UTVolCountry
(>',')> Laser_Mike_89
Wish the guy the best...great football player. Would love to see him in a Titans uniform!
Crabtree, Gore and Davis aren't every down players. I don't expect any rookie to be, and I don't expect any WR to be as long as Harbaugh and Roman are here. How many players in the league now are every down players? You're looking at OL, QB and starting secondary players. Most LBs, DL, and skill position players aren't every down guys.
The biggest issue for me with our first round pick is how much of a difference maker will he be? Austin is a threat every time he has the ball. If he gets 6-10 touches per game on offense (catches+carries) then I think he becomes a huge asset for us.
Wrong choice of words there on my part. I meant what you said in your second para. How much of an impact will he provide? Enough to justify a trade up? If so how much? I personally wouldn't want to give up a whole lot to move up for a player that might see only limited action.
You're probably much younger than me, so I won't hold that against you:
Fair assessment, Mac. How high would you be willing to move up to grab him? Would you take him over an impact DL if there was one available?
Crabtree, Gore and Davis aren't every down players. I don't expect any rookie to be, and I don't expect any WR to be as long as Harbaugh and Roman are here. How many players in the league now are every down players? You're looking at OL, QB and starting secondary players. Most LBs, DL, and skill position players aren't every down guys.
The biggest issue for me with our first round pick is how much of a difference maker will he be? Austin is a threat every time he has the ball. If he gets 6-10 touches per game on offense (catches+carries) then I think he becomes a huge asset for us.
I think you're over-valuing Austin. The guy's 174 pounds. If you're 174 pounds, you'd better have all-world speed. He's fast, but he's only about AJ Jenkins fast. And he weighs a lot less. Force = mass X acceleration. His force isn't actually all that high. Consider that Ryan Swope had nearly identical speed numbers to him, and he's 31 pounds heavier.
Plus he had one of the best QBs in college football, and he wasn't exactly playing agsinst SEC defenses.
I think you are focusing too much on combine numbers and measurables instead of film. Anyone who thinks that AJ Jenkins plays anywhere near as fast as Austin is just out of their damn mind. Jason Hill also ran a 4.3 40 but he played like a guy he ran a 4.5, this is why I take much more stock in film than combine numbers. Look at Boldin, he dropped after his terrible combine and every NFL who passed on him suffered for it. Swope doesn't play like a 4.3 guy either, I actually was really shocked when he ran that, he plays more like a 4.4 - 4.5 guy..
I think you can see things like fluidity, burst, coordination, etc. on film, but here's the problem with trying to base speed solely on film. A guy can look like a speed demon against one defense and average against another. The field is another factor; some surfaces are faster than others.
You can see speed to acertain extent, but the combine is the only place where they're all weighed on the same day, they all run on the same surfaces, they're all timed by the same people & with the same equipment.
Let me give you an example: Keenan Allen has everything you want on film. Great coordination, hands, hips, timing, etc. The ONLY thing I don't know about him is exactly how his speed & jumping skills compares to other WRs because he didn't run at the combine. If he ran at the combine and ran a 4.4 flat, he should be a top 10 pick (especially with good jump #'s and a god 10-yard split). If he ran a 4.6 w/ bad jump, agility, 10-yard, maybe he's more of a 20-35 guy.
So Jason Hill comparision isn't a good example because I know Tavon Austin is a better receiver than Jason Hill was. Austin's tape is great. I never said Austin wans't any good. However, he's not good enough in order to justify a trade up because if he's 174 pounds, he's going to need BLAZING speed to make it in the NFL. 5'9 174 pounds is tiny. I don't know that he has blazing speed.
As far as Swope goes, he doesn't play quite as fast as Austin. You're right. However, I don't know that A&M used him the same way Austin was used. Also, their QB has a weak arm, so they don't throw it downfield as much as West Virginia.
Who's faster between Jason Hill and Tavon Austin? It's probably Jason Hill. We both know speed doesn't equal good WR play (James Jett, Tedd Ginn, etc), but Hill is probably a bit faster than Austin.
I see Tavon Austin somewhere in between Sinorice Moss and Santana Moss. He weighs less than both of 'em by about 10 pounds; he's 1 inch taller & shorter respectively). His speed is probably about the same as both of 'em.
The dude's 5'9 with 30 inch arms. And if a QB floats it to him, he's going to get murdered by the safety. He's extremely limited. These things aren't going to hurt him in the return game, but as a WR, the dude is not going to be a #1 guy.
And don't expect him to actually run the football like Percy Harvin does. He will get obliterated in the NFL if he does.
This is not a guy who justifies a trade up when there are better WRs like Justin Hunter on the board.