois Fighting Illini	34	62.6
Texas Tech Red Raiders	35	59.2
Virginia Cavaliers	36	57.6
Oklahoma Sooners	37	52.4
Clemson Tigers	38	50.4
TCU Horned Frogs	39	50.3
Nebraska Cornhuskers	40	50.0
Baylor Bears	41	49.9
Wake Forest Demon Deacons	42	49.9
Georgia Bulldogs	43	48.3
Pittsburgh Panthers	44	47.9
Duke Blue Devils	45	44.2
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	46	43.6
Michigan Wolverines	47	41.8
USC Trojans	48	41.2
Cincinnati Bearcats	49	40.0
Florida State Seminoles	50	39.8

 

[QuestionSocratic]

I think that there is a possible scenario by which even if FSU wins out, they get left out.

Obviously it would require a close win in either, or both, the OSU/Mich and Geo/Bama games. A Wash/Ore game could also throw a wrinkle in. Right now I'm leaning towards Bama winning the SEC championship. But unless it's a blowout, I'd have both Bama and Georgia in. Also the winner of OSU/Mich

Does anyone actually think that a 13-0 FSU would be straight up better than Geo, Bama, OSU, Mich, Wash or Ore? I don't and I'm an FSU fan.

 

[PIBuckeye]

I think that there is a possible scenario by which even if FSU wins out, they get left out.

Obviously it would require a close win in either, or both, the OSU/Mich and Geo/Bama games. A Wash/Ore game could also throw a wrinkle in. Right now I'm leaning towards Bama winning the SEC championship. But unless it's a blowout, I'd have both Bama and Georgia in. Also the winner of OSU/Mich

Does anyone actually think that a 13-0 FSU would be straight up better than Geo, Bama, OSU, Mich, Wash or Ore? I don't and I'm an FSU fan.

I think so too. I think WA moves into the 4 spot tonight. probably should've last week. and no, it isn't because of the QB injury.

Getting down to the wire now. things will get played out, but there are some scenarios that could give the playoff committee a massive headache.

Consider:
GA loses to Bama in the SEC CCG.
OSU wins by 3 or less over scUM.
Ducks beat WA in PAC CCG.
L'ville beats FSU

Then who's in.......
imo....
1-OSU
2-Oregon
3-Mich.
4-Bama

Yes, a one loss mich. and bama look better than a one loss FSU, WA, TX. and no, don't see how GA gets a spot if they lose. Mich.'s loss will look better than GAs.

 

[foster4prez]

So it's all but cooked at this point. Here is your expected playoff seeding.

1. Georgia (win SEC)
2. Michigan (win B1G)
3. Washington (win Pac)
4. Oregon (win Pac)
5. FSU (win ACC)
6. Texas (win Big 12)
7. Bama (win SEC)
8. Georgia (lose SEC)
9. Michigan (lose B1G)
10 Ohio State
11. Washington (lose SEC)

I don't think it can mathematically go further than that. My money is on bolded.

 

[Wolvie]

So it's all but cooked at this point. Here is your expected playoff seeding.

1. Georgia (win SEC)
2. Michigan (win B1G)
3. Washington (win Pac)
4. Oregon (win Pac)
5. FSU (win ACC)
6. Texas (win Big 12)
7. Bama (win SEC)
8. Georgia (lose SEC)
9. Michigan (lose B1G)
10 Ohio State
11. Washington (lose SEC)

I don't think it can mathematically go further than that. My money is on bolded.

Your bolded teams are the four that you think make the playoffs?

 

[foster4prez]

Your bolded teams are the four that you think make the playoffs?

Yes. I think Oregon beats Washington and Bama beats Georgia.

 

[Wolvie]

Yes. I think Oregon beats Washington and Bama beats Georgia.

Ballsy to predict no SEC team in the playoffs. Also odd that UW falls all the way to 11 if they lose the SEC

 

[foster4prez]

Ballsy to predict no SEC team in the playoffs. Also odd that UW falls all the way to 11 if they lose the SEC

Oregon and Texas are already in front of Bama and Texas has the H2H. Georgia won't lose and stay in.

 

[QuestionSocratic]

FSU isn't getting in, even if they win the ACC. They simply are no where near being the fourth best team. I'd predict:

1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. Oregon
4. Texas