cdumler7
Well-Known Member
Some of that is just going to be because quite a bit of that is a crapshoot. Are there some similar principles you can identify with Chiefs DB's and Raiders DB's? Sure, but it's disingenuous to point to where they are the same and ignore where they are not such as in off-man or straight up zone situations. Some of this is complicated by the hybridization of JDR's defense with Ken Norton's defense which draws more from Seattle's cover 3/2 system that has been popular lately. I would bet Smith starts off pretty slow but eventually settles in as decent.
But this is just a roundabout way of saying that teams that add talent from other teams probably aren't perfect fits, and don't usually perform quite like how you expect usually; but they usually trend downwards. Sometimes it's age related decline, sometimes it's injury, or a bad fit. Or a bad scheme altogether.
I've seen instances where the Raiders run plays on defense (and I think there are a few Raider articles out there that cherry pick these snaps) that'll work perfect for Smith, but yeah, in his case, it'd be pretty dishonest not to bring up the off-man/zone scheme the Raiders run as compared to what the Chiefs have been running which is supposed to be more dime heavy press-man. I've seen Raiders fans claim all the players they got were perfect fits, and that's a bit questionable. I can see Irvin fitting into their LEO-backer just fine, but he wasn't some stud exactly in Seattle either.
Usually, sometimes it's more cap related. With the Chiefs being so damn dime happy (them and the Cardinals practically have a fetish for FDR) I am not too convinced they want to have huge money in more than 2 DB's at a time, and they would be looking at 3 or more when Peters, et al, come due. I just don't think they felt that Smith was more than a niche CB, which makes Berry in reality the more valuable player even if he has a less valuable "position" per se. Osmel~ seems more like cap malpractice (cough Joe Flacco being paid to be elite cough) than anything else though. The other additions seem to fit more into what you're saying, however.
En masse? Sure, I could buy this- it's congruent with the historical profile of teams adding FA's but underperforming/flopping. Hence the pessimistic projections on the Raiders win total. Football Outsiders still has the Raiders as the worst team in the division for Pete's sake. Plenty of individual and small scale examples of success, however. Takes some imagination and smarts to work out FA to the net benefit of the team. A lot of small scale deals for DB's seem to work very well in niche/expanded roles every year for instance.
Keep in mind that two things are usually true if a team has a lot of cap space
1) The FO isn't very good- hence the lack of talent to suck up cap space
2) Lack of talent to suck up space- because the FO isn't very good
Usually ends up winding itself into a cycle of suckage.
Very good post. And agree with well really all of it.
I will say when teams do have the cap space and yet choose to not re-sign a high priced FA it usually means they see something in that player that just isn't worth keeping. That is why I just don't think Irvin will be quite what many of the Raiders fans are hoping. Heck Seattle showed that they stopped using him as a pass rusher most of the time. He is one of those guys with great speed but he just doesn't have the technique to be a consistent pass rusher. If he doesn't win with speed he doesn't win. And I know some Raiders fans have been thinking "well with Mack on the other side he will have a lot better opportunities" but not like Seattle was completely barren of pass rushers either. Part of what helped make their secondary so good was the fact that they had a very strong pass rush. Not best in the league mind you but still a good pass rush.
Also when it comes to "winning" FA I just look at last year where close to 500 players changed teams. Only 4 or 5 can't quite remember the exact number actually even got a Pro Bowl nod. When you factor in the fact that no year has had more Pro Bowl players than last year because of so many players backing out it just shows that if you are planning on winning FA isn't always your best bet to improve. Doesn't mean it can't happen as the Broncos have been very fortunate with getting guys like Peyton Manning, Emmanuel Sanders, TJ Ward, DeMarcus Ware, and Aqib Talib. That seems to be the exception not the norm though to have those players work out like they did. The Broncos have been very fortunate in FA scouting of finding talent and it actually living up to or even beyond expectations.
Right now with the Raiders though beyond just talent on the field I need to see that there has actually been a culture change. It isn't enough to just have talent. The entire organization from top to bottom has to show that the standards of the team are that of winning and being willing to make the necessary sacrifices to do so. At this point the Raiders haven't shown enough to say that this culture shift has actually happened. And as I and others have said we are not big believers in Jack Del Rio as the Head Coach. He is a very conservative coach and while that style can work ok against the bottom feeder teams it is when you get against the better teams where you need a coaching decision to impact the game positively he just isn't the guy I want making that decision. Now given he didn't leave Denver on the best of terms so I might be just a bit subjective on the subject but I just felt like he really wasted one of our most talented defensive units in the history of the Broncos in 2014. Hard to look past the fact that Phillips came in and with basically the same players dominated with defense. We don't win the Super Bowl in my opinion if Del Rio is still our DC this past year.