My Week 1 college hoops predictions

[MI Nightmare]

45-4 with 24 close predictions and 2 exactly correct scores

Pfffft. I'm 5-0 with one correct MOV.

 

[rmilia1]

Pfffft. I'm 5-0 with one correct MOV.

I thinkI have 5 MOV's right. I have 2 scores exactly right though thats just blind luck I would guess but Ill probably end up with only 2 or 3 for the whole season. LOL

 

[iowajerms]

***** Blog article for Week 1 NCAA hoops predictions: My Week 1 NCAA Hoops Pick ?Ems | SportsHoopla.com

Friday 11/14

Grand Canyon at #1 Kentucky by 50 <----- Grand Canyon at Kentucky by 40 {85-45} (#)
Mt. Saint Mary's at #2 Arizona by 50 <----- Mt. Saint Mary's at Arizona by 23 {78-55}
Northern Kentucky at #3 Wisconsin by 50 <----- Northern Kentucky at Wisconsin by 31 {62-31}
Presbyterian at #4 Duke by 50 <----- Presbyterian at Duke by 69 {113-69}
UC Santa Barbara at #5 Kansas by 35 <----- UC Santa Barbara at Kansas by 10 {69-59}
NC Central at #6 North Carolina by 50 <----- NC Central at North Carolina by 16 {76-60}
William & Mary at #7 Florida by 50 <----- William & Mary at Florida by 23 {68-45}
#8 Louisville vs Minnesota by 15 <----- Louisville vs Minnesota by 13 {81-68} (#)
#9 Virginia at James Madison by 35 <----- Virginia at James Madison by 28 {79-51} (#)
North Dakota State at #10 Texas by 50 <----- North Dakota State at Texasby 35 {85-50}
New Mexico State at #11 Wichita State by 45 <----- New Mexico State at Wichita Stateby 17 {71-54}
#12 Villanova vs Lehigh by 45 <-----Villanova vs Lehigh by 11 {77-66}
Sacramento State at #13 Gonzaga by 45 <----- Sacramento State at Gonzaga by 46 {104-58} (#)
Oakland at #14 Iowa State by 50 <----- Oakland at Iowa State by 11 {93-82}
#15 VCU vs Tennessee by 35 <----- VCU vs Tennessee by 16 {85-69}
CSU-Northridge at #16 San Diego State by 45 <----- CSU-Northridge at San Diego State by 21 {79-58}
Bryant at #17 Connecticut by 45 <----- Bryant at Connecticut by 13 {66-53}
#18 Michigan State at Navy by 45 <----- Michigan State at Navy by 5 {64-59}
UMass Lowell at #19 Ohio State by 50 <----- UMass Lowell at Ohio State by 37 {92-55}
Lamar at #20 SMU by 35 <----- Lamar at SMU by 39 {93-54} (#)
Kennesaw State at #23 Syracuse by 35 <----- Kennesaw State at Syracuse 47 {89-42}
MIT at #25 Harvard by 45 <----- MIT at Harvard by 21 {73-52}
Ball State at #25 Utah by 35 <----- Ball State at Utah by 18 {90-72}

Saturday 11/15

Fairfield at #4 Duke by 60 <----- Fairfield at Duke by 50 {109-59} (#)
Hillsdale at #24 Michigan by 45 <----- Hillsdale at Michigan by 24 {92-68}

Sunday 11/16

Buffalo at #1 Kentucky by 30 <----- Buffalo at Kentucky by 19{71-52}
CSU-Northridge at #2 Arizona by 55 <----- CSU-Northridge at Arizona by 18 {86-68}
Chattanooga at #3 Wisconsin by 35 <----- Chattanooga at Wisconsin by 44 {89-45} (#)
Robert Morris at #6 North Carolina by 50 <----- Robert Morris at North Carolina by 44 {103-59} (#)
Norfolk State at #9 Virginia by 40 <----- Norfolk State at Virginia by 28 {67-39}
Alcorn State at #10 Texas by 45 <----- Alcorn State at Texas by 32 {85-53}
SE Louisiana at #19 Oklahoma by 45 <----- SE Louisiana at Oklahoma by 25 {78-53}
Northern Kentucky at #21 Nebraska by 25 <----- Northern Kentucky at Nebraska by 19 {80-61} (#)
Hampton at #23 Syracuse by 45 <----- Hampton at Syracuse by 18 {65-47}
Holy Cross at #25 Harvard by 30 <----- Holy Cross at Harvard by 1 {58-57

Monday 11/17

Miami (FL) at #7 Florida by 20 <----- Miami (FL) at Florida by 2 {69-67}
Jacksonville State at #8 Louisville by 45 <----- Jacksonville State at Louisille by 49 {88-39} (#)
Maryland Eastern Shore at #12 Villanova by 45 <----- Maryland Eastern Shore at Villanova by 37 {81-44} (#)
#22 SMU at #13 Gonzaga by 5 <----- SMU at Gonzaga by 16 {72-56}
Georgia State at #14 Iowa State by 35 <----- Georgia State at Iowa State by 23 {81-58}
Bucknell at #24 Michigan by 35 <----- Bucknell at Michigan by 24 {77-53}

Tuesday 11/18

#1 Kentucky vs #5 Kansas by 15 <----- Kentucky vs Kansas by 32 {72-40}
#4 Duke vs #18 Michigan State by 25 <----- Duke vs Michigan State by 10 {81-71}
South Carolina State at #9 Virginia by 30 <----- South Carolina State at Virginia by 20 {75-55} (#)
#11 Wichita State vs Memphis by 5 <----- Wichita State vs Memphis by 15 {71-56} (#)
Toledo at #15 VCU by 25 <----- Toledo at VCU by 9 {87-78}
#25 Utah at #16 San Diego State by 5 <----- Utah at San Diego State by 4 {53-49} (#)
Marquette at #20 Ohio State by 15 <----- Marquette at Ohio State by 11 {74-63} (#)
Central Arkansas at #21 Nebraska by 20 <----- Central Arkansas at Nebraska by 26{82-56} (#)

Wednesday 11/19

UC Irvine at #2 Arizona by 35 <----- UC Irvine at Arizona by 17 {71-54}
Green Bay at #3 Wisconsin by 30 <----- Green Bay at Wisconsin by 24 {84-60} (#)
St. Joseph's at #13 Gonzaga by 2 <----- St. Joseph's at Gonzaga by 52 {94-42}
#19 Oklahoma at Creighton by 3 <----- Oklahoma at Creighton by 2 {65-63} (#)

Thursday 11/20

#10 Texas vs Iowa by 5
Bucknell at #12 Villanova by 25
Maryland Eastern Shore at #15 VCU by 30
CSU-Bakersfield at #16 San Diego State by 30
#17 Connecticut vs College of Charleston by 30
#22 SMU at Indiana by 20
#23 Syracuse vs California by 25
Detroit at #24 Michigan by 30
#25 Harvard vs FAU by 35

Overall: 49-4 (.9245) with 19 close predictions

Week 1: 49-4 (.9245) with 19 close predictions

My Pick Em rules

 

[TrollyMcTroller]

I thinkI have 5 MOV's right. I have 2 scores exactly right though thats just blind luck I would guess but Ill probably end up with only 2 or 3 for the whole season. LOL

Two scores exactly right is very impressive. At one point the NY Times went 3-for-1,085 when picking NFL scores, and football scores are much easier to predict than basketball as there is a smaller range of likely point totals, and certain point combinations are much more likely than others. (17-10 is way way way more likely than 18-11 or 19-12, but in basketball 75-80, 76-81 and 77-82 are all pretty much equally likely)

Even when taking into account moderately good predictors like the Vegas spread and O/U (which the NY Times did) it is really tough to do.