NCAA Top 16 Reveal

[ericd7633]

The Selection Committee is going to reveal the current top 16 today at 12:30 on CBS. It will be intriguing to see specifically where teams like Michigan State, Cincinnati, Rhode Island, North Carolina, Kansas for a variety of different reasons. Either way this should give us a little insight into what the committee is thinking.

Here's my stab for the top 16:

East Regional(Boston, MA)

1. Villanova
2. Michigan State
3. Clemson
4. Texas A&M

South Regional(Atlanta, GA)

1. Virginia
2. Cincinnati
3. Purdue
4. Tennessee

Midwest Regional(Omaha, NE)

1. Xavier
2. Kansas
3. North Carolina
4. Ohio State

West Regional(Los Angeles, CA)

1. Auburn
2. Texas Tech
3. Duke
4. Gonzaga

Top 16 "S" Curve: Villanova, Virginia, Xavier, Auburn, Texas Tech, Kansas, Cincinnati, Michigan State, Clemson, Purdue, North Carolina, Duke, Tennessee, Ohio State, Gonzaga, Texas A&M.

The top 14 IMO is pretty clear, in some varying order. After that it gets tough. I went with Gonzaga and A&M, the other two schools I thought about were Arizona(leading the Pac 12) and Oklahoma(6 Q1 wins). So it wouldn't surprise me if they showed up on the screen today.

The 4th 1 seed is also very tricky at this point. I went with Auburn ahead of the #2 seeds because they are in sole possession of 1st place in a top 4 conference. Have a 22-3 record(compared to KU's 19-6). Have 5 Q1 wins(compared to MSU's 3 and Clemson's 4). And they have a better SOS and OOC SOS than Cincinnati does. While having the same amount of Q1 wins.

This is why today will be interesting for a team like Michigan State. They will more than likely be a top 4 team in both polls come tomorrow, but they simply don't have the amount of quality wins that the teams ahead of them do. I'd really like to see Clemson ahead of Michigan State, but I don't think the committee will do that, despite Clemson having a significantly better resume.

 

[jontaejones]

I do think this year its a little interesting to have the peek-in because of teams like Sparty and Auburn.

I think they put Sparty in as the 4th #1 seed (now). I also think Arizona gets in that Top 16.

 

[SJ76]

I just got my tickets for the first and second rounds in Dallas. Haven't been watching a lot this year but it should be good as usual

 

[ericd7633]

I do think this year its a little interesting to have the peek-in because of teams like Sparty and Auburn.

I think they put Sparty in as the 4th #1 seed (now). I also think Arizona gets in that Top 16.

I could very well see Michigan State getting the 4th 1 seed. I could also see them go in a different direction because of the lack of quality wins. We'll see what they favor.

 

[jontaejones]

I could very well see Michigan State getting the 4th 1 seed. I could also see them go in a different direction because of the lack of quality wins. We'll see what they favor.

Also interesting to see what they do with Rhode Island.

Personally, I don't think their resume is all that, and the Big East teams they beat have been slipping. Though I do think they are a very good team.

 

[ericd7633]

Also interesting to see what they do with Rhode Island.

Personally, I don't think their resume is all that, and the Big East teams they beat have been slipping. Though I do think they are a very good team.

Yeah they are another interesting case. Biggest issue with them is their 1-3 record against Q1 teams. And they've only played 7 top 100 RPI teams. The A-10 is unusually bad this season. Had they has this type of record against a normal A-10 with the likes of VCU, Dayton, St Joes being tournament caliber, I could see them being a top 4 seed. I do think they're probably capped at a 4/5 seed even if they win out.

 

[Ickey Shuffle]

I'm kinda iffy about that Auburn seed. Other than that, no complaints.

 

[Ickey Shuffle]

Michigan State not in their 2 line. Wow.

 

[Ickey Shuffle]

 

[Ickey Shuffle]

 

[ericd7633]

Pretty much what I expected, at least in terms of teams in the top 16, and/or considered. I hate the inconsistencies the committee is sending, but that's with any committee, I guess.

2 surprising things: Purdue being a 1 seed and Duke being a 2 seed.

 

[bksballer89]

Michigan State must feel disrespected especially after just beating Purdue last night

 

[bksballer89]

Pretty much what I expected, at least in terms of teams in the top 16, and/or considered. I hate the inconsistencies the committee is sending, but that's with any committee, I guess.

2 surprising things: Purdue being a 1 seed and Duke being a 2 seed.

Don't worry Duke will find their way on the 3 line with their remaining schedule

 

[bksballer89]

Pretty much what I expected, at least in terms of teams in the top 16, and/or considered. I hate the inconsistencies the committee is sending, but that's with any committee, I guess.

2 surprising things: Purdue being a 1 seed and Duke being a 2 seed.

Kansas shouldn't be a 2 seed either.

 

[Ickey Shuffle]

2 surprising things: Purdue being a 1 seed and Duke being a 2 seed.

Kansas a 2 and Michigan State a 3 is my head scratchers.

 

[Ickey Shuffle]

The contradictory is always strong. NCAA hates Cincinnati so much lmao.

 

[ericd7633]

Kansas shouldn't be a 2 seed either.

I'm fine with that because they have a shitload of Q1 wins.

 

[jontaejones]

Wow for Sparty as a low 3 seed.

Since they have banana peels and orange rinds left on their schedule, it looks like a #1 seed is out of reach.

They gonna be pissed. I wouldn't want my team in that region.

 

[jeffro151]

Wow for Sparty as a low 3 seed.

Since they have banana peels and orange rinds left on their schedule, it looks like a #1 seed is out of reach.

They gonna be pissed. I wouldn't want my team in that region.

Don't worry, they'll get placed in ours as usual.

 

[ralphiewvu]

Can someone explain to me how OU is anywhere close to a 4 seed?