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My way too early June draft possibilities

Lake Shore Drive

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Most of us baseball diehards remain hopeful, yet skeptical that we'll actually have a 2020 MLB season. Even tho there remains questions, concerns, and doubts, one sure thing for this year will be the MLB draft. So WTF, we might as well get into the what ifs as to who the Sox might select.

In recent seasons, it was much easier to take an educated stab as to who the Sox would draft. When you're a bottom 3-5 team, the options are much more clear, as there is almost always an agreed-upon list of top 5,6 players in every draft. A couple of the numbers nested within can be interchangeable, but generally speaking there are few drastic surprises in those first half dozen picks. But with us drafting 11th next month, the easy gimmees are likely long gone and what remains is a bunch of variables. So unlike recent drafts where I went with a definitive selection, on this one I can only come up with some options, hoping that at least one of them is still on the board when it's our turn. I narrowed it down to five: two lefty pitchers, two lefty outfielders, and a RH shortstop. We're in dire need of a long term lefty starter, and we can always use a solid LH bat in the OF.

1. Reid Detmers, 20, LHP, Louisville
Prior to the start of the shortened '20 college season, Detmers was somewhere in the top 20 draft rankings, but his few strong outings prior to the shutdown has vaulted him into top 10 status. Not much of a power pitcher, control and durability are his strong suits. Doubt he'll still be on the board when we choose, but if by chance he is, I sure hope the Sox don't mess it up.

2. Garrett Crochet, 20, LHP, Tennessee
Almost the reverse of Detmers. Was a solid top 10 prior to his shortened season, but a shoulder injury put a damper on his brief year, and now he floats in the top 20. I could not find anything indicating it was a long term issue or requiring surgery, but it would still be a bit of a risk. One thing that's not risky is his power arm, which just about sneaks in at 100mph, along with a wicked slider. He's tall and lanky, kind of a Chris Sale redux. High risk/high reward, altho I'm not sure the Sox are wanting to take that route again.

Interesting note here, my remaining three picks are all high schoolers, which I know goes against normal Sox drafting logic. They haven't used a 1st pick on one since 2012. But I feel we have decent depth with our outfield and have the luxury of allowing for patient development. Of course it's always chancy taking a kid out of high school when so many of them opt to first give college a shot.

3. Zac Veen, 18, LH OF, Spruce Creek HS (signed with Florida)
Highest ranked HS player in the draft, but again like Detmers, it's likely this kid won't be around by the time we're on the clock. Still, teams that are drafting high often want an immediate ROI with their pick, so we can't rule it out that he could remain on the board at #11. Big strong player with a sweet swing, good hit, good power, can play all three OF spots, but scouts think he'll settle in at either LF or RF.

4. Austin Hendrick, 18, LH OF, West Allegheny HS (signed with Mississippi State)
At 6'/195lb, he's not your typically built slugger, but a number of scouts think he's the best all around HS player in the draft with surprising raw power, along with a good glove and arm. RF will be his position in the pros.

5. Ed Howard, 18, RH SS, Mount Carmel HS (signed with Oklahoma)
Local kid, maybe even a true Sox fan! Highest rated HS infielder in the draft and SS is where he rules. Great range, strong throwing arm, disciplined bat with some power potential. I figure he would just about be ready to take over if things didn't work out with Timmay when his contract is up.

OK, so if we have to take a college position player (and hopefully a LH bat at that) with our first pick:

6. Heston Kjerstad, 21, LH OF, Arkansas
Big feller, good power and bat speed, but not the most disciplined hitter out there. Capable defense with a strong arm, so RF would be the spot for him.
 

Mingo

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Jared Kelley Class of 2020 - Player Profile | Perfect Game USA

Jared Kelly P - HS - Texas

I'm going to guess the Sox go HS with the first pick - to time the big league arrival when this last wave pitching is ready for new contracts. What makes Kelly special is he has a great change up to go with the high velocity fast ball. The Sox are famous for teaching guys to throw a slider. He hasn't hurt his arm snapping off curve balls - so the injury risk is minimal, but the change up is the hardest pitch to teach.
 

Lake Shore Drive

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Jared Kelley Class of 2020 - Player Profile | Perfect Game USA

Jared Kelly P - HS - Texas

I'm going to guess the Sox go HS with the first pick - to time the big league arrival when this last wave pitching is ready for new contracts. What makes Kelly special is he has a great change up to go with the high velocity fast ball. The Sox are famous for teaching guys to throw a slider. He hasn't hurt his arm snapping off curve balls - so the injury risk is minimal, but the change up is the hardest pitch to teach.
Nice pick. MLB.com has him rated at #11, which coincidentally is our draft slot. He was on my radar and I would have zero issues with us taking him, but I wanted to see more lefty options, which is why I went with Detmers and Crochet.
 

Jiddy

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Nice pick. MLB.com has him rated at #11, which coincidentally is our draft slot. He was on my radar and I would have zero issues with us taking him, but I wanted to see more lefty options, which is why I went with Detmers and Crochet.

There's irony in that many's, including mine, favorite Sox pitcher is Buehrle, and yet when I see your lefty control guy vs the younger power pitcher...I'm like...GIMME DA POWER.
 

Lake Shore Drive

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There's irony in that many's, including mine, favorite Sox pitcher is Buehrle, and yet when I see your lefty control guy vs the younger power pitcher...I'm like...GIMME DA POWER.
Another reason I didn't have Kerlly on my list is because he's a high schooler. If the Sox are taking a pitcher with their first pick, I think they'll want a college player with more experience. Position players I feel they can be a bit more patient in the long term, but if they're taking a pitcher, I see them wanting him on the big roster within 2-3 years tops and likely 2. However again, I'd have zero problems with Kelly being the choice. Like the kid's makeup.
 

Mingo

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Another reason I didn't have Kerlly on my list is because he's a high schooler. If the Sox are taking a pitcher with their first pick, I think they'll want a college player with more experience. Position players I feel they can be a bit more patient in the long term, but if they're taking a pitcher, I see them wanting him on the big roster within 2-3 years tops and likely 2. However again, I'd have zero problems with Kelly being the choice. Like the kid's makeup.

I think this depends on how deep the Sox feel they are in starting pitching prospects. Last year - they took consecutive HS pitchers early in the draft. This was supposed to be to time the next wave of starting pitching to come in 3-4 years time. Another HS pitcher at this point - puts the next one - 1 year behind Thompson and Dalquist.

I think he is a good injury risk - because he hasn't spent much time with a breaking ball. Mastery of the changeup is a very big weapon - if you are consistently hitting your fast ball at a 95-97 MPH pace. I think he would make a nice pick for those reasons. What I don't know is if he would rather go pro now - or go to Texas for a couple of years.

The Sox have a boat load of prospect starters: Giolito, Cease, Kopech, Stiever, Dunning Lambert, Lopez, Flores and Rodon. Of that group - Giolito, Kopech, Dunning and Lambert have all already had their Tommy John surgery. Plus they have Kuechel and Gio at this point to soak up innings.
 
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Lake Shore Drive

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I think this depends on how deep the Sox feel they are in starting pitching prospects. Last year - they took consecutive HS pitchers early in the draft. This was supposed to be to time the next wave of starting pitching to come in 3-4 years time. Another HS pitcher at this point - puts the next one - 1 year behind Thompson and Dalquist.

I think he is a good injury risk - because he hasn't spent much time with a breaking ball. Mastery of the changeup is a very big weapon - if you are consistently hitting your fast ball at a 95-97 MPH pace. I think he would make a nice pick for those reasons. What I don't know is if he would rather go pro now - or go to Texas for a couple of years.

The Sox have a boat load of prospect starters: Giolito, Cease, Kopech, Stiever, Dunning Lambert, Lopez, Flores and Rodon. Of that group - Giolito, Kopech, Dunning and Lambert have all already had their Tommy John surgery. Plus they have Kuechel and Gio at this point to soak up innings.
Solid argument. He'd make for a good selection.
 

Lake Shore Drive

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MLB.com's Jim Callis has us taking a catcher with our first pick:

Mock draft: Callis picks first round of MLB Draft

11. White Sox: Patrick Bailey, C, North Carolina State
The White Sox might also like a crack at the Hancock/Meyer/Detmers group but in this scenario they wind up with Bailey. Chicago could be the high-water mark for Texas high school right-hander Jared Kelley.

I'm guessing here that Mingo called Callis and made him state that last line. :nutswing:
 

Mingo

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MLB.com's Jim Callis has us taking a catcher with our first pick:

Mock draft: Callis picks first round of MLB Draft

11. White Sox: Patrick Bailey, C, North Carolina State
The White Sox might also like a crack at the Hancock/Meyer/Detmers group but in this scenario they wind up with Bailey. Chicago could be the high-water mark for Texas high school right-hander Jared Kelley.

I'm guessing here that Mingo called Callis and made him state that last line. :nutswing:

Don't be Callis about my opinions. ;)

I think Bailey would be a good pick, but the Sox have a log jam of Catchers - so picking Bailey doesn't make roster sense to me.
 

Lake Shore Drive

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Don't be Callis about my opinions. ;)

I think Bailey would be a good pick, but the Sox have a log jam of Catchers - so picking Bailey doesn't make roster sense to me.
Ditto, that's why I didn't even so much as think of any catchers out there. Hahn can always grab one in the later rounds if needed. Right now, I'd like our focus to be on SP and OF. Hoping the brass feels the same.
 

Lake Shore Drive

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Here's the latest from MLB.com:

White Sox
Pick: OF Heston Kjerstad, Arkansas ($4,547,500 slot value)

It has been nearly a decade since the White Sox used their top pick on a high schooler and that probably won't change this year, even with a new scouting director (who was promoted from within). Kjerstad has huge power that rivals Torkelson's, and he has a strong track record in college baseball's toughest conference. This pick could come down to whichever one of Bailey, Gonzales, or Kjerstad is still on the board. Our R.J. Anderson ranked Kjerstad as the No. 17 prospect in the draft class.

April 15 mock pick: RHP Max Meyer, Minnesota
May 19 mock pick: C Patrick Bailey, North Carolina State


They can't seem to make up their minds.
 

Jiddy

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We'll find out soon enough.

Probably before we find out about actual baseball being played. :(
 

Lake Shore Drive

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We'll find out soon enough.

Probably before we find out about actual baseball being played. :(
With each passing day I grow less confident of there being a season at all. This draft might be the closest thing to being baseball worthy for the rest of the summer.
 

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With each passing day I grow less confident of there being a season at all. This draft might be the closest thing to being baseball worthy for the rest of the summer.
I doubt there will be any baseball this year.
 

Jiddy

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I doubt there will be any baseball this year.

I was confident they would figure out a way around the virus and get us some amount of baseball this year...but if they're balking over the money as much as it seems they are - it's not gonna happen. Sad.
 

ChiSoxFan

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I was confident they would figure out a way around the virus and get us some amount of baseball this year...but if they're balking over the money as much as it seems they are - it's not gonna happen. Sad.
It’s funny in a sick way how our team finally goes for it and 2020 happens.
 

Lake Shore Drive

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What a pisser. I didn't realize until just this moment that I will be out of town June 10th, the first night of the draft, on some family biz. There's a possibility that I might be able to catch it, but to play it safe, I'll have to record it. I should be back on the 11th in time for the second day of the draft, but I might as well record that as well. Shit.
 

Mingo

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Baseball will be played - I'm pretty sure of that. They don't have to come to an agreement for another week or so. Owners and players are playing chicken right now.

Reid Detmers would be a good pick if available.
 

Lake Shore Drive

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Baseball will be played - I'm pretty sure of that. They don't have to come to an agreement for another week or so. Owners and players are playing chicken right now.

Reid Detmers would be a good pick if available.
I wish I was as sure as you were Mingo. I'd LOVE for the season to commence, but I grow more pessimistic by the day. Pretty much everyone agrees that a July 4th opening day is all but shot. Now the owners are looking at a 48-52 game schedule - I mean, WTF.

As for Detmers, I see very little chance of him making it out of the top 10, maybe not even out of the top 6 or 7. His stock has been climbing steadily. I sure am bummed that I won't be around for the draft on Wednesday, at least not live. You'll have to hold the fort down. :martini:
 
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