Over/Under Offense Stats 2019

[Red_Alert]

What is your prediction Over/Under for 2019? See post #2
I even did your homework for you.

UCF 2016 vs 2017 (13 games)

Total Offense 2016
4561 Yds
36 TD's
350 YPG (113th)

Total Offense 2017
6896 YDS
77 TD's
530 YPG (5th)

Scoring Offense 2016
28.8 PPG (66th)
Scoring Offense 2017
48.2 PPG (1st)

Rushing Offense 2016
1835 Yds
25 TD's
141 YPG (104th)
Rushing Offense 2017
2583 Yds
39 TD's
198 YPG (33rd)

Passing Offense 2016
2726 Yds
9 Int's
14 TD's
209 YPG (89th)
Passing Offense 2017
4313 Yds
9 Int's
38 TD's
331 YPG (10th)

NEBRASKA 2018 (12 games)

Total Offense
5474 Yds
44 TD's
456 YPG (25th)

Scoring Offense
30 PPG (57th)

Rushing Offense
2508 Yds
25 TD's
208 YPG (28th)

Passing Offense
2966 Yds
11 Int's
19 TD's
247 YPG (51st)

 

[Red_Alert]

OVER/UNDER Nebraska 2019
Assuming 13 games

Total Offense
6400 Yds
62 TD's
550 YPG

Scoring Offense
40 PPG

Rushing Offense
2900 Yds
34 TD's
230 YPG

Passing Offense
3800 Yds
10 Int's
32 TD's
320 YPG

 

[popeyecv64]

Scott Frost is paying you to much money sir

 

[HuskerinBig10]

OVER/UNDER Nebraska 2019
Assuming 13 games

Total Offense
6400 Yds
62 TD's
550 YPG

Scoring Offense
40 PPG

Rushing Offense
2900 Yds
34 TD's
230 YPG

Passing Offense
3800 Yds
10 Int's
32 TD's
320 YPG

Wow, on the jump UCF made. Too lazy to look up, plus (going to airport), was McKenzie Milton/Milton McKenzie UCF QB in 2016?

I will take Nebraska

Total Offense
6400 Yds UNDER
62 TD's OVER
550 YPG UNDER

Scoring Offense
40 PPG OVER

Rushing Offense
2900 Yds UNDER
34 TD's UNDER
230 YPG UNDER

Passing Offense
3800 Yds OVER
10 Int's OVER
32 TD's OVER
320 YPG OVER

After doing this exercise, I have determined I have no clue. My logic does not add up; I think Nebraska will be over 62 TDs but not all that yardage. Does that mean the defense gets a lot of turnovers? Doubtful.

Rushing will be under is my only confident choice. Who is the running back? Who is the center?

Will Mills or Johnson be good?

Looks like I think the Nebraska offense is going to be pass happy.

 

[huskers1217]

Wow, on the jump UCF made. Too lazy to look up, plus (going to airport), was McKenzie Milton/Milton McKenzie UCF QB in 2016?

I will take Nebraska

Total Offense
6400 Yds UNDER
62 TD's OVER
550 YPG UNDER

Scoring Offense
40 PPG OVER

Rushing Offense
2900 Yds UNDER
34 TD's UNDER
230 YPG UNDER

Passing Offense
3800 Yds OVER
10 Int's OVER
32 TD's OVER
320 YPG OVER

After doing this exercise, I have determined I have no clue. My logic does not add up; I think Nebraska will be over 62 TDs but not all that yardage. Does that mean the defense gets a lot of turnovers? Doubtful.

Rushing will be under is my only confident choice. Who is the running back? Who is the center?

Will Mills or Johnson be good?

Looks like I think the Nebraska offense is going to be pass happy.

for 6400 yards, we would need to average north of 490 per game. not going to happen

 

[Red_Alert]

Wow, on the jump UCF made. Too lazy to look up, plus (going to airport), was McKenzie Milton/Milton McKenzie UCF QB in 2016?

Yeah. He started as a true freshman.

McKenzie Milton College Stats | College Football at Sports-Reference.com

 

[HuskerPower52]

We had 5432 total yards last season. If we make the same jump as UCF did we would be around 7761 total yards on the year for offense. That you be just shy of Clemsons 7900+ yards from last season.

 

[Red_Alert]

Some interesting points in those stats...........

Nebraska's 1st year offense under Frost finished ahead of UCF's first year offense under Frost in every statistical category except two.
1) Martinez had 11 INT's compared to Milton's 9. (Both true freshmen)
2) Nebraska and UCF were even on rushing TD's at 25.

Nebraska finished ahead in first year stats even though Nebraska played 12 games compared to UCF's 13.
Nebraska finished ahead of UCF even though Nebraska played against better defenses than UCF did.
Note: I did not verify the "better defenses" point. However, it can be assumed P5 defenses are better than G5 defenses

UCF Total Offense 2016
4561 Yds
36 TD's
350 YPG (113th)
NU Total Offense 2018
5474 Yds
44 TD's
456 YPG (25th)

UCF Scoring Offense 2016
28.8 PPG (66th)
NU Scoring Offense 2018
30 PPG (57th)

UCF Rushing Offense 2016
1835 Yds
25 TD's
141 YPG (104th)
NU Rushing Offense 2018
2508 Yds
25 TD's
208 YPG (28th)

UCF Passing Offense 2016
2726 Yds
9 Int's
14 TD's
209 YPG (89th)
NU Passing Offense 2018
2966 Yds
11 Int's
19 TD's
247 YPG (51st)

 

[HuskerinBig10]

@Red_Alert were these Nebraska over/under numbers from somewhere or did they come out of your head?

Too many numbers for me to look at. Sort of like looking at a Phil Steele magazine.

 

[Red_Alert]

@Red_Alert were these Nebraska over/under numbers from somewhere or did they come out of your head?

Too many numbers for me to look at. Sort of like looking at a Phil Steele magazine.

Out of my head.

 

[iruletheskool]

Over on all

 

[HuskerinBig10]

Over on all

You must have a whole swimming pool of red koolaid that you swim in.

 

[Red_Alert]

Nebraska Offense 2018
Total Offense: 25 (456 YPG)
Scoring Offense: 57 (30 PPG)
Rushing Offense: 28 (209 YPG)
Passing Offense: 51 (247 YPG)

South Alabama 2018 (G5 schedule)
Total Defense: 107 (448 YPG)
Scoring Defense: 122 (38 PPG)
Rushing Defense: 101 (203 YPG)
Passing Defense: 90 (245 YPG)

@Colorado 2018
Total Defense: 52 (380 YPG) (NU 465 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 70 (27 PPG) (NU 28 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 44 (145 YPG) (329 YDS)
Passing Defense: 74 (234 YPG) (236 YDS)

Northern Illinois 2018 (G5 schedule)
Total Defense: 40 (357 YPG)
Scoring Defense: 35 (22 PPG)
Rushing Defense: 11 (109 YPG)
Passing Defense: 95 (247 YPG)

@Illinois 2018
Total Defense: 127 (508 YPG) (NU 606 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 123 (39 PPG) (NU 54 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 121 (245 YPG) (NU 316 YDS)
Passing Defense: 113 (263 YPG) (NU 290 YDS)

Ohio St 2018
Total Defense: 72 (403 YPG) (NU 450 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 51 (25 PPG) (NU 31 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 56 (158 YPG) (NU 184 YDS)
Passing Defense: 86 (245 YPG) (NU 266 YDS)

Northwestern 2018
Total Defense: 64 (390 YPG) (NU 482 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 41 (23 PPG) (NU 31 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 26 (129 YPG) (NU 231 YDS)
Passing Defense: 109 (261 YPG) (NU 251 YDS)

@Minnesota 2018
Total Defense: 54 (385 YPG) (NU 659 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 59 (26 PPG) (NU 53 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 78 (173 YPG) (NU 383 YDS)
Passing Defense: 51 (212 YPG) (NU 276 YDS)

Indiana 2018
Total Defense: 83 (423 YPG)
Scoring Defense: 81 (29 PPG)
Rushing Defense: 83 (183 YPG)
Passing Defense: 81 (240 YPG)

@Purdue 2018
Total Defense: 113 (452 YPG) (NU 582 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 82 (30 PPG) (NU 28 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 71 (167 YPG) (NU 259 YDS)
Passing Defense: 127 (284 YPG) (NU 323 YDS)

Wisconsin 2018
Total Defense: 29 (344 YPG) (NU 518 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 34 (22 PPG) (NU 24 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 54 (155 YPG) (NU 111 YDS)
Passing Defense: 22 (189 YPG) (NU 407 PTS)

@Maryland 2018
Total Defense: 63 (390 YPG)
Scoring Defense: 78 (28 PPG)
Rushing Defense: 85 (183 YPG)
Passing Defense: 42 (206 YPG)

Iowa 2018
Total Defense: 7 (293 YPG) (NU 400 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 11 (17 PPG) (NU 28 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 12 (109 YPG) (NU 140 YDS)
Passing Defense: 17 (184 YPG) (NU 260 YDS)

NU 2018 Averages Against The 8 Common 2019 Opponents
Total Offense: 520 YPG (My O/U 550 YPG)
Scoring Offense: 34 PPG (My O/U 40 PPG)
Rushing Offense: 231 YPG (My O/U 230 YPG)
Passing Offense: 288 YPG (My O/U 320 YPG)


For Total YDS on the season, consider the difference in schedule AND Nebraska will likely get a 13th game where they only had 12 games last season.

Last Year Opponents: Troy, Michigan, Bethune-Cookman, Michigan St
New Opponents: South Alabama, Northern Illinois, Indiana, Maryland
(Michigan and Michigan St were Top 10 Defenses last season)

 

[Red_Alert]

Over on all

I agree

 

[Red_Alert]

Nebraska opens up -32 over South Alabama.

Now at -34

Sports Betting News and Vegas Odds

 

[Red_Alert]

Nebraska Offense 2018
Total Offense: 25 (456 YPG)
Scoring Offense: 57 (30 PPG)
Rushing Offense: 28 (209 YPG)
Passing Offense: 51 (247 YPG)

South Alabama 2018 (G5 schedule)
Total Defense: 107 (448 YPG)
Scoring Defense: 122 (38 PPG)
Rushing Defense: 101 (203 YPG)
Passing Defense: 90 (245 YPG)

@Colorado 2018
Total Defense: 52 (380 YPG) (NU 465 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 70 (27 PPG) (NU 28 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 44 (145 YPG) (329 YDS)
Passing Defense: 74 (234 YPG) (236 YDS)

Northern Illinois 2018 (G5 schedule)
Total Defense: 40 (357 YPG)
Scoring Defense: 35 (22 PPG)
Rushing Defense: 11 (109 YPG)
Passing Defense: 95 (247 YPG)

@Illinois 2018
Total Defense: 127 (508 YPG) (NU 606 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 123 (39 PPG) (NU 54 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 121 (245 YPG) (NU 316 YDS)
Passing Defense: 113 (263 YPG) (NU 290 YDS)

Ohio St 2018
Total Defense: 72 (403 YPG) (NU 450 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 51 (25 PPG) (NU 31 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 56 (158 YPG) (NU 184 YDS)
Passing Defense: 86 (245 YPG) (NU 266 YDS)

Northwestern 2018
Total Defense: 64 (390 YPG) (NU 482 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 41 (23 PPG) (NU 31 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 26 (129 YPG) (NU 231 YDS)
Passing Defense: 109 (261 YPG) (NU 251 YDS)

@Minnesota 2018
Total Defense: 54 (385 YPG) (NU 659 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 59 (26 PPG) (NU 53 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 78 (173 YPG) (NU 383 YDS)
Passing Defense: 51 (212 YPG) (NU 276 YDS)

Indiana 2018
Total Defense: 83 (423 YPG)
Scoring Defense: 81 (29 PPG)
Rushing Defense: 83 (183 YPG)
Passing Defense: 81 (240 YPG)

@Purdue 2018
Total Defense: 113 (452 YPG) (NU 582 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 82 (30 PPG) (NU 28 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 71 (167 YPG) (NU 259 YDS)
Passing Defense: 127 (284 YPG) (NU 323 YDS)

Wisconsin 2018
Total Defense: 29 (344 YPG) (NU 518 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 34 (22 PPG) (NU 24 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 54 (155 YPG) (NU 111 YDS)
Passing Defense: 22 (189 YPG) (NU 407 PTS)

@Maryland 2018
Total Defense: 63 (390 YPG)
Scoring Defense: 78 (28 PPG)
Rushing Defense: 85 (183 YPG)
Passing Defense: 42 (206 YPG)

Iowa 2018
Total Defense: 7 (293 YPG) (NU 400 YDS)
Scoring Defense: 11 (17 PPG) (NU 28 PTS)
Rushing Defense: 12 (109 YPG) (NU 140 YDS)
Passing Defense: 17 (184 YPG) (NU 260 YDS)

NU 2018 Averages Against The 8 Common 2019 Opponents
Total Offense: 520 YPG (My O/U 550 YPG)
Scoring Offense: 34 PPG (My O/U 40 PPG)
Rushing Offense: 231 YPG (My O/U 230 YPG)
Passing Offense: 288 YPG (My O/U 320 YPG)


For Total YDS on the season, consider the difference in schedule AND Nebraska will likely get a 13th game where they only had 12 games last season.

Last Year Opponents: Troy, Michigan, Bethune-Cookman, Michigan St
New Opponents: South Alabama, Northern Illinois, Indiana, Maryland
(Michigan and Michigan St were Top 10 Defenses last season)

I erred on that NU Total Offense for the Colorado game. I had 465 YDS where it was actually 565 total YDS.
329 Rushing
236 Passing

That changes the Total Offense average against the 8 common (2018 > 2019) opponents to 532 YPG.

My Over/Under (550 YPG) is just 18 yards per game higher than that.

 

[Red_Alert]

..........................1st 6 games ....... Last 6 Games

W-L........................0-6.....................4-2
PPG.......................23.3...................36.7
Total YPG..............440.5..................471.8
TO Margin...............-7.....................+5
Penalties PG...........10.2...................5.2

 

[Red_Alert]

Yeah. I might have over done it on the Total YPG O/U at 550. LOL

 

[psaboy]

Think the biggest over/under is wins. I'm saying they win 9, so if O/U is at 8.5+ they should cover. Lose to Bufs on road and lose to OSU or Wisky at home and a lose B1G game on road.