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Down on the fahm

navamind

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Yoan Moncada (3rd on Baseball America's 2016 top 100) has recently been promoted to AA Portland, after batting .307/.427/.496 with 36 steals, 25 doubles, 3 triples and 4 home runs in 294 PA. He had 45 walks, though he did strike out 62 times. He went 3-5 in his second game in AA, and that was against top prospect Lucas Giolito. Moncada might be the #1 prospect in the minors right now. Baseball America rates all of his tools at 55 or higher.

Michael Chavis had a disappointing 2015 season after the Sox drafted him in the 1st round of the 2014 draft, batting just .223/.277/.405. He showed some promising power (29 doubles, 1 triple, 16 HR), but he showed some poor plate discipline (29:144 BB:K in 471 PA; 30.6% K%). He has shown considerable improvement in his second go-around at Greenville, striking out just 14 times in 105 PA (13.3%) so far and batting .326/.381/.516. He was raking before he tore a thumb ligament, but he's hit pretty well since returning (.293/.333/.415 in 41 AB; 2:4 BB:K). Even with the second go-around, he's still only 20, so he isn't really old for A ball. He could eventually see a promotion to Salem at some point this year.

Josh Ockimey's been slaughtering the Sally league. Ockimey was alright in Lowell last year (.266/.349/.422), albeit very strikeout prone (34.1%). He's highly regarded for his raw power, but it didn't really show in Lowell (only 4 home runs). This year, however, he's batting .297/.435/.531 with 17 doubles and 10 home runs. He's cut down on the K's as well (down to 23.3%) and he's walking a ton (19.8%). He's limited to 1st, so the bat will have to carry him, but it's hard not to be happy with his 2016 performance thus far. He'll probably be in Salem soon.

Andrew Benintendi (15th on BA) was the Red Sox 1st round pick in 2015, taken no. 7 overall. Benintendi was player of the year at Arkansas, but some scouts were worried his power wouldn't translate with wooden bats. He's put some of those doubts to rest so far, batting .305/.385/.518 and he's shown outstanding plate discipline (59 walks to just 52 strikeouts in 528 minor league PA). He struck out all of 9 times in 155 plate appearances in Salem before getting promoted to AA. He struggled initially (.213/.255/.277 in 47 May at bats), but he's looked much better of late (.266/.322/.468, 7:10 BB:K in 79 June AB). Baseball America rates his hit tool at 70. It'll be interesting to see where he plays with Betts and Bradley in the OF, now that Bradley appears to be a major part of the Sox future now.

Anderson Espinoza (19th on BA) has held his own in the Sally league, posting a 4.06 ERA with 57/21 K/BB and 0 home runs allowed in 57.2 innings. The ERA doesn't sound all that impressive, but then you have to consider that Espinoza is just 18 years old. He's about 4 years younger than the average Sally league player. He can hit 100 mph already and Baseball America rates his fastball as an 80.

Rafael Devers (18th on BA) has been a bit disappointing this year, batting just .233/.300/.335. The highly touted hit and power tools (both 60 respectively) haven't quite shown. He is, however, pretty young for A+ ball, as he's only 19 years old (about 3.5 years younger than the rest of the league). He has been better as of late (.339/.379/.403 in June), so hopefully he's starting to turn the corner and the power will arrive.

Hopefully Michael Kopech (89th on BA) will get his head out of his ass and pitch.

Justin Haley was pretty much a non-propsect heading into the season, posting a 5.15 ERA with 95/50 K/BB in 124 innings in Portland last year at the age of 24. Some bad luck, but even then, a 3.83 FIP isn't particularly great. He's fared better this time around in Portland, posting a 2.20 ERA in 61.1 innings with much better peripherals (59/19 K/BB, 2.58 FIP). He pitched very well in his debut (8 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 7 K) before getting lit up by Syracuse. Haley's not a high ceiling guy, but he could see some starts in the Sox rotation or serve as a swingman.
 
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navamind

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Benintendi's now batting .316/.370/.520 on the month, bringing his AA line to .283/.333/.441.
 

redseat

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Bring up every young farm arm they have. Can't be any worse than what they have right now
 

navamind

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on the flip side, Henry Owens seems to be broken right now. He's got 73 strikeouts in 77 innings, but he's also walked 54 batters. So don't let the 3.86 ERA fool you. I still think Owens has a future with the Sox, but I'm getting the feeling it won't be as a SP.

Aaron Wilkerson could get his shot in the Sox rotation soon. He's posted a 2.00 ERA and struck out 97 batters in 85.1 innings (only 24 walks) between AA and AAA so far, but he's also 27 years old. He's got four pitches, but none of them grade as above average. SoxProspects has a scouting report on him.
 

navamind

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please sign jason groome
 

redseat

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at this point Owens can't be any worse than they currently are
 

navamind

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at this point Owens can't be any worse than they currently are
Not sure about that. 58 walks in 83 innings at any level is ridiculously bad. He's had only one game with fewer than 3 walks.
 

redseat

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Not sure about that. 58 walks in 83 innings at any level is ridiculously bad. He's had only one game with fewer than 3 walks.

The walks suck but it's not like the current starters aren't giving up runs
 

navamind

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Dombrowski: Benintendi could skip Triple-A

FWIW, Steamer projects Benintendi to be a slightly above average hitter right now (.287/.336/.449, 103 wRC+). Which is pretty amazing when you consider that he's only in AA. It's rare for players below AAA to be projected to be league average hitters (or better).
 

navamind

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Devers is hitting .396/.453/.750 with 8 doubles, 3 triples and 1 HR so far in July. And that doesn't include tonight's performance (2-4 with a double and triple!).

There were multiple reports of Kopech hitting 105 mph (!!!) in his previous start. And no, not from the stadium guns.

Kopech Hits 105 MPH Against Wilmington

Sox and Jason Groome agreed to a $3.65M signing bonus. Just needs to pass his physical. Sox also reached deals with Dalbec and Shawaryn. Sox were able to get Groome *and* sign a few other overslot guys. I'll take it.
 

navamind

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it might be time for the Sox to see if Trey Ball can hit. he's shown no signs of improvement and he has a K/BB ratio pushing 1.
 

redseat

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Got to see Moncado Saturday, dude can hit and can play the field! You could tell NH pitcher wanted nothing to do with him after the 1st inning when he got a hit off of him.
 

navamind

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Got to see Moncado Saturday, dude can hit and can play the field! You could tell NH pitcher wanted nothing to do with him after the 1st inning when he got a hit off of him.

Didn't he die 60 years ago?

In all seriousness, Moncada batting .325/.416/.623 in AA, and that's not including tonight's 2 HR performance. He's now hit 7 home runs in AA after hitting 4 in A+ ball (though he also had 25 doubles and 3 triples).

Let the bat continue to develop and then figure out where he'll play.
 

redseat

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Didn't he die 60 years ago?

In all seriousness...

Moncada batting .325/.416/.623 in AA, and that's not including tonight's 2 HR performance. He's now hit 7 home runs in AA after hitting 4 in A+ ball (though he also had 25 doubles and 3 triples).

Damnit, I wrote a "o" instead of "a" again!
 

navamind

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Kopech had another good outing tonight as well (5 IP, 2 R (1 earned), 3 H, 3 BB, 9 K). He's now struck out 23 batters in 14 innings.
 

navamind

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there are some pretty interesting relief options in the minors as well. Pat Light (if he can improve his command), Ben Taylor, Chandler Shepherd, Austin Maddox and possibly Jake Cosart.
 

navamind

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Kopech continues to dominate Salem.

10 starts, 51.1 innings, 81 strikeouts, 41.1% K% (which is absurd for a starting pitcher at any level; it would rank among the best relievers in MLB), 24 walks, 12.2% BB%, 1.23 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 2.07 FIP

The walks are pretty high, but he has had 2 or fewer walks in four of his last five starts. He's also reached double digit K's in his last three starts and four of his last five. Reportedly hitting 100 in his last start.

Some good stuff going on in Lowell right now. Tyler Hill (19th round pick in 2014, 20 years old) is having a very good year, hitting .347/.415/.518. His OPS leads the NY-Penn league by a good margin. Bobby Dalbec, a 4th round pick out of Arizona in June, has started his professional career by hitting .385/.429/.714 with 10 doubles, 1 triple and 6 homers in just 24 games. It's good to see Dalbec flashing the touted power so far.

Moncada's missed a bit of time, but he's still at .298/.411/.522 and he's shown little sign of rust.

 
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navamind

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Mauricio Dubon is starting to emerge as one of the best prospects in the system right now. He batted pretty well in Salem with a .306/.387/.379 line (with 24 steals; 0 home runs), earning a promotion to Portland. He's since batted .328/.361/.515 (not including tonight; 17 doubles, 5 triples and 5 home runs) and he's only 22. Where he'll play in Boston is up in the air with Bogaerts and Pedroia having SS/2B locked down, and presumably Moncada will have 3B locked down. Dubon could play OF, be used as a utility guy, or be a nice little trade chip. It'll be interesting to see if he can continue to show some power, it wouldn't be the first time someone suddenly started hitting for power (see Mookie Betts).

I know he's no longer in the Sox farm system, but I'll leave this here. Anderson Espinoza has had a rough start with the Padres organization, posting a 5.79 ERA in his first 6 starts (23.1 innings). He's got only 18 K's and given up 31 hits. He wasn't setting the world on fire before the trade either. That's not to say he should be dismissed by any means, he's still a top pitching prospect. But he is very far from the majors right now and it remains to be seen whether he can handle a full season as a starting pitcher.

Pomeranz has helped solidify the Sox starting pitching. He had a rough few starts, but he's been much better in his last 5 and he has cut down on the walks a little. After several months of watching Owens/Buchholz/etc shit the bed, the rotation has been a real saving grace since the ASB. Especially with the lineup regressing and looking listless with RISP. And don't get me started on the bullpen.
 
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navamind

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also, I think we can declare Ball a bust. At least as a pitcher. I say convert him and see if he can still hit.
 
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